akapital9

67 Comments

    • ON: Fri Oct 10th 12:42 PM
      Commented on:
      Roger Wiegand: Oil to Reach New Highs by Year-End
      i am not in the business of making predictions but for those expecting further drop in oil consider that the costs to extract oil continues to increase such that lower prices can affect supply. In short, just as high prices elicit demand destruction, low prices elicit supply destruction. Perhaps coming weeks we'll find a balance. It's probably closer to $90-100.
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    • ON: Fri Oct 10th 12:28 PM
      Commented on:
      On a Return to Normalcy: Dow 8,500
      Great article but one thing, while you can't argue with the principal of reversion to the mean when it comes to flipping quarters there is no hard science of what the PE mean really is in the case of markets. Of course historical precedent may be useful indicator but not necessarily. Great article nonetheless...
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    • ON: Thu Oct 9th 20:09 PM
      Commented on:
      Nation's Debt: It's Not Being Rescued, It's Being Moved Around
      Consider, societies have not historically been motivated to act proactively but rather respond in reaction to something. The pendulum swings one way, loses momentum and swings back, to and fro. We are now at one such stage. Let's put our heads together and start a new country up...stop pointing fingers...we can find a way.
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    • ON: Wed Oct 8th 16:31 PM
      Commented on:
      Global Coordinated Rate Cut: Nice Try, but the Party Is Over
      For those crying socialism, you must not have any idea what that word means - look it up, it does not simply mean high taxes. The current crisis is more a function of oligarchy than anything else. In fact, had we had a clear separation of government regulation/ownership from that of competitive business capital we would not be in this mess. This current crisis is in direct proportion to crony capitalism and predatory lending - corporate welfare....fare thee well.
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    • ON: Tue Oct 7th 11:54 AM
      Commented on:
      Consumers and the Economy Are Down and Out
      interesting...I have a different prediction. I think the current crisis can be surmised as follows, "the more you have the more you stand to lose" because this is a crisis that affects wealth and excess capital and not so much basic subsistence. I know that many would argue that it is all interelated which is true but there is still a distinction here in quality of life changes.

      I think we are going to see huge de-valuation in luxury real estate and luxury items across the board. Because those are the areas that a vast majority of buyers were overextended into - essentially buying beyound their means. But I think subsistence on buying within our means will essentially be unaffected.

      The family that lives pay check to pay check in the fringe town, eats meagerly, and gets by on hope and happiness will be fine. Those who live pay check to pay check in the mega-mansion, eating out every night, traveling, and generally living beyond their means will have to make serious life style changes. That will be hard part for some. But in the realm of things how bad is that?

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    • ON: Mon Sep 29th 19:58 PM
      Commented on:
      Did the FDIC Sabotage WaMu's Management and Erode Investor Confidence?
      To all of those crying socialism, you really have no idea what that word means. The gov't bailouts and take unders all smack of oligarchy...but people generally see what they want to see in things. Repubs blame the dems, dems blame the repubs...it will be a fingerpointing shooting gallery for the foreseeable future.
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    • ON: Mon Sep 29th 11:39 AM
      Commented on:
      VeraSun Energy:Buyout Candidate, If Obama Wins
      I wonder if BP/VRNM can use an ethanol facility for their bio-mass ethanol process, if so, perhaps BP is interested in VSE?
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    • ON: Mon Sep 29th 11:38 AM
      Commented on:
      VeraSun Energy Could Be Attractive to the Right Buyer
      I wonder if BP/VRNM can use an ethanol facility for their bio-mass ethanol process, if so, perhaps BP is interested in VSE?
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    • ON: Fri Sep 26th 06:13 AM
      Commented on:
      Don't Be Fooled - Short Selling Restrictions Do Work
      naked short selling is the true culprit and enforce the uptick rule.

      I personally seek out short squeeze opportunities so I appreciate when shorts go bad...which of course means that I support short sellers in principal. I believe that they are entitled to take a short position so long as shares are available to borrow. But when one sees volume turnover like we have recently in some stocks it indicates that there is naked shorting...sometimes in excess of the entire float of the stock....that should be illegal.
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    • ON: Fri Sep 26th 06:02 AM
      Commented on:
      Analysts' Oil Forecasts Wildly Off Base
      oil supply/demand and peak oil theory is moot (although frankly I agree with it) if you simply switch to a resource that is universally acknowledged as infinite - the sun. Why expose our energy needs to the geo-political charged and environmentally harmful ramifications of oil? Well, it's happening, we're getting off of the stuff and alternative technologies are on the rise.

      To me and to a growing number of people, you peg your hat on the sure things in life - the sun rising everyday.

      So you guys go ahead and argue about your oil theories...but it's not the only energy source under the sun
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    • ON: Fri Sep 26th 05:41 AM
      Commented on:
      We Stand at a Precipice
      ultimately what we are on the precipice of is a recession for a small segment of the elite wealthy class of our society...yes, of course, what little trickle down there has been to the little guy will be affected as well but what are we talking about here, the little guy can no longer out borrow beyond his means? The little guy can no longer be exploited with high interest rates? Most people live on the first floor of the economy and their precipice is lower than yours. Yes, the fall will hurt but it won't be fatal...for those at the top...well let's not build so high next time.
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    • ON: Tue Sep 16th 09:00 AM
      Commented on:
      Government Intervention? Here's a Scorecard
      You think there is just one screw loose?! I think we need a whole new machine.

      I think the evidence clearly shows that without oversight markets are not free or competitive or healthy but corrupt...and we see the evidence everywhere not simply in FAS 157.
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    • ON: Tue Sep 16th 08:51 AM
      Commented on:
      Who Had Superior Economic Performance - the Democrats or the Republicans?
      Excellent article. Some new data that I have not read before. Great analogy, comparing Republican rhetoric with Soviet ideologues. I think you can find this use of tautology rampant within their thinking and I do not believe that they use it intentionally. What it demonstrates is a lack of critical thinking and simple bravado. It is simply, we are good because we are good. And unfortunately I believe it appeals to most people because it is accessible to them and any inductive or deductive type of thinking confuses them...and this is truly our demise.
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    • ON: Mon Sep 8th 10:59 AM
      Commented on:
      $300/Barrel Oil Is Coming - Barron's Interview
      I agree with others comments that the author does not take new non-oil technologies into consideration. There is biomass ethanol and sugar cane ethanol, and non-food grade ethanol technology being produced today at competitive rates. This fuel can easily be integrated using current gasoline distribution. Why else do you think BP invested in VRNM? Unless they want to get at the patent and bury the technology. Look into it.
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    • ON: Tue Sep 2nd 13:25 PM
      Commented on:
      Solar Breaks Oil Price Dependence
      A few notes here:

      1. Solar is not the only energy sector being subsidized. Don't people realize how much the oil industry is being subsidized, vis-a-vis fighting wars all over the world to secure extraction and safe passage? Solar is immune to these geo-political subsidies as the sun shines everywhere. In short, Oil subsidies dwarf solar subsidies and all other energy subsidies comibined. Anyone who doesn't think oil is subsidized does not understand the big picture at all.

      2. We don't need a Henry Ford of solar. That is not an apt metaphor really. The big cost savings will be with utilities adding to their grid as PG&E announced recently. Yes, maybe there will be an increase in individual use but the prime growth will come from industry seeing the cost savings. It will be huge.
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