Tracking the Odds of Positive Economic Growth in Q309

by: Mark J. Perry

Back in early March, the Intrade odds of positive economic growth in the U.S. for the third quarter was only 25%.

Click to enlarge:

Those odds of positive real GDP growth in Q3 have recently risen to 90%, as many economic indicators now point to an economic recovery and positive growth this quarter (July, Aug., Sept.), see chart above (Intrade link here).