Seeking Alpha

Quarterly Review Of DivGro: Q1 2018

|
Includes: CMCSA, CSCO, DGX, HASI, NOC, O, RDS.B, T, UPS, VFH, VNQ, WBA, XLNX
by: FerdiS
Summary

I write quarterly reviews of my portfolio of dividend growth stocks to summarize investment decisions and to share portfolio statistics.

These reports include several charts to visualize DivGro's composition and how positions contribute to the portfolio's projected annual dividend income.

In Q1-2018, DivGro produced dividend income of $4,578, topping last year's first quarter total by 28%.

Twenty stocks in my portfolio announced dividend increases in Q1-2018.

This is the 21st quarterly review of DivGro, my portfolio of dividend growth stocks. I switched to dividend growth investing in January 2013 to generate a reliable and growing dividend income stream. DivGro now generates more than $4,000 of dividend income every quarter!

My quarterly reviews provide a summary of dividend income, dividend changes, and transactions executed in the past quarter. I also provide some graphs showing various portfolio statistics. While these reviews are mostly informational, they help me to track progress over time.

I have some challenging goals for 2018, including increasing projected annual dividend income to $18,500 and earning $18,000 in dividend income. I'm happy to report that I'm on track to achieve these goals.

Dividend Income

In Q4-2017, I reported dividend income totaling $4,026.

In Q1-2018, I collected dividend income totaling $4,578, up 13.7% from last quarter's total and up 27.7% from the dividends received in Q1-2017.

I received quarterly dividends from 45 different stocks this quarter:

  • Apple (AAPL) - income of $63.00
  • AbbVie (ABBV) - income of $142.00
  • Aflac (AFL) - income of $26.00
  • Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT) - income of $186.00
  • Chubb (CB) - income of $17.04
  • Cummins (CMI) - income of $47.52
  • Cisco Systems (CSCO) - income of $58.00
  • CVS Health (CVS) - income of $50.00
  • Dominion Energy (D) - income of $83.50
  • Walt Disney (DIS) - income of $168.00
  • Ford Motor (F) - income of $560.00
  • General Dynamics (GD) - income of $29.40
  • Gilead Sciences (GILD) - income of $114.00
  • Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI) - income of $66.00
  • Hormel Foods (HRL) - income of $18.75
  • International Business Machines (IBM) - income of $45.00
  • Intel (INTC) - income of $171.00
  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - income of $45.36
  • Lockheed Martin (LMT) - income of $28.00
  • McDonald's (MCD) - income of $27.27
  • 3M (MMM) - income of $21.76
  • Altria (MO) - income of $49.50
  • Microsoft (MSFT) - income of $58.80
  • Nike (NKE) - income of $20.00
  • National Retail Properties (NNN) - income of $71.25
  • Northrop Grumman (NOC) - income of $17.60
  • Nvidia (NVDA) - income of $3.00
  • Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI) - income of $330.00
  • Procter & Gamble (PG) - income of $68.96
  • Qualcomm (QCOM) - income of $228.00
  • Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.B) - income of $131.60
  • Raytheon (RTN) - income of $19.14
  • Starbucks (SBUX) - income of $30.00
  • Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) - income of $31.50
  • AT&T (T) - income of $84.50
  • T. Rowe Price (TROW) - income of $70.00
  • Texas Instruments (TXN) - income of $31.00
  • UnitedHealth (UNH) - income of $14.25
  • United Parcel Service (UPS) - income of $22.75
  • Valero Energy (VLO) - income of $144.00
  • Verizon Communications (VZ) - income of $59.00
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) - income of $32.00
  • Walmart (WMT) - income of $39.78
  • Xcel Energy (XEL) - income of $18.00
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM) - income of $50.05

Absent from this list are holdings Eversource Energy (ES), Coca-Cola (KO), and Travelers (TRV). KO paid two dividends in Q4-2017, whereas the payments from ES and TRV slipped into April.

I also invest in closed-end funds and exchange-traded funds to increase the diversity of DivGro's investments. Here are the distributions I received in Q1-2018:

  • AllianzGI Equity & Convertible Income Fund (NIE) - income of $209.00 $209.00
  • Schwab Strategic Trust (SCHD) - income of $26.15
  • Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) - income of $88.28
  • Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) - income of $91.26

NIE pushed its December payment into January, so I collected two quarterly payments in Q1-2018.

As for monthly dividends, I received the following payments this quarter:

  • Nuveen Floating Rate Income Fund (JFR) - income of $33.75 • $33.75
  • Main Street Capital (MAIN) - income of $85.50 • $85.50 • $85.50
  • Realty Income (O) - income of $10.63 $10.95 $16.43

JFR is a closed-end fund, MAIN is a business development company, and O is a real estate investment trust.

JFR doubled its dividend payment in December, so there was no payment in January.

The following chart shows DivGro's dividend income by quarter:

DivGro's average percentage payback is 13.9%, up from 11.3% at the end of Q4-2017. Percentage payback is a feel-good metric relating total dividend income to the total amount of capital invested.

Dividend Changes

Last quarter, I reported projected annual dividend income (PADI) of $15,914 and a projected annual yield of 4.5%.

This quarter, PADI increased to $18,083 and projected annual yield increased to 5.0%.

The following table shows the stocks in DivGro that announced dividend increases in Q1-2018. I'm including the new annual dividend and yield on cost (YoC).

Company

Ticker

Increase

Annual Div

New YoC

AbbVie

ABBV

35.21%

$3.84

6.23%

T. Rowe Price

TROW

22.81%

$2.80

3.77%

3M

MMM

15.74%

$5.44

3.41%

Aflac

AFL

15.56%

$2.08

4.15%

Valero Energy

VLO

14.29%

$3.20

5.15%

Cisco Systems

CSCO

13.79%

$1.32

4.17%

General Dynamics

GD

10.71%

$3.72

5.50%

Intel

INTC

10.09%

$1.20

4.28%

Northrop Grumman

NOC

10.00%

$4.40

closed

United Parcel Service

UPS

9.64%

$3.64

3.55%

Gilead Sciences

GILD

9.62%

$2.28

2.84%

Raytheon

RTN

8.78%

$3.47

3.23%

Qualcomm

QCOM

8.77%

$2.48

4.10%

Dominion Energy

D

8.44%

$2.55

4.58%

Eversource Energy

ES

6.32%

$2.02

4.92%

Xcel Energy

XEL

5.56%

$1.52

4.92%

Coca-Cola

KO

5.41%

$1.56

3.78%

Realty Income

O

*3.29%

$2.63

5.49%

Walmart

WMT

1.96%

$2.08

2.90%

Omega Healthcare Investors

OHI

1.54%

$2.64

7.71%

* multiple increases in period

DivGro's average YoC is 4.16%, up from the 3.98% reported at the end of Q4-2017.

I like to see dividend increases above 7%. Given that 14 out of 20 increases topping 7%, I'm very happy with last quarter's dividend increases!

WMT's sub-2% increase is disappointing, especially since the stock's yield on cost is relatively low.

Here is a chart showing the growth of DivGro's projected monthly dividend income since 2014:

The curves are smooth because I'm using rolling 12-month averages.

Transactions

I closed one position and reduced another in Q1-2018:

  • Cisco Systems - sold 300 shares and reduced my position to 200 shares
  • Northrop Grumman - sold 16 shares and closed position

The CSCO transaction happened due to an assignment of short call options, whereas I decided to close my NOC position because the stock was significantly overvalued.

I added shares to the following positions in Q1-2018:

  • Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital - added 350 shares and increased position to 550 shares
  • Realty Income - added 25 shares and increased position to 75 shares
  • AT&T - added 31 shares and increased position to 200 shares
  • United Parcel Service - added 10 shares and increased position to 35 shares
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance - added 20 shares and increased position to 100 shares

HASI offers an attractive yield and invests in sustainable infrastructure projects. O pays monthly dividends and yields more than 5%. T plunged on earnings and now yields 6%, but the stock was ranked #4 in the March edition of my 10 Dividend Growth Stocks series.

Despite an 11% revenue increase in the holiday quarter, UPS's share price dropped on reports that Amazon (AMZN) is preparing its own air delivery service for businesses. I still like the stock, which yields 3.36% at current levels.

WBA has its own struggles, but the stock ranked #3 in my top 10 ranked dividend growth stocks for March. WBA yields 2.46% and offers a 5-year dividend growth rate of 9.2%.

Here is a list of the new positions I opened in Q1-2018:

  • Comcast (CMCSA) - new position of 150 shares
  • Quest Diagnostics (DGX) - new position of 25 shares
  • Royal Dutch Shell plc (RDS.B) - new position of 140 shares
  • Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) - new position of 75 shares
  • Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ) - new position of 125 shares
  • Xilinx (XLNX) - new position of 35 shares

CMCSA faces cord-cutting challenges, but I think those challenges are overstated. The stock yields more than 2.2% and has a 5-year dividend growth rate of about 15%.

DGX has a respectable balance sheet, a reasonable and growing dividend, and excellent long-term prospects.

According to the CEO of Royal Dutch Shell, the company comfortably can cover its cash dividend with crude oil at $50 a barrel. But crude is trading over $67 a barrel, so the company has great growth prospects. RDS.B yields 5.38%.

As part of a diversification effort, I've been adding closed-end funds and exchange-traded funds to DivGro. My latest acquisitions are VNQ and VFH, which focus on the Real Estate and Financials sectors, respectively. I decided to invest in these ETFs rather than to buy individual stocks in these sectors.

XLNX could be the next target of Broadcom (AVGO). But the company's ACAP (adaptive compute acceleration platform) could be a computing game-changer, which provides another reason for a speculative but longer-term investment.

DivGro now contains 62 different positions, including 56 stocks, two closed-end funds (CEF), and four exchange-traded funds (ETF).

Here is the distribution of DivGro's holdings by sector:

Market Value

At the end of Q1-2018, DivGro's market value represented a simple gain of 46% on the total amount invested. Of course, this does not take into account the timing and size of cash deposits. DivGro's internal rate of return since inception is 14.8%.

Portfolio Statistics

I monitor DivGro's performance in monthly Pulse articles, the latest of which can be seen here.

For quarterly reviews, I review general portfolio statistics.

First, let's consider the weight of individual holdings in DivGro. I prefer to see equal weights, but this is difficult to achieve because I sell covered call options and to do so, I need 100 shares (or multiples of 100 shares). Quite naturally, therefore, my portfolio will not be ideally weighted.

INTC now is my largest position after the stock's stellar performance over the last eight months.

Next, let's look at the contribution of each position to DivGro's projected annual dividend income, which depends not only on the stock's yield but also on the size of the investment. Here, OHI, F, MAIN, and QCOM dominate:

Next, let's look at the yield of stocks in my portfolio:

OHI is the top yielding position in DivGro, followed by BXMT, NIE, JFR, and HASI. The arithmetic average of DivGro's yield is 3.28%.

I also like to chart the dividend growth rates of positions. For quarterly reports, I look at the 1-year dividend growth rate, which will change throughout the year as stocks announce dividend increases. It is important to strike a good balance between high yielding stocks and high dividend growth stocks.

Here, ABBV's year-over-year dividend increase dominates, and I'm happy to see an arithmetic average of nearly 10%.

Finally, let's look at the payback percentage, or how much of my original investment I've received back in the form of dividends. Generally, stocks I've owned for a long time will have larger paybacks, but dividend yield also plays a role: payback will grow faster for stocks with larger yields.

The payback percentages of MAIN and MO are well above 25%, while the arithmetic average payback percentage is 7.58%. However, on my portfolio spreadsheet, I calculate a weighted average payback percentage, which currently is 13.86%.

Goal For Q2-2018

I've taken the first steps to transfer stocks from our joint account at FolioInvesting to our trust account at Interactive Brokers. This has taken longer than I'd hoped because the transfer must be between similar account types. So first, I had to create a trust account at FolioInvesting before I can complete the transfer.

Since I trade options at Interactive Brokers, transferring the stocks from FolioInvesting would provide more opportunities for options trading.

I'm hoping to finally complete the transfer this quarter.

This article first appeared on my blog where it contains additional details such as the market value of my portfolio. Interested readers can also visit my portfolio page to view my portfolio.

If you liked this article and would like to read similar articles in future, please click the Follow link at the top of this article.

Disclosure: I am/we are long AAPL, ABBV, AFL, AMZN, BXMT, CB, CMCSA, CMI, CSCO, CVS, D, DGX, DIS, ES, F, FB, GD, GILD, GOOG, HASI, HRL, IBM, INTC, JFR, JNJ, KO, LMT, MAIN, MCD, MMM, MO, MSFT, NFLX, NIE, NKE, NNN, NVDA, O, OHI, PG, QCOM, RDS.B, RTN, SBUX, SCHD, SWK, T, TROW, TRV, TXN, UNH, UPS, VFH, VLO, VNQ, VYM, VZ, WBA, WMT, XEL, XOM. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.