The Golden State Of California's Office Market And Its Impact On REITs

Jan. 05, 2016 9:48 AM ETARE, BXP, ESS, HPP, KRC6 Comments
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Chilton REIT Team
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Summary

  • There have been recent concerns of another California tech bubble and its potential impact on the office real estate market.
  • Millennials are having a significant impact on where companies office, driving companies from Silicon Valley to San Francisco.
  • In San Francisco, new construction will likely not be able to meet future demands due to a regulation that limits new construction.
  • A majority of the tenants taking up new space are quite healthy.
  • REITs are in position to create excellent risk-adjusted returns even if the market were to cool.

Recently there have been concerns in California of another tech crash like the state experienced in 2000. During that time, California's private sector lost 25% of its jobs - jobs that have only just been recovered. As a result, tech-focused real estate fundamentals followed suit. Fast forward fifteen years (Figure 1), and San Francisco office rents are finally above their 2000 peak and vacancy is at 5.5%.

California and tech are synonymous. The state accounts for almost one-fifth of the country's tech jobs. The industry has become so engrained into California's culture that entire markets and even cities are adapting to accommodate them. New, lively submarkets are being created, and an emphasis has been placed on more efficient and sustainable space. Real estate owners who have acknowledged this trend have seen rents rise, occupancies increase, and space being leased before it is even completed.

All Work, Live, and Play

Over the next 10 years, there is expected to be intense competition for talent, especially within STEM (science, technology, engineering, and math) jobs. According to the Deloitte Center for Financial Services, there will be surplus demand for over 23 million STEM workers in the US by 2025, making anyone with experience and education highly sought after. To fill positions with the talent required, companies will need to be located in areas preferred by the largest segment of the country's employment base: Millennials (the generation born between 1982 and 2004).

As a "knowledge-based" economy, California is the ideal market for attracting STEM and millennial talent. According to the recruiting platform Jobvite, eight out of the top 10 universities for tech hiring are located within the state. Palo Alto, home to the number four school Stanford University, has traditionally been known as the "tech capital". The suburban nature of Palo Alto and the surrounding peninsula area has allowed

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1.82K Followers
The REIT Team of Chilton Capital Management, a Houston-based investment adviser, is headed by co-portfolio managers Bruce Garrison, CFA, and Matt Werner, CFA. Mr. Garrison has over 40 years of experience analyzing public REITs both on the buy-side and the sell-side. Mr. Werner joined Mr. Garrison on the Chilton REIT Team in 2009. The REIT Team’s strategy primarily pursues investments in publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs) and real estate related entities based primarily in North America. The REIT Team believes public REITs are superior vehicles for investing in real estate due to their liquidity, transparency, and total return characteristics. Investing in public securities enhances the REIT Team’s ability to diversify by geography, sector, strategy, property, and tenant while maintaining portfolio liquidity. REIT property types include apartments, regional malls, shopping centers, lodging, office, industrial, self-storage, data centers/cell towers, and a variety of health care related facilities. The REIT Team focuses on traditional methods of security analysis; primarily research, critical thought and analytical depth, which are integral to their investment process. The REIT Team’s investment approach seeks to combine its real estate industry experience with traditional methods of security selection to make sound investment decisions in real estate companies. The Chilton REIT Team manages Separately Managed Accounts (SMAs) for high net worth individuals and institutions. Additionally, the REIT Team is the sub-advisor for an open-end investment company, the West Loop Realty Fund (tickers: REIIX, REIAX, and REICX). Before investing one should carefully consider the West Loop Realty Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. This and other information is in the prospectus and summary prospectus, a copy of which may be obtained by calling 800-207-7108. Please read the Fund’s prospectus or summary prospectus carefully before investing. The Fund may not be suitable for all investors. We encourage you to consult with appropriate financial professionals before considering an investment in the Fund. Liberty Street Advisors, Inc. is the advisor to the Fund. The Fund is part of the Liberty Street family of funds within the series of Investment Managers Series Trust. The Fund is Distributed by Foreside Fund Services, LLC. Chilton Capital Management, LLC is an independently owned and operated firm formed in 1996. Chilton provides investment advisory services for registered investment companies, private clients, family offices, endowments, foundations, retirement plans and trusts. For more information about Chilton Capital Management’s REIT Team, please visit www.chiltoncapital.com/reit/ or email info@chiltoncapital.com. Additional information about Chilton Capital Management LLC is also available on the United States Securities and Exchange Commission’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. The searchable IARD/CRD number for Chilton Capital Management LLC is 104592.

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