NewWave will add a complementary cable network to Cable ONE's geographic footprint in non-urban areas of the Midwest.
It appears the deal was struck at a reasonable price for Cable ONE, and assuming good integration and execution in the marketplace to reap the benefits of business services growth, the deal should be a net strong positive for Cable ONE.
Missouri-based NewWave Communications was founded in 1999 to provide television, cable, internet and digital telephone services to residential and business customers.
The company is focused on non-urban areas of Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri and Texas.
According to a company statement, NewWave's network:
... passes nearly 428,000 homes and has more than 214,000 residential primary service units ("PSUs") and 31,000 business PSUs.
A primary service unit refers to discrete business lines; so video, Internet and voice would count as three PSUs.
Below is a brief explainer video:
(Source: Andrew Chronister YouTube)
Cable ONE is paying a net of 8.4x EBITDA after accounting for an expected $24 million in cost 'synergies.'
The company is also expecting a tax benefit of $152 million on a present value basis, which, if included in the multiple, would lower it to approximately 6.6x.
Notably, NewWave has been operating at a net loss, with 4Q 2016 expected to reach $3 million. (Unaudited)
Cable ONE will finance the deal with $650 million in senior secured loans plus cash on hand.
As of September 30, 2016, CABO had $123.7 million cash on hand and is positive CFFO (Cash Flow From Operations) of $194 million through the first nine months of 2016.
While the acquisition will require CABO to use cash of $105 million, it has the requisite leeway to replenish its cash through ongoing operations and perhaps reducing its common stock repurchase plan.
The deal is expected to close in 2Q 2017.
Rationale and Commentary
Cable ONE has indicated six rationales for the deal:
Adds scale in similar markets - Combined company with 1.2 million PSUs and $1 billion revenue
Significant market growth opportunity - Low existing business service penetration ripe for growth
Recently upgraded plant - NewWave has invested more than $60 million in last three years
Differentiated service provider - Only residential triple-play provider with high-speed data to 90% of footprint
Meaningful synergies - Annual cost savings of $24 million and one-time tax benefit of $152 million
Shareholder value - Cable ONE is using its available balance sheet capacity to arrange the deal
[Italicized text mine]
Below is the system map showing the addition of NewWave's coverage (in green) to that of Cable ONE (in blue):
(Source: Cable ONE)
Cable ONE is leveraging its balance sheet to expand its footprint in non-urban areas in the Midwest, which it thinks has more room to grow when combined with its expertise in selling business services. Notably, the stock seems to agree with this assertion, as the stock has risen from around $580 to $612 on the announcement, a 5.5% increase in two days.
The potential for the combined entity is indeed worth considering, and the price for the deal appears reasonable.
Based on a current Price/Sales multiple of 2.63x for cable TV business, NewWave's estimated 2016 revenue rate of $240 million would have indicated a value of $631 million.
Net of the expected one-time tax benefit of $152 million, ongoing cost savings of $24 million and NewWave's $60 million in plant investment, the deal price is effectively $500 million. So, I think this is a good deal on the numbers for Cable ONE. The proof, of course, will be in the execution of growing NewWave's business revenues to fully realize the value of the combination.
Investors should look for hard evidence of initial results of the combined entity in 4Q 2017's financial report.
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