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32 'Safer' Dividend Consumer Defensive Stocks For April 2019



  • 32 of 91 top yield Consumer Defensive stocks were tagged "safer" because they showed positive annual-returns, and free cash-flow yields greater than their dividend yields.
  • Top 10 'safer' net gain dividend Consumer Defensive dogs, topped by Big Lots, averaged 14.46% gains as of 4/10/18 per analyst-estimated price targets, plus dividends, less broker fees.
  • Top 10 Annual yields ranged 4.05%-9.16% from EDESY; MHTLY; PM; CBYDF; TATYY; BTAFF; KKOYY; AXFOY; ADRNY; IMBBY. Their free cash flow yields ranged 4.69%-18.54%.
  • Besides safety margin, your 'safer' dividend Consumer Defensive stocks reported payout ratios (lower is better), total annual returns, dividend growth, and  p/e ratios to further measure their cash reserves backing up their dividends.
  • Analyst one-year targets revealed that $5k invested in the lowest priced five of ten top "safer" dividend Consumer Defensive  stocks projected 16.2% LESS gain than from investing in all ten.

Actionable Conclusions (1-10): Brokers Predicted Top Ten 'Safer' Dividend Consumer Defensive Stocks To Net 2.85% to 30.45% Gains By April, 2019

Three of the ten top-yield "safer" Consumer Defensive eqiities (tinted gray in the chart above) were verified as being among the top ten gainers for the coming year based on analyst 1 year target prices. Thus, the yield selection strategy for this group, as graded by analyst estimates for April, proved 30% accurate.

Projections based on dividend returns from $1000 invested in the thirty highest yielding stocks and their aggregate one year analyst median target prices, as reported by YCharts, created the 2018-19 data points. Note: one year target prices from one analyst were not applied (n/a). Ten probable profit-generating trades projected to April, 2019 were:

Big Lots (BIG) netted $304.50 based on the median of target estimates from thirteen analysts, plus dividend, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 13% more than the market as a whole.

Coca-Cola Femsa (KOF) netted $212.63 based on target price estimates from twelve analysts, plus dividends less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 3% more than the market as a whole.

Procter & Gamble (PG) netted $179.29 based on median price targets from twenty-five analysts, plus dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 43% less than the market as a whole.

Clorox (CLX) netted $169.89 per the median of estimates from thirteen analysts, plus dividends less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 16% less than the market as a whole.

Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) netted $167.65 based on the median of estimates from ten analysts, plus projected dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 1% less than the market as

Two of these “Safer” dividend Consumer Defensive pups qualified as great catches! Find them among the now 52 Dogs of the Week (DOTW)I or among the 52 DOTWII that are now accumulating returns. Also, a Safari to Sweet Success (Dogs of the Week III) launched in early September. Click here to subscribe or get more information.

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This article was written by

Fredrik Arnold profile picture
Simple, straightforward 7-step analysis that finds lucrative income stocks.
Fredrik Arnold is my pen name. In 2012 I retired from doing quality service analysis in Boston and moved to North Carolina in 2013, thence to Central Oregon in 2018. My fascination with capital preservation, long-term investments, and trading systems keeps me blogging for Seeking Alpha. My articles focus on dividend yields, analyst median 1 yr targets, free cash flow yields, and one-year total returns as stock trading indicators. These are essential tools for catching the most valuable dividend dogs. My dividend dogcatcher premium site in the Seeking Alpha Marketplace shows annual real-time trading results since 2015.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long MHGVY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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