What's The CNY Doing?

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Includes: CNY, CYB, FXCH
by: Econbrowser

By Menzie Chinn

As the CNY depreciates, just a quick note for perspective.

Figure 1: USD/CNY, log scale (blue).

Source: FRED through 12/31, Pacific Exchange Services.

As the Chinese economy continues to slow (at least apparently), a lot of attention has centered on the yuan's course; the depreciation against the dollar shouldn't obscure the fact that the CNY remains fairly strong on a trade-weighted basis.

Figure 2: Log nominal trade weighted CNY (blue), real (blue), 2010=0. NBER defined recession dates shaded gray.

Source: BIS, NBER, author's calculations.

Since the series is plotted in log terms, one can read off the difference in values at two times as a percentage change. Over the past year, the real CNY has risen from 0.13 to 0.27, implying a 14% appreciation against China's trading partners' currencies.

Editor's note: This article was originally published on January 6, 2016, by Menzie Chinn here.