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Noisy Trade War News Adds Volatility To S&P 500 In Week 1 Of April 2018

Volatility was once again the name of the game in the U.S. stock market during the first week of April 2018. Starting from Friday, 30 March 2018's closing value of 2,640.87, the S&P 500 bounced off an intraday low of 2,553.80 on Monday, 2 April 2018 before going on to rise as high as an intraday high of 2,672.08 on Thursday, 5 April 2018 - a swing of 4.4% from low of the week to high of the week - before dropping 85.8 points on Friday, 6 April 2018 to hit an intraday low of 2,586.27 before rebounding a bit to close the week at 2,604.47.

Which is to say that there was quite a lot of noise in the U.S. stock market during the week that was, but not so much as to deviate from generally following our dividend futures-based model's projected trajectory associated with investors being largely focused on the distant future quarter of 2019-Q1 in setting today's stock prices.

Picking up from our analysis of our model's performance last week, we confirm that our model's projections are slightly overshooting the actual trajectory of the daily closing price of the S&P 500 as expected, but not by so much that we need to develop a red-zone forecast - we're going to let our standard model's forecast ride, with the understanding that it is likely to overshoot the actual trajectory of stock prices through 23 April 2018, and that the continuing elevated level of volatility in stock prices may exceed the "typical" level of volatility that we've built into our model's forecasts.

Here are the headlines that caught our attention as being noteworthy for their market-moving potential, where the noise being generated by the developing trade war between the U.S. and China would appear to be a leading contributor to the

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Ironman is the alias of the blogger at Political Calculations, a site that develops, applies and presents both established and cutting edge theory to the topics of investing, business and economics. We should acknowledge that Ironman is either formerly or currently, and quite possibly, simultaneously employed as some kind of engineer, researcher, analyst, rocket scientist, editor and perhaps as a teacher of some kind or another. The scary thing is that's not even close to being a full list of Ironman's professions and we should potentially acknowledge that Ironman may or may not be one person. We'll leave it to our readers to sort out which Ironman might behind any of the posts that do appear here or comments that appear elsewhere on the web!

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