Earnings Analysis: Home Depot Inc.

| About: Home Depot, (HD)

Home Depot Inc. (NYSE:HD) reports preliminary financial results for the quarter ended 2012-10-31.

Home Depot Inc. recently reported its preliminary financial results based on which CapitalCube provides a unique peer-based analysis of the company. Our analysis is based on the company's performance over the last twelve months (unless stated otherwise).

Home Depot Inc.'s analysis versus peers uses the following peer-set: Lowe's Cos. (NYSE:LOW), Kingfisher PLC ADR (OTCQX:KGFHY), Home Product Center PCL (HMPRO), Lumber Liquidators Holdings Inc. (NYSE:LL), RONA inc. (RON), Hornbach Holding AG (HBH3) and Bricorama S.A. (ALBRI). The table below shows the preliminary results along with the recent trend for revenues, net income and returns.



Quarterly (USD million) 2012-10-31 2012-07-31 2012-04-30 2012-01-31 2011-10-31
Revenues 18,130.0 20,570.0 17,808.0 16,014.0 17,326.0
Revenue Growth % (11.9) 15.5 11.2 (7.6) (14.4)
Net Income 947.0 1,532.0 1,035.0 774.0 934.0
Net Income Growth % (38.2) 48.0 33.7 (17.1) (31.5)
Net Margin % 5.2 7.4 5.8 4.8 5.4
ROE % (Annualized) 21.4 34.4 23.1 17.4 20.8
ROA % (Annualized) 9.1 14.4 9.9 7.5 8.9


Valuation Drivers

Home Depot Inc.'s current Price/Book of 5.2 is about median in its peer group. Home Depot Inc.'s operating performance is higher than the median of its chosen peers (ROE of 24.2% compared to the peer median ROE of 10.9%) but the market does not seem to expect higher growth relative to peers (PE of 21.9 compared to peer median of 21.3) but simply to maintain its relatively high rates of return.

The company attempts to achieve high profit margins (currently 5.9% vs. peer median of 4.5%) through differentiated products. It currently operates with peer median asset turns of 1.7x. Home Depot Inc.'s net margin is its highest relative to the last five years and compares to a low of 3.2% in 2009.

Economic Moat

The company's revenues performance is worse than its peer median (year-on-year change revenue of 3.5%) but its earnings have been relatively good -- annual earnings changed by 16.3% compared to the peer median of 3.8%, implying that relative to peers, it is focused on earnings and/or selective about what top-line growth opportunities it pursues. Home Depot Inc. currently converts every 1% of change in revenue into 4.6% of change in annual reported earnings.

Home Depot Inc.'s return on assets is above its peer median both in the current period (10.3% vs. peer median 5.6%) and also over the past five years (7.7% vs. peer median 5.5%). This performance suggests that the company's relatively high operating returns are sustainable.

The company's gross margin of 34.7% is around peer median suggesting that Home Depot Inc.'s operations do not benefit from any differentiating pricing advantage. However, Home Depot Inc.'s pre-tax margin is more than the peer median (9.4% compared to 6.1%) suggesting relatively tight control on operating costs.

Growth & Investment Strategy

While Home Depot Inc.'s revenues growth has been below the peer median in the last few years (-0.4% vs. 2.5% respectively for the past three years), the market still gives the stock an about peer median PE ratio of 21.9. The market seems to see the company as a long-term strategic bet.

Home Depot Inc.'s annualized rate of change in capital of -0.6% over the past three years is less than its peer median of 3.9%. This investment has generated a better than peer median return on capital of 11.4% averaged over the same three years. This combination of a relatively low investment with good returns suggests that the company is likely milking its business.

Earnings Quality

Home Depot Inc. has reported relatively strong net income margin for the last twelve months (5.9% vs. peer median of 4.5%). This margin performance combined with relatively high accruals (2.8% vs. peer median of 1.2%) suggests possible conservative accounting and an understatement of its reported net income.

Home Depot Inc.'s accruals over the last twelve months are positive suggesting a buildup of reserves. In addition, the level of accrual is greater than the peer median -- which suggests a relatively strong buildup in reserves compared to its peers.

Trend Charts


Company Profile

The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer that sells building materials and home improvement products. The company provides its products and services through Home Depot stores, selling a range of building materials, home improvement products and lawn and garden products, as well as providing various installation services. The Home Depot stores serve three primary customer groups: do-it-yourself customers, do-it-for-me customers and professional customers. Major product groups include: plumbing, electrical and kitchen, hardware and seasonal, building materials, lumber and millwork and paint and flooring. The company was founded by Bernie Marcus, Arthur Blank, Kenneth Langone and Pat Farrah on June 29, 1978 and is headquartered at Atlanta, GA.



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Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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Tagged: , Home Improvement Stores, Earnings
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