NAS (1A) GAINERS JL18-19
Actionable Conclusions (1-10): Brokers Predict 16.5% To 50.5% Net Gains From July's NASDAQ Top Ten
Three of ten top yield NASDAQ dividend stocks were identified as being among the top ten net gainers for the coming year based on analyst 1-year target prices. (They are tinted gray in the chart above). So, our yield-based forecast for NASDAQ 52 divi-dogs was graded by Wall St. brokers as 30% accurate.
Projections based on estimated dividend returns from $1000 invested in each the thirty highest yielding stocks and their aggregate one year analyst median target prices, as reported by YCharts, created the 2018-19 data points. Note: one year target prices by lone analysts were not applied. Ten probable profit-generating trades projected to July 12, 2019 were:
Lam Research (LRCX) was projected to net $505.22, based on dividends, plus a mean target price estimate from twenty-three analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 42% more than the market as a whole.
Western Digital (WDC) was expected to net $457.49, based on dividends, plus a mean target price estimate from thirty-three analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 2% over the market as a whole.
Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) was projected to net $449.66 based on a median target price estimate from thirty-five analysts, plus dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 7% less than the market as a whole.
Vodafone Group (NASDAQ:VOD) was projected to net $440.91, based on target price estimates from three analysts, plus annual dividend, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 21% less than the market as a whole.
KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ:KLAC) was projected to net $276.99 based on dividends, plus a median target estimate from twenty-five analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 22% more than the market as a whole.
Comcast (CMCSA) was projected to net $269.73 based on dividends, plus median target price estimates from twenty-five analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 22% more than the market as a whole.
Microchip Technology (MCHP) was projected to net $212.01, based on a median target estimates from nineteen analysts, plus dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 15% above the market as a whole.
Starbucks (SBUX) was projected to net $210.65, based on dividends, plus a mean target price estimate from thirty-three analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 35% less than the market as a whole.
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) was expected to net $194.18, based on dividends, plus a mean target price estimate from nineteen analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 41% more than the market as a whole.
PACCAR (PCAR) netted $164.51 based on a median target price estimate from twenty-four analysts, plus dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 23% more than the market as a whole.
The average net gain in dividend and price was estimated at 31.8% on $10k invested as $1k in each of these ten dogs. This gain estimate was subject to average volatility 26% more than the market as a whole.
Actionable Conclusion (11 ): (Bear Alert) Analysts Expected One NASDAQ Stock To Lose 4.33% By July, 2019
The probable losing trade revealed by Y-Charts to 2019 was: CA (CA) lost $43.33 net per the median target estimate from eleven analysts, including dividends, and broker fees. The Beta number showed the average volatility of this estimate 28% below the market as a whole.
The Dividend Dogs Rule
Stocks earned the "dog" moniker by exhibiting three traits: (1) paying reliable, repeating dividends, (2) their prices fell to where (3) yield (dividend/price) grew higher than their peers. Thus, the highest yielding stocks in any collection became known as "dogs." More precisely, these are, in fact, best called, "underdogs".
52 NASDAQ Dividend Stocks By Yield
Actionable Conclusions (12-21): 10 Top NASDAQ Dividend Stock Ranks By Yield
Top ten NASDAQ dividend stocks selected 7/12/18 by yield represented five of eleven Morningstar sectors. Top yielding stock, the lone communication services representative, was Vodafone Group (VOD) .
Second place Seagate Technology (STX)  was the first of five technology firms in the top ten. The other four technology representatives placed third, fifth, seventh, and tenth. They were, Qualcomm (QCOM) , Broadcom (AVGO) , Cisco Systems (CSCO) , and KLA-Tencor (KLAC) .
Finally, a lone Healthcare firm placed eighth by yield, Gilead Sciences (GILD) , to complete the NASDAQ 100 top ten pack by yield for July.
Actionable Conclusions: (22-31) Top Ten NASDAQ 100 Dogs Showed 16.64% To 49.95% Upsides To July, 2019, With (32) Four Downsiders On The Bottom
To quantify top dog rankings, analyst mean price target estimates provided a "market sentiment" gauge of upside potential. Added to the simple high-yield "dog" metrics, analyst mean price target estimates became yet another tool to dig out bargains.
Analysts Cast A 13.19% Disadvantage For 5 Highest Yield, Lowest Priced NASDAQ Of Top 10 Dividend Stocks To July, 2019
Ten top NASDAQ 100 dividend dogs were culled by yield for their monthly update. Yield (dividend / price) results verified by YCharts did the ranking.
As noted above, top ten NASDAQ dividend stocks represented five of the eleven Morningstar sectors.
Actionable Conclusions: Analysts Projected 5 Lowest-Priced of the Top Ten Highest-Yield NASDAQ 100 Stocks (33) To Fetch 13.86% Vs. (34) 15.96% Net Gains by All Ten by July, 2019
$5000 invested as $1k in each of the five lowest-priced stocks in the top ten NASDAQ dividend kennel by yield were predicted to produce 13.19% less gain than $5,000 invested as $.5k in all ten. The tenth lowest priced NASDAQ top yield stock, Broadcom (AVGO), was projected to deliver the best net gain of 44.97%.
The five lowest-priced top-yield NASDAQ dividend stocks for July 12 were: Vodafone Group (VOD); Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO); Fastenal (NASDAQ:FAST); Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM); Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX), with prices ranging from $24.36 to $59.02.
Five higher-priced NASDAQ dividend stocks for May 4 were: Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC); Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX); Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD); KLA-Tencor (KLAC); Broadcom (AVGO), whose prices ranged from $63.64 to $209.98.
The distinction between five low-priced dividend dogs and the general field of ten reflected Michael B. O'Higgins' "basic method" for beating the Dow. The scale of projected gains based on analyst targets added a unique element of "market sentiment" gauging upside potential. It provided a here-and-now equivalent of waiting a year to find out what might happen in the market. Caution is advised, since analysts are historically only 20% to 80% accurate on the direction of change and just 0% to 20% accurate on the degree of change.
See my instablog for specific instructions about how to best apply the dividend dog data featured in this article, this glossary instablog to interpret my abbreviated headings, and this instablog to aid your safe investing. --Fredrik Arnold
The net gain/loss estimates above did not factor in any foreign or domestic tax problems resulting from distributions. Consult your tax advisor regarding the source and consequences of "dividends" from any investment.
Stocks listed above were suggested only as possible reference points for your NASDAQ dividend dog stock purchase or sale research process. These were not recommendations.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to constitute investment advice. Nothing contained herein shall constitute a solicitation, recommendation or endorsement to buy or sell any security. Prices and returns on equities in this article except as noted are listed without consideration of fees, commissions, taxes, penalties, or interest payable due to purchasing, holding, or selling same.
Graphs and charts were compiled by Rydlun & Co., LLC from data derived from www.indexarb.com; YCharts.com; finance.yahoo.com; analyst mean target price by Thomson/First Call in YahooFinance. Dog photo: nasdaqomx.com
Five of these top NASDAQ 100 pups by yield qualify as valuable catches! Find them among the now 52 Dogs of the Week I found on The Dividend Dog Catcher premium site, or the 52 Dogs of the Week II now accumulating returns. A Dogs of the Week III (DC Safari to Sweet Success) portfolio also launched September 8. Click here to subscribe or get more information.
Make investing gains again. Catch your underdog on Facebook!
At 8;45 AM nearly every NYSE trading day at Facebook/Dividend Dog Catcher, Fredrik Arnold does a quick live video summary of one of five stocks for the week contending for a place in his Safari To Sweet Success portfolio.
Go to Facebook/Dividend Dog Catcher 8;45 AM most tradedays and watch, comment and share the live video. Of course you're welcome to review the archives anytime.
Yet always remember: Root for the Underdog.
Disclosure: I am/we are long CSCO, INTC. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.