Stephen Simpson, CFA
Long only, growth at reasonable price, value, research analyst

Hoya's Prospects Brightened By Life Care

As the computer and display-weighted technology businesses stabilize and the life care/health care businesses grow, Hoya's (OTCPK:HOCPY) prospects have improved. Sell-side analysts still seem to have relatively restrained revenue growth expectations, despite double-digit growth in life care today, significant untapped potential in emerging markets, and both a balance sheet and cash flow profile that could support acquisitions to drive further growth.

Valuation is a little more complicated. With the shares up almost 70% over the past year (the Tokyo-listed shares, that is), the valuation is not quite so compelling but I wouldn't say the shares are overvalued. Consistently solid returns on capital would argue for an attractive discount rate, and the sell-side may well be underestimating the...

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