ModernGraham Quarterly Valuation Of Halliburton Company

| About: Halliburton Company (HAL)
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Benjamin Graham taught that Intelligent Investors must do a thorough fundamental analysis of investment opportunities to determine their intrinsic value and inherent risk. This is best done by utilizing a systematic approach to analysis that will provide investors with a sense of how a specific company compares to another company. By using the ModernGraham method one can review a company's historical accomplishments and determine an intrinsic value that can be compared across industries. What follows is a specific look at how Halliburton Company fares in the ModernGraham valuation model.

HAL Chart

HAL data by YCharts

Defensive Investor - must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests: Score = 5/7

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise - market capitalization of at least $2 billion - PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition - current ratio greater than 2 - PASS
  3. Earnings Stability - positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years - PASS
  4. Dividend Record - has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years - PASS
  5. Earnings Growth - earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3 year averages at beginning and end of period - PASS
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio - PEmg is less than 20 - FAIL
  7. Moderate Price to Assets - PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50 - FAIL

Enterprising Investor - must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for a defensive investor: Score = 5/5

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 - current ratio greater than 1.5 - PASS
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 - Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1 - PASS
  3. Earnings Stability - positive earnings per share for at least 5 years - PASS
  4. Dividend Record - currently pays a dividend - PASS
  5. Earnings growth - EPSmg greater than 5 years ago - PASS

Valuation Summary

Key Data:

Recent Price $56.90
MG Value $42.09
MG Opinion Overvalued
Value Based on 3% Growth $36.51
Value Based on 0% Growth $21.40
Market Implied Growth Rate 7.05%
Net Current Asset Value (NCAV) -$2.28
PEmg 22.60
Current Ratio 2.73
PB Ratio 3.56

Balance Sheet - 12/31/2013

Current Assets $13,704,000,000
Current Liabilities $5,026,000,000
Total Debt $7,816,000,000
Total Assets $29,223,000,000
Intangible Assets $2,168,000,000
Total Liabilities $15,642,000,000
Outstanding Shares 849,000,000

Earnings Per Share

2013 $2.33
2012 $2.78
2011 $3.26
2010 $1.97
2009 $1.28
2008 $2.17
2007 $2.66
2006 $2.16
2005 $2.27
2004 $0.44
2003 $0.39
2002 -$0.4

Earnings Per Share - ModernGraham

2013 $2.52
2012 $2.51
2011 $2.33
2010 $1.93
2009 $1.98
2008 $2.20

Dividend History

HAL Dividend Chart

HAL Dividend data by YCharts


Halliburton is suitable for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor, due to high PEmg and PB ratios. The company passes all of the requirements of the Enterprising Investor. As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham's methods should feel comfortable proceeding with further research into the company. From a valuation perspective, the company has risen its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.98 in 2009 to $2.52 for 2013, a level of demonstrated historical growth that does not provide enough support for the market's current implied estimate of earnings growth of 7.05%. The low earnings growth results in the ModernGraham valuation model providing an estimate of intrinsic value that is below the market's current price, indicating the company may be overvalued currently.

Disclaimer: The author did not hold a position in Halliburton Company or any of the other companies listed in this article at the time of publication and had no intention of changing that position within the next 72 hours.