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Turning Point

Oct. 25, 2014 4:00 PM ETANF, CAT, TPR, F, META, GM, HAL, IBM, JOY, KO, CPRI, TWTR, VMW, DELL79 Comments
George Acs profile picture
George Acs
3.38K Followers

Summary

  • Turning points in markets occur, but warnings or advance notice are inconsistently accurate.
  • Individual investors reportedly sold equities en masse from retirement accounts after the decline and purchase fixed-income products after interest rates had risen.
  • The prospect of a delay in the Federal Reserve's ending of Quantitative Easing may have been a critical component in the reversal of stock markets.

It's too bad that life doesn't come with highly specific indicators that give us direction or at least warn us when our path isn't the best available.

Parents are supposed to do that sort of thing, but in real life the rules are pretty simple. You don't go swimming for 30 minutes after a meal, you don't kill people and you don't swallow your chewing gum.

The seven additional commandments are really just derivative of those critically important first three.

Knowing the difference between right and wrong gives one the ability to change direction when getting too close to what is known to be on the wrong side of what society finds acceptable. Most people get the concept and also apply it to their personal safety.

In stock investing it's not that simple, although there are lots of rules and all kinds of advance warning signals that may or may not work, depending on whether you were giving or receiving the information. As opposed to adolescents who eventually become adults and lose the "it can never happen to me" mentality, investors often feel a sense of immunity from what may await just beyond that point that others would avoid.

It would have been really, really nice if there was some kind of warning system that both alerted us to an upcoming decline and especially the fact that it would be abruptly followed by a reversal.

Much has been said about the various kinds of recoveries that can be seen, but if this most recent bounce higher will in fact be the recovery to the nearly 9% drop on an intra-day basis, then it is certainly of the "V-shape" variety.

This week came word that by a very large margin, the activity in personal 401(k) retirement accounts had been to move out of

This article was written by

George Acs profile picture
3.38K Followers
I am a simple individual investor who believes that the playing field is level, but may require active management of one's holdings. I've devised a series of steps that constitute a highly defined covered option strategy that most anyone can follow and that I've described in Option to Profit (2011). Having retired from a career in Pediatric Dentistry, approximately 10 years ahead of schedule, after spending the previous 10 years working just 2 1/2 days each week, I now spend my time trading.For almost 5 years I alerted others of trading opportunities in large cap positions through the Option to Profit subscription service, a premium subscription service that provided actionable Trading Alerts via text messaging or e-mail at my old site www.optiontoprofit.com. As of January 2, 2017, the site  and the name "Option to Profit" are no longer mine. as I've again joined the dark side and taken the easy money. But I've returned to my blogging roots on January 2, 2017 by resurrecting the old TheAcsMan.com ad supported web site, open to all.That, too, ended and the new, subscriber based LEAPtoProfit.com which launched July 2018 and is geared to the less active trader who is either shifting into a "buy and hold" strategy, as am I in this next to final stage of my investing career or seeks to milk an existing "buy and hold" portfolio.Current;y. the LEAPtoProfit p[ortfolio is fully invested and the paywall has been removed until December 2019 when I expect an infusion of cash from position assignments.Ultimately, I hope to make my stock portfolio improve the quality of my life. Whatever stage of life you are in, you can make your stocks improve that quality by putting them to work for you and perhaps LEAPtoProfit can be part of that process.

Analyst’s Disclosure: The author is long ANF, COH, EMC, HAL, JOY. The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I may buy/add shares or sell puts in ANF, COH, EMC, F, FB, HAL, JOY and TWTR

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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