Intel: A Big Contrarian Bet In The High Technology Sector

| About: Intel Corporation (INTC)

As the new year begins, contrarian investors may want to take a close look at out-of-favor leading high technology companies that could be turning the corner. Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) is one of them. Here are seven reasons to give the company a closer look.

1. An improving chart. Intel's stock continues to trade below the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, but it has crossed the 50-day moving average, signaling a possible shift in momentum.

Click to enlarge image.

2. A low valuation. At $21.60, the company trades close to 70% below its 2000 highs, with its forward P/E below the industry average.


Recent Price

Forward P/E

Intel (INTC)



Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD)






Texas Instruments (NYSE:TXN)



Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM)



Broadcom (BRCM)



Source: Yahoo Finance.

3. An upgrade cycle. According to the Semiconductor Industry Association, global semiconductor sales totaled $25.73 billion in December, up 9.7% from April and 2% from the previous month.

4. Barriers to entry. Binding barriers to entry make the industry an oligopoly that allows Intel -- as a larger player -- to enjoy economies of scale while maintaining pricing power.

5. Increased dividend. Intel has been boosting its dividend for the last five years. It now stands at 4.20%, among the highest in the high-tech industry.

6. Successful transition from PCs to mobile devices. This happened with the introduction of new products like the Atom chip, which powers Windows 8 smartphones.

7. A change in leadership. This is usually followed by new strategic initiatives to improve both the top and bottom lines of the company.

A few words of caution: In the high technology industry, winner takes all. Investors must keep an eye on the growth of Intel's revenues from new products. A big jump will confirm that the contrarian bet is going to pay off.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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