Bitcoin, Real Estate And FAANG Stocks - Investment Manager Compiles List Of World's Largest Bubbles

Nov. 06, 2017 5:08 PM ETVNQ, IYR, COIN-OLD, RQI, SCHH, DRN, RNP, RFI, URE, FDN, PNQI, FNG, BTC-USD2 Comments
Financial Sense profile picture
Financial Sense
3.68K Followers

By FS Staff

Many economists believe that it's impossible to recognize bubbles before they pop. However, Alberto Gallo of Algebris Investments has compiled a list of the largest potential bubbles around the world today, ranked by degree of risk based on size, duration, percent appreciation, valuations, and the types of irrational behavior driving them higher.

Financial Sense spoke with him last week to discuss his research, the areas he believes are highest at risk, and how he's approaching the current investment environment.

For related podcast, hear Alberto Gallo on Today's Biggest Market Bubbles

Bubble Characteristics

Right now, the risk is high in a variety of assets around the world.

"We're in a world where most assets are overvalued," Gallo said, which means "in a world where almost everything looks like a bubble, the definition of a bubble has to be changed."

To do this, Gallo widens his definition beyond valuations and lists 10 other characteristics typically present. They are:

  1. This time is different
  2. Fear of missing out
  3. Sky is the limit
  4. Flipping
  5. No credit, no problem
  6. Buy the dip
  7. Borrow while you can
  8. Bidding wars
  9. The trend is your friend
  10. Financial engineering

"It's not just about valuations," he said. "It's also about irrational behavior."

For example, when it comes to how skewed things have gotten, investors are effectively buying stocks for dividends and buying bonds for capital gains. This is not normal, Gallo pointed out.

Where are the Bubbles Biggest Right Now?

Gallo is worried about the negative-yielding parts of the bond market, which amount to around $8 trillion, particularly shorter-term German bonds.

But, in terms of the largest bubbles he sees, the most concerning are property markets in Australia, London, and Hong Kong.

"Sometimes, the most dangerous types of bubbles develop in property assets," Gallo said. "They affect almost the entire

This article was written by

Financial Sense profile picture
3.68K Followers
Cited by Barron's as one of the top financial websites to visit on the weekend, Financial Sense (www.financialsense.com) provides educational resources to the broad public audience through a daily podcast, editorials, current news and resource links on salient financial market issues. Begun in 1985 as a local talk radio program, Financial Sense Newshour (www.financialsense.com/financial-sense-newshour) is a weekly webcast with host Jim Puplava and top financial thinkers. Writing staff of Financial Sense includes: Jim Puplava, Chris Puplava, Ryan Puplava, and Cris Sheridan.

Recommended For You

Comments (2)

To ensure this doesn’t happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser.
Is this happening to you frequently? Please report it on our feedback forum.
If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh.