Gaucho's Comments Gaucho's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/99920/comments Do We Goldbugs Finally Have Your Attention? http://seekingalpha.com/article/173065-do-we-goldbugs-finally-have-your-attention?source=feed#comment-758059 758059 Thu, 12 Nov 2009 22:14:02 -0500 IEA Whistleblower: Governments Underplaying Peak Oil http://seekingalpha.com/article/172539-iea-whistleblower-governments-underplaying-peak-oil?source=feed#comment-755812 755812 www.amconmag.com/artic.../. Ya see this FBI translator Sibel Edmonds, called the most gagged woman ever by the ACLU, and stated that fact under oath. It just so happens that IRAQ currently has the largest untapped supply of oil in the world. AT LEAST 115 known billion barrels.

Ain't it convenient that 911 came along so we could try and take it for pennies on the dollar? The best plans for mice and men and neocons are soon to go awry. I can hardly wait to send my son to die for the oil that we should have not needed if we would have implemented taxes and promoted efficiency and alternatives. But that would have not been the FREE MARKET and the free market mentality. ]]>
Wed, 11 Nov 2009 15:19:20 -0500 www.amconmag.com/artic.../. Ya see this FBI translator Sibel Edmonds, called the most gagged woman ever by the ACLU, and stated that fact under oath. It just so happens that IRAQ currently has the largest untapped supply of oil in the world. AT LEAST 115 known billion barrels.

Ain't it convenient that 911 came along so we could try and take it for pennies on the dollar? The best plans for mice and men and neocons are soon to go awry. I can hardly wait to send my son to die for the oil that we should have not needed if we would have implemented taxes and promoted efficiency and alternatives. But that would have not been the FREE MARKET and the free market mentality. ]]>
Arianna Huffington: New Media Outlets Must Prove Commitment to Truth http://seekingalpha.com/article/170132-arianna-huffington-new-media-outlets-must-prove-commitment-to-truth?source=feed#comment-742323 742323
Look at 911. The American conservative has an article called "Who is afraid of Sibel Edmonds" an FBI translator who says we were in a three way negotiation with Britain and Turkey on how to carve up Iraq in June 2001. She goes on to state that Bin Laden was in constant contact with the US up till the day of 911. www.amconmag.com/artic.../ Not a peep about the ramifications.

Amateur pilots fly a 767 at speeds 150 miles above the maximum speed that the 767 can do a sea level. Where the plane should have broken up much less have the power with the thick sea level air density to even achieve those speeds. Yet the plane was precisely controlled and hit the twin towers with just 25 feet to either side of its wings at 550 MPH. It is like parking in your garage at 90mph. Yet, NOT a peep from the mainstream media.

This is much worse than just lazy it is a deliberate effort to deceive.


On Nov 03 10:07 AM Jeff Nielson wrote:

> Obviously both the author AND the people making comments have things
> TOTALLY backwards. The "new media", located primarily on the internet,
> are the ONLY source for FACTS, and HONEST analysis.
>
> It is the MAINSTREAM media sources which have been totally discredited.
> It is these shills who were still "pumping" U.S. markets AFTER the
> crash had already started. And their current pumping, in the face
> of glaring fundamentals which again demonstrate they are DEAD WRONG
> with their "information" proves they have learned nothing.
>
> It is the "new media" which was RIGHT about the "War on Terror",
> RIGHT about the coming crash of the U.S. economy, and RIGHT (again)
> that there has been no "U.S. economic recovery".
>
> If not for the internet and the "new media" we would be LIVING the
> "1984" nightmare - as there are no few if ANY credible, mainstream
> media sources in Western societies.]]>
Tue, 03 Nov 2009 10:55:57 -0500
Look at 911. The American conservative has an article called "Who is afraid of Sibel Edmonds" an FBI translator who says we were in a three way negotiation with Britain and Turkey on how to carve up Iraq in June 2001. She goes on to state that Bin Laden was in constant contact with the US up till the day of 911. www.amconmag.com/artic.../ Not a peep about the ramifications.

Amateur pilots fly a 767 at speeds 150 miles above the maximum speed that the 767 can do a sea level. Where the plane should have broken up much less have the power with the thick sea level air density to even achieve those speeds. Yet the plane was precisely controlled and hit the twin towers with just 25 feet to either side of its wings at 550 MPH. It is like parking in your garage at 90mph. Yet, NOT a peep from the mainstream media.

This is much worse than just lazy it is a deliberate effort to deceive.


On Nov 03 10:07 AM Jeff Nielson wrote:

> Obviously both the author AND the people making comments have things
> TOTALLY backwards. The "new media", located primarily on the internet,
> are the ONLY source for FACTS, and HONEST analysis.
>
> It is the MAINSTREAM media sources which have been totally discredited.
> It is these shills who were still "pumping" U.S. markets AFTER the
> crash had already started. And their current pumping, in the face
> of glaring fundamentals which again demonstrate they are DEAD WRONG
> with their "information" proves they have learned nothing.
>
> It is the "new media" which was RIGHT about the "War on Terror",
> RIGHT about the coming crash of the U.S. economy, and RIGHT (again)
> that there has been no "U.S. economic recovery".
>
> If not for the internet and the "new media" we would be LIVING the
> "1984" nightmare - as there are no few if ANY credible, mainstream
> media sources in Western societies.]]>
Rolling Stone's Taibbi on Naked Short Sales: Close but No Cigar http://seekingalpha.com/article/168192-rolling-stone-s-taibbi-on-naked-short-sales-close-but-no-cigar?source=feed#comment-727500 727500 So with this article you have in my book identified yourself as a tool for the hedge funds or a fool. ]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2009 15:06:34 -0400 So with this article you have in my book identified yourself as a tool for the hedge funds or a fool. ]]> ETF Securities Plans a Physical Palladium ETF http://seekingalpha.com/article/168050-etf-securities-plans-a-physical-palladium-etf?source=feed#comment-725576 725576
Palladium is one metal that you shold buy in bars and store in a safety deposit box. ]]>
Thu, 22 Oct 2009 14:17:14 -0400
Palladium is one metal that you shold buy in bars and store in a safety deposit box. ]]>
Lennar Q3 Shows Signs of Stabilization http://seekingalpha.com/article/162594-lennar-q3-shows-signs-of-stabilization?source=feed#comment-685701 685701
So what is holding up the price except for the trillions the government is dumping into the market and unrealistic expectations that these companies will return to the good old days. ]]>
Mon, 21 Sep 2009 21:20:17 -0400
So what is holding up the price except for the trillions the government is dumping into the market and unrealistic expectations that these companies will return to the good old days. ]]>
Goldman Code Theft Bombshell http://seekingalpha.com/article/147721-goldman-code-theft-bombshell?source=feed#comment-579714 579714 Wed, 08 Jul 2009 19:10:43 -0400 Country Inflation Rates http://seekingalpha.com/article/144852-country-inflation-rates?source=feed#comment-559169 559169 Tue, 23 Jun 2009 13:12:25 -0400 The Future of Cold Fusion Investing http://seekingalpha.com/article/138399-the-future-of-cold-fusion-investing?source=feed#comment-522750 522750
Another point! IF the reactions happen just 10% of the time it would be very important. Many scientist have reported 30% of the time. Think of it this way I drop a ball in a vacuum and 10% of the time it accelerates faster than predicted. Would you say oh forget about it does not fit the prediction. If so then you are just not getting it. At this point they need to figure out what causes the reaction and how to optimize it.



On May 28 03:58 PM 31October wrote:

> It is now 2009, and I'm *still* waiting for scientists to reliably
> recreate cold fusion results. Don't believe Entertainment Tonight
> (i.e., the news). Tony Stark's palladium battery would be mass-produced
> before cold fusion becomes reality.
>
> Platinum & palladium have plenty of uses without sci-fi daydreams.
>
>
> To answer question number 2 "What is the better mining company: SWC
> or PAL?" without charging anybody $50:
>
> SWC.]]>
Fri, 29 May 2009 09:59:34 -0400
Another point! IF the reactions happen just 10% of the time it would be very important. Many scientist have reported 30% of the time. Think of it this way I drop a ball in a vacuum and 10% of the time it accelerates faster than predicted. Would you say oh forget about it does not fit the prediction. If so then you are just not getting it. At this point they need to figure out what causes the reaction and how to optimize it.



On May 28 03:58 PM 31October wrote:

> It is now 2009, and I'm *still* waiting for scientists to reliably
> recreate cold fusion results. Don't believe Entertainment Tonight
> (i.e., the news). Tony Stark's palladium battery would be mass-produced
> before cold fusion becomes reality.
>
> Platinum & palladium have plenty of uses without sci-fi daydreams.
>
>
> To answer question number 2 "What is the better mining company: SWC
> or PAL?" without charging anybody $50:
>
> SWC.]]>
Bond Expert Thursday Wrap: Treasuries Take a Drubbing http://seekingalpha.com/article/139040-bond-expert-thursday-wrap-treasuries-take-a-drubbing?source=feed#comment-513802 513802
You must mean the rally that will happen after the 2.5 PLUS trillion deficit that we finance this year? I am sure that we will be able to get the rest of the world to dump all their saving into US treasuries and all thoses banks to hold on to their US dollars just like China is doing?]]>
Thu, 21 May 2009 23:00:25 -0400
You must mean the rally that will happen after the 2.5 PLUS trillion deficit that we finance this year? I am sure that we will be able to get the rest of the world to dump all their saving into US treasuries and all thoses banks to hold on to their US dollars just like China is doing?]]>
Intel's Eurofine http://seekingalpha.com/article/137499-intel-s-eurofine?source=feed#comment-504484 504484 Thu, 14 May 2009 18:51:47 -0400 California: Trailblazing the Road to Insolvency for the Rest of Us? http://seekingalpha.com/article/137238-california-trailblazing-the-road-to-insolvency-for-the-rest-of-us?source=feed#comment-500890 500890 But you must remember these folks are heroes for working for 10-15 dollars an hour and having the government pay for their children’s health care while they could be working for 5 dollars a day south of the border.
And where is the Mexican government our amigo? Why aren’t the criminal illegal aliens rotting in their jails instead of ours for 50K per year. Why aren’t they volunteering to take and imprison these criminals? What do they make up, 30-40% of the total state prison population?
]]>
Tue, 12 May 2009 15:07:34 -0400 But you must remember these folks are heroes for working for 10-15 dollars an hour and having the government pay for their children’s health care while they could be working for 5 dollars a day south of the border.
And where is the Mexican government our amigo? Why aren’t the criminal illegal aliens rotting in their jails instead of ours for 50K per year. Why aren’t they volunteering to take and imprison these criminals? What do they make up, 30-40% of the total state prison population?
]]>
DNDN is a $7 stock - beware http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/410801-scibby/3576-dndn-is-a-7-stock-beware?source=feed#comment-497168 497168 What this hack forgot to mention was the market for Provenge worldwide is around 5 billion a year. Those Seeking Alpha people out there can calculate the price per share given the estimated revenue. Add the 12 other cancer treatments based on the same cassette technology with breast cancer being one of them that has gone through phase 1 trial with great results.

Do not let this fool dissuade you from a revolutionary shift in cancer treatments and the next DNA.
]]>
Sat, 09 May 2009 21:09:10 -0400 What this hack forgot to mention was the market for Provenge worldwide is around 5 billion a year. Those Seeking Alpha people out there can calculate the price per share given the estimated revenue. Add the 12 other cancer treatments based on the same cassette technology with breast cancer being one of them that has gone through phase 1 trial with great results.

Do not let this fool dissuade you from a revolutionary shift in cancer treatments and the next DNA.
]]>
Who Is the SEC Supposed to Serve? http://seekingalpha.com/article/135583-who-is-the-sec-supposed-to-serve?source=feed#comment-491775 491775 Wed, 06 May 2009 09:51:45 -0400 Credit Card Catastrophe: Congress Can't Help http://seekingalpha.com/article/134841-credit-card-catastrophe-congress-can-t-help?source=feed#comment-489612 489612
OHH no it was not the additional fees nor the interest rates that went from 5% sucker rate to the 25% "your screwed" rate. As soo as those bloodsuckers get their hands on someone they squeeze and squeeze. The republicans lifted all restraints on those bastards and they went about raping the consumers. Then they closed the trap by modifying the BK laws for the small guy. The excuse was "restraining the ability for financial flexibility in the market will limit the full potential and availability of credit to the consumer". Does this sound familiar "no regulation of the derivative market because it limit creation of new financial devices depriving the capital markets of their full potential". Same BS from a bunch of Wall Street Thugs that led to the financial collapse of over 400 TRILLION in these new super duper AAA rated Guaranteed by complex mathematics (that no one understood) never to fail. I know lets blame it on the house buyer that we pressed to buy buy buy.
Now they lament that they are losing credit card money as they drive folks into bankruptcy that they sent 10 credit card offers per day.
STICK IT YOU JUST DO NOT GET IT OR YOU DO NOT GIVE A DAMN
]]>
Mon, 04 May 2009 22:42:50 -0400
OHH no it was not the additional fees nor the interest rates that went from 5% sucker rate to the 25% "your screwed" rate. As soo as those bloodsuckers get their hands on someone they squeeze and squeeze. The republicans lifted all restraints on those bastards and they went about raping the consumers. Then they closed the trap by modifying the BK laws for the small guy. The excuse was "restraining the ability for financial flexibility in the market will limit the full potential and availability of credit to the consumer". Does this sound familiar "no regulation of the derivative market because it limit creation of new financial devices depriving the capital markets of their full potential". Same BS from a bunch of Wall Street Thugs that led to the financial collapse of over 400 TRILLION in these new super duper AAA rated Guaranteed by complex mathematics (that no one understood) never to fail. I know lets blame it on the house buyer that we pressed to buy buy buy.
Now they lament that they are losing credit card money as they drive folks into bankruptcy that they sent 10 credit card offers per day.
STICK IT YOU JUST DO NOT GET IT OR YOU DO NOT GIVE A DAMN
]]>
Tipping Point for U.S. Treasuries? http://seekingalpha.com/article/132315-tipping-point-for-u-s-treasuries?source=feed#comment-476686 476686

On Apr 22 09:13 AM BigJake wrote:

> I can't see the graphic you included because it is so damn small.
> is there anywhere I can look at it where it is enlarged?]]>
Fri, 24 Apr 2009 22:15:18 -0400

On Apr 22 09:13 AM BigJake wrote:

> I can't see the graphic you included because it is so damn small.
> is there anywhere I can look at it where it is enlarged?]]>
Dendreon: A $360 Stock? Or Is That Too Low? http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/128006-michael-murphy/1133-dendreon-a-360-stock-or-is-that-too-low?source=feed#comment-471790 471790 Tue, 21 Apr 2009 17:39:10 -0400 Why I Prefer Excel Maritime to DryShips http://seekingalpha.com/article/128709-why-i-prefer-excel-maritime-to-dryships?source=feed#comment-455387 455387
A good sign is that Cramer is bashing the hell out of this stock. He is a front for the hedge funds and will do their bidding. Another stock I own is DNDN and he is bashing the hell out of that one every day. I two weeks they will announce the results of yet another positive Phase three trial and the we will see it go from the 6+ to 30+. My last purchase was in the low 3's just two weeks ago.


Remember the louder that jerk Cramer yells sell the more trouble his hedge buddies are in.]]>
Tue, 07 Apr 2009 17:23:13 -0400
A good sign is that Cramer is bashing the hell out of this stock. He is a front for the hedge funds and will do their bidding. Another stock I own is DNDN and he is bashing the hell out of that one every day. I two weeks they will announce the results of yet another positive Phase three trial and the we will see it go from the 6+ to 30+. My last purchase was in the low 3's just two weeks ago.


Remember the louder that jerk Cramer yells sell the more trouble his hedge buddies are in.]]>
Cramer's Lightning Round - Getting Out of Line (4/2/09) http://seekingalpha.com/article/129223-cramer-s-lightning-round-getting-out-of-line-4-2-09?source=feed#comment-451944 451944
Listen to Cramer at your own risk]]>
Sat, 04 Apr 2009 21:26:29 -0400
Listen to Cramer at your own risk]]>
DryShips: Not Concerned by 'Going Concern' Warning http://seekingalpha.com/article/128575-dryships-not-concerned-by-going-concern-warning?source=feed#comment-447187 447187 Tue, 31 Mar 2009 19:00:00 -0400 Did Dendreon Play with Fire? http://seekingalpha.com/article/127883-did-dendreon-play-with-fire?source=feed#comment-440987 440987
Another tidbit of information was that the interim was at 20% separation while the final only needs to be at 22% separation. I believe that this near miss in the interim was the reason the DMC and the FDA and DNDN all reviewed the data together to determine if the trial should be stopped due to its significant efficacy. They decided to wait until the final data that is due for release in April.

Another piece of information missing is that in the 2 previous phase 3 trials they achieved a combined curve separation of 33% at final and this trial is tracking the previous trials.

Perhaps you also forgot to mention that this is the first biological treatment for cancer on track to be approved by the FDA and that this will be a whole new way of treating cancer. You also forgot to mention that company has at least 12 other cancers treatments are going to use the same cassette technology. With the breast cancer treatment has gone through phase 1 trials and has show similar results to the prostate treatment now nearing approval.

The hedge funds have screwed up by betting against this company and are using their media outlets to scare the retail investor so they can get out of their short positions without too much financial pain.
]]>
Thu, 26 Mar 2009 11:01:07 -0400
Another tidbit of information was that the interim was at 20% separation while the final only needs to be at 22% separation. I believe that this near miss in the interim was the reason the DMC and the FDA and DNDN all reviewed the data together to determine if the trial should be stopped due to its significant efficacy. They decided to wait until the final data that is due for release in April.

Another piece of information missing is that in the 2 previous phase 3 trials they achieved a combined curve separation of 33% at final and this trial is tracking the previous trials.

Perhaps you also forgot to mention that this is the first biological treatment for cancer on track to be approved by the FDA and that this will be a whole new way of treating cancer. You also forgot to mention that company has at least 12 other cancers treatments are going to use the same cassette technology. With the breast cancer treatment has gone through phase 1 trials and has show similar results to the prostate treatment now nearing approval.

The hedge funds have screwed up by betting against this company and are using their media outlets to scare the retail investor so they can get out of their short positions without too much financial pain.
]]>
Goldman and Morgan Stanley: Banks of Choice - Barron's http://seekingalpha.com/article/126021-goldman-and-morgan-stanley-banks-of-choice-barron-s?source=feed#comment-427435 427435 Mon, 16 Mar 2009 09:36:29 -0400 LDK Solar Appears a Strong Long Term Investment http://seekingalpha.com/article/126066-ldk-solar-appears-a-strong-long-term-investment?source=feed#comment-427429 427429
I think that any hedge fund that would short this company when it is below 5 dollars is peopled with fools or they know that a slew of bad press will allow them to get out with a bag full of money.

BTW many companies are shocked by the down turn in the economy. LDK is not the only one, but like you said LDK is in a position to weather the storm while it's competition will not be able to compete with LDKs cost bases.
]]>
Mon, 16 Mar 2009 09:32:38 -0400
I think that any hedge fund that would short this company when it is below 5 dollars is peopled with fools or they know that a slew of bad press will allow them to get out with a bag full of money.

BTW many companies are shocked by the down turn in the economy. LDK is not the only one, but like you said LDK is in a position to weather the storm while it's competition will not be able to compete with LDKs cost bases.
]]>
New York Fed's Model Predicts End of Recession in 2009 http://seekingalpha.com/article/124223-new-york-fed-s-model-predicts-end-of-recession-in-2009?source=feed#comment-414218 414218 Thu, 05 Mar 2009 10:49:01 -0500 Why the U.S. Dollar Is Vulnerable to Decline Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/123965-why-the-u-s-dollar-is-vulnerable-to-decline-now?source=feed#comment-413503 413503

With the US borrowing over 2 trillion this year China and the rest of he world do not have the US export dollar reserves to buy 4 times what they bought before. The US will need to borrow even more in the future as the economy does not perform as the optimistic are predicting.

The US government is lending its gold to drive down the price of gold. This can continue only as long as the US is eventually forced into really supplying gold. Given the worlds appetite for gold will increase as the dollars falls and other currencies become more unstable, eventually, REAL demand for deliveries of gold in the markets will force the price up.

This is not going to pretty.
]]>
Wed, 04 Mar 2009 20:37:54 -0500

With the US borrowing over 2 trillion this year China and the rest of he world do not have the US export dollar reserves to buy 4 times what they bought before. The US will need to borrow even more in the future as the economy does not perform as the optimistic are predicting.

The US government is lending its gold to drive down the price of gold. This can continue only as long as the US is eventually forced into really supplying gold. Given the worlds appetite for gold will increase as the dollars falls and other currencies become more unstable, eventually, REAL demand for deliveries of gold in the markets will force the price up.

This is not going to pretty.
]]>
Chart of the Week: GDP Worse than Expected http://seekingalpha.com/article/123306-chart-of-the-week-gdp-worse-than-expected?source=feed#comment-407435 407435
The last administartion lied about virtually every action and fact it could. That and secrecy became the norm. If you want to make money at investing then you had better get beyond you love of a dogma and start to think for yourselves. Other wise you all will become that so called lazy stupid lower class that you struggle so hard to believe that you are better than. You will be just another sucker albeit a little more educated with your heads full of bullshit.

With that said, if you really believe that this is just a bad recession and that it will recover by the end of the year then kiss your money goodby chump.]]>
Sun, 01 Mar 2009 00:17:36 -0500
The last administartion lied about virtually every action and fact it could. That and secrecy became the norm. If you want to make money at investing then you had better get beyond you love of a dogma and start to think for yourselves. Other wise you all will become that so called lazy stupid lower class that you struggle so hard to believe that you are better than. You will be just another sucker albeit a little more educated with your heads full of bullshit.

With that said, if you really believe that this is just a bad recession and that it will recover by the end of the year then kiss your money goodby chump.]]>
DryShips: The Time to Buy Is Now http://seekingalpha.com/article/119353-dryships-the-time-to-buy-is-now?source=feed#comment-383760 383760 Wed, 11 Feb 2009 09:40:37 -0500 Treasury Yields Hovering at Historic Lows http://seekingalpha.com/article/115031-treasury-yields-hovering-at-historic-lows?source=feed#comment-357771 357771
When I see so called experts quoting the government published inflation numbers without qualifications I tend to think of them as counter indicators. Once inflation really gets out of the bag and we start to see rates in the mid 20s and even thirties maybe even the dumbest analysts will finally stop believing the BS. Then again Dumb is terminal.

We are on a sinking financial ship and no, this is not a subprime mortgage issue, it is a derivatives issue and huge corruption on Wall Street. For 900 billion we could buy every subprime mortgage and write it down to zero. Obama will print money like crazy since he has been handed a sinking financial ship and has no choise but to bail. The end result will be inflation on a massive scale. Don’t buy the deflation crap just look back to the stagflation days and you will see what is coming, but this time it will be on steroids.
PS unless you have figured out my position; the author has it about right.
]]>
Fri, 16 Jan 2009 12:39:46 -0500
When I see so called experts quoting the government published inflation numbers without qualifications I tend to think of them as counter indicators. Once inflation really gets out of the bag and we start to see rates in the mid 20s and even thirties maybe even the dumbest analysts will finally stop believing the BS. Then again Dumb is terminal.

We are on a sinking financial ship and no, this is not a subprime mortgage issue, it is a derivatives issue and huge corruption on Wall Street. For 900 billion we could buy every subprime mortgage and write it down to zero. Obama will print money like crazy since he has been handed a sinking financial ship and has no choise but to bail. The end result will be inflation on a massive scale. Don’t buy the deflation crap just look back to the stagflation days and you will see what is coming, but this time it will be on steroids.
PS unless you have figured out my position; the author has it about right.
]]>
What Is Going On With Gold? http://seekingalpha.com/article/113817-what-is-going-on-with-gold?source=feed#comment-349799 349799
The government has take and or supplied banks with 8.5 trillion in 2008 alone. The banks are failing and will continue to fail this year at an accelerated rate. Huge stimulus packages will need to be implemented and frequently.

The government is supposed to finance about 40% of its existing debt and about 2 trillion of new debt next year. Who is going to pay for these bonds at 3% interest rates. We were consuming 2/3 of the worlds savings in 2006 and now we are asking for more than twice as much at the same time importing fewer goods. There will be less imported dollars to buy these bonds with. The foreign countries will need to print more money just to buy these bonds and incur inflation in their own countries.

Finally, the US not the only player in the game. There are many others now, although not as large, that are significant in size. There are other gold and silver exchanges now and the US government will have a hard time controlling them. Inflation in other countries will cause their population to reach for gold as a safe haven for wealth. Besides when the true extent of the corruption of the US stock markets becomes known the US will no longer be viewed as a safe haven for investments. We may, in the future no longer, be the only large center for world finance.
]]>
Thu, 08 Jan 2009 12:17:49 -0500
The government has take and or supplied banks with 8.5 trillion in 2008 alone. The banks are failing and will continue to fail this year at an accelerated rate. Huge stimulus packages will need to be implemented and frequently.

The government is supposed to finance about 40% of its existing debt and about 2 trillion of new debt next year. Who is going to pay for these bonds at 3% interest rates. We were consuming 2/3 of the worlds savings in 2006 and now we are asking for more than twice as much at the same time importing fewer goods. There will be less imported dollars to buy these bonds with. The foreign countries will need to print more money just to buy these bonds and incur inflation in their own countries.

Finally, the US not the only player in the game. There are many others now, although not as large, that are significant in size. There are other gold and silver exchanges now and the US government will have a hard time controlling them. Inflation in other countries will cause their population to reach for gold as a safe haven for wealth. Besides when the true extent of the corruption of the US stock markets becomes known the US will no longer be viewed as a safe haven for investments. We may, in the future no longer, be the only large center for world finance.
]]>
10 Contrarian Reasons for a Bottom http://seekingalpha.com/article/109632-10-contrarian-reasons-for-a-bottom?source=feed#comment-323785 323785
So what if the stock market is at about normal levels when viewed from the turn of last century and a typical bottom is less than 1/2 of the current value.

You are predicting that the market will rally based on tea leaves and some typical historic factors that do not apply in a once in a century event. Based on what economic fundamentals? If this stock market rallies to 10k I will jump in all the way on the short side since I like to bet against stupidity.

Needless to say I strongly disagree.
]]>
Mon, 08 Dec 2008 10:56:15 -0500
So what if the stock market is at about normal levels when viewed from the turn of last century and a typical bottom is less than 1/2 of the current value.

You are predicting that the market will rally based on tea leaves and some typical historic factors that do not apply in a once in a century event. Based on what economic fundamentals? If this stock market rallies to 10k I will jump in all the way on the short side since I like to bet against stupidity.

Needless to say I strongly disagree.
]]>