5 More Undervalued Companies For The Enterprising Investor Near 52-Week Lows

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Includes: BGS, F, FMC, GPS, LUK-OLD
by: Benjamin Clark

Summary

All five of these companies are rated as undervalued by the ModernGraham valuation model based on Benjamin Graham's formula.

Each company also is suitable for the Enterprising Investor following the ModernGraham approach.

Out of 400-plus companies reviewed by ModernGraham, these five are among the few currently trading near 52-week lows.

There are a number of great companies in the market today. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I've selected five companies with high betas which have been determined to be undervalued based on a formula taught by Benjamin Graham.

Each company has been determined to be suitable for the Enterprising Investor, according to the ModernGraham approach, which is a modernized version of legendary value investor Benjamin Graham's requirements for Intelligent Investing.

Defensive Investors are defined as investors who are not able or willing to do substantial research into individual investments, and therefore need to select only the companies that present the least amount of risk. Enterprising Investors, on the other hand, are able to do substantial research and can select companies that present a moderate (though still low) amount of risk. Each company suitable for the Defensive Investor also is suitable for Enterprising Investors.

To be considered by the Defensive Investor, a company must pass at least 6 of the following 7 tests.

  1. Adequate Size of Enterprise - market capitalization of at least $2 billion.
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition - current ratio greater than 2.
  3. Earnings Stability - positive earnings per share for at least 10 straight years.
  4. Dividend Record - has paid a dividend for at least 10 straight years.
  5. Earnings Growth - earnings per share has increased by at least 1/3 over the last 10 years using 3-year averages at beginning and end of period.
  6. Moderate PEmg ratio (price over normalized earnings) - PEmg is less than 20
  7. Moderate Price to Assets - PB ratio is less than 2.5 or PB x PEmg is less than 50.

Note: If the company is a financial or insurance company, test #2 regarding the financial condition is not required; however, the company must pass all six of the remaining tests.

To be considered by the Enterprising Investor, a company must pass at least 4 of the following 5 tests or be suitable for the Defensive Investor.

  1. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 1 - current ratio greater than 1.5.
  2. Sufficiently Strong Financial Condition, Part 2 - Debt to Net Current Assets ratio less than 1.1.
  3. Earnings Stability - positive earnings per share for at least 5 years.
  4. Dividend Record - currently pays a dividend.
  5. Earnings growth - EPSmg greater than 5 years ago.

Note: If the company is a financial or insurance company, tests No. 1 and No. 2 regarding the financial condition are not required; however, the company must pass all three of the remaining tests.

The ModernGraham valuation model is based on Benjamin Graham's formula, Intrinsic Value = EPS x (8.5 x 2g), and is intended to give a good estimate of a company's value. ModernGraham uses a normalized EPS figure ("EPSmg") based on the last five years of earnings data, and a cumulative average growth rate based on the change in EPSmg over the last five years. This article on ModernGraham explains some of the background of the formula and performs a simple back-test.

To see the detailed full valuations of each of the following companies, please visit the ModernGraham Valuation Index.

1. FMC Corp (NYSE:FMC)

FMC Corporation is not suitable for the Defensive Investor but does satisfy the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor has concerns with the low current ratio, lack of dividend payments and the high PB ratio, while the Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham's methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities. As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.55 in 2010 to an estimated $3.38 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 5.42% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (Read the full valuation on ModernGraham.com)

FMC Chart

FMC data by YCharts

2. Leucadia National Corp (NYSE:LUK-OLD)

Leucadia National Corporation qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor has concerns with the low current ratio, lack of earnings stability over the last ten years, and the poor dividend history. The Enterprising Investor's only initial concern is the low current ratio. As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham's methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities. As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.20 in 2010 to an estimated $1.85 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 1.87% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (Read the full valuation on ModernGraham.com)

LUK Chart

LUK data by YCharts

3. B&G Foods Inc. (NYSE:BGS)

B&G Foods Inc. qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor has numerous concerns and in fact is only pleased by the size of the company and the earnings growth over the last ten years. The Enterprising Investor's only initial concern is the high level of debt relative to the net current assets. As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham's methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities. From a valuation perspective, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $0.49 in 2010 to an estimated $1.21 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 7.55% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (Read the full valuation on ModernGraham.com)

BGS Chart

BGS data by YCharts

4. The Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS)

The Gap Inc. is not suitable for the Defensive Investor but does qualify for the Enterprising Investor. The Defensive Investor has concerns with the low current ratio and the high PB ratio, while the Enterprising Investor has no initial concerns. As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham's methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities. As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from $1.52 in 2011 to an estimated $2.50 for 2015. This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 5.00% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (Read the full valuation on ModernGraham.com)

GPS Chart

GPS data by YCharts

5. Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F)

Ford Motor Company qualifies for the Enterprising Investor but not the Defensive Investor. The Defensive Investor is concerned with the low current ratio, insufficient earnings stability over the last ten years as well as the inconsistent dividend history. The company passes all of the Enterprising Investor's requirements. As a result, Enterprising Investors following the ModernGraham approach based on Benjamin Graham's methods should feel comfortable proceeding with research into the company and comparing it to other opportunities. As for a valuation, the company appears to be undervalued after growing its EPSmg (normalized earnings) from a loss of $1.14 in 2010 to an estimated gain of $1.92 for 2014. This level of demonstrated growth outpaces the market's implied estimate of 0.27% earnings growth and leads the ModernGraham valuation model, based on Benjamin Graham's formula, to return an estimate of intrinsic value above the price. (Read the full valuation on ModernGraham.com)

F Chart

F data by YCharts

Disclosure: The author is long F.

The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.