You Just Can't Own Eros Here

Summary

  • Controversy over EROS includes questions about its accounting, cash flow and film library.
  • Numerous larger investors have recently increased stakes in the company.
  • The information provided by both bulls and bears leads us to inconclusive results; while we don't see reward shorting here, we think EROS must be avoided for the time being.

By Parke Shall with Thom Lachenmann

I always bring Thom in with me when I'm looking at a company that's being questioned by short sellers. He can provide the balance I need to make sure that I'm seeing both sides objectively. Eros International (EROS) is a case where we've talked about the company for weeks now amongst ourselves, initially concluding it's an outright fraud, but now pulling back our conclusions to a point where it's going to depend on the company's coming results.

The controversy over EROS over the last few months has caused shares to decline almost 66% to levels where they now sit, around $10 per share. For weeks, short sellers, led by Seeking Alpha's own Alpha Exposure, have been alleging that EROS is hiding something from shareholders, noting the company's ballooning accounts receivable, lack of cash flow, and inconsistent labeling of its films.

To read Alpha Exposure's full analysis, you can click here and scroll through their articles.

We have read all of the critical reports as well as the commentary on Twitter and other social networking financial sites. We've also read all of the company's responses and the corresponding financial statements that have been called into question.

The reason that we are commenting on EROS is that a number of institutional investors have raised their stakes in the company over the last week, prompting us to once again look at the story. We want to look at all of the items in question and try and draw a reasonable conclusion one way or the other. What we have discovered is that we do not believe there is a trade or an investment here at this point, long or short, and that we think investors may be better served waiting for more information to come out before getting involved with EROS.

This article was written by

Contributors: Scott Tzu, Parke Shall, Thom Lachenmann (contributors write under pen names for anonymity purposes) Please read Seeking Alpha's Policy on Anonymous Contributors to familiarize yourself with the site's terms and conditions relating to anonymous authors.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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