EnLink Midstream Partners, LP (ENLK) CEO Mike Garberding on Q2 2018 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

EnLink Midstream Partners, LP (NYSE:ENLK) Q2 2018 Earnings Conference Call August 1, 2018 9:00 AM ET

Executives

Kate Walsh - VP-IR

Barry Davis - Executive Chairman

Mike Garberding - President and CEO

Eric Batchelder - EVP and CFO

Ben Lamb - EVP, North Texas, Oklahoma & Permian Basin

Analysts

Darren Horowitz - Raymond James

Barrett Blaschke - MUFG Securities

Dennis Coleman - Bank of America

Shneur Gershuni - UBS

Mirek Zak - Citigroup

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing-by. Welcome to the EnLink Midstream Second Quarter 2018 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this call is being recorded today, Wednesday, August 1, 2018 at 9 O'clock AM Eastern time.

I would now like to turn the meeting over to Kate Walsh, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Kate Walsh

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss EnLink Midstream's second quarter of 2018 earnings.

Participating on the call today are Barry Davis, Executive Chairman; Mike Garberding, President and Chief Executive Officer; Eric Batchelder, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Ben Lamb, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer.

To accompany today's call, we have posted our second quarter of 2018 earnings press release and operations report to the Investor Relations portion of our website. Shortly after today's call, we will also make available a webcast replay on our website.

I will remind you that statements made during this conference call about the future, including our expectations or predictions, should be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Actual results may differ materially from what is described in these forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this call, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Additional information on factors that could cause actual results to differ from what is described in the forward-looking statements is available in the earnings press release and the operations report located at enlink.com and in our SEC filings.

This call also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. Definitions of these measures, as well as reconciliations to comparable GAAP measures, are available in our earnings press release and operations report on enlink.com. We encourage you to review the cautionary statements and other disclosures made in our earnings press release and our SEC filings, including those under the heading Risk Factor.

The structure of the call will be to start with prepared remarks by Barry, Mike, and Eric. And then leave the reminder of the call open for question-and-answer period.

With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Barry Davis.

Barry Davis

Thank you, Kate, and good morning, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today. We are very pleased to discuss our second quarter 2018 results this morning. As you saw in the press release and operations report we issued yesterday, we achieved another strong quarter of operational and financial results. And it’s off this strong base that we are increasing our outlook for the year.

As a result of the businesses’ strong performance during the first half of 2018 combined with our robust outlook for continued growth, we raised ENLK guidance for 2018. Reaching $1 billion of adjusted EBITDA is an important milestone for EnLink and we’re on track to not only reach it but exceed it this year.

And with the expansion we’re executing on today and the strong consistent rig activity we continue to see across our footprint, we expect another year of attractive growth in 2019. We believe ENLK’s 2019 adjusted EBITDA will increase between 5% and 10% over our new expectations for ENLK’s 2018 full year results.

Over the past year, one of our key focus areas has been to increase distribution coverage. And we are very pleased with our success on this front. Our improving coverage position at ENLK accomplishes two objectives. First, it improves our financial position and more closely aligns us with the investment grade style credit metrics we target. And second, it allows us to self-fund an increasing portion of our growth capital expenditures, which we believe delivers greater value to our unitholders.

ENLC also delivered another strong quarter. And as a result of the stability of ENLC’s distribution coverage and consistent with our commitment to returning value to unitholders, we declared the third consecutive quarterly distribution increase at ENLC and remained right on track with our guidance for 5% growth in 2018 declared distributions that we communicated earlier this year.

In addition to the business performing well, a new strategic partner joined the EnLink family. Global Infrastructure Partners acquired all of Devon’s equity interest in EnLink in a deal that closed in mid-July. GIP is well positioned to support our growth in this next chapter of our evolution and will be highly focused on enhancing and expanding our midstream services.

Devon will continue to play a key role in our success as a company, remaining a core customer and a significant commercial relationship for EnLink. A great recent example of this is our collaboration with Devon in the Delaware Basin, where we are building the Avenger crude gathering system to support their significant investments in the Todd and Potato Basin areas.

Our business continues to take meaningful strides ahead, all because we are in the right places with the right partners and we have the right team executing the right plan.

And with that, I’ll turn it over to Mike to provide an update on our seven growth strategies.

Mike Garberding

Thanks, Barry, and good morning, everyone.

As Barry said, we are very pleased with our second quarter results and 2018 is shaping up to be a great year for us. We are excited to raise guidance halfway through the year and we are very pleased with our distributable cash flow growth, our distribution coverage bill and our improving ability to self-fund growth capital expenditures.

Before I move to an update on our seven growth strategies, I’d like to build on what Barry said about our new partner, GIP. GIP is teaming up with EnLink in exciting time. We have a rich opportunity set for growth across our seven strategies. And importantly, GIP is closely aligned with EnLink on executing that growth plan. GIP brings deep midstream expertise and will be able to evaluate and enhance and capabilities to execute our plan with excellence.

GIP is also aligned from a cultural standpoint, bringing many of the same values that drive the way we operate day-in and day-out. Numerous investors and analysts ask me and ask GIP what GIP saw in EnLink, and I love the answer. GIP is bullish on U.S. energy infrastructure and they see EnLink as being a very well positioned in cost advantaged basins with ability to move commodity through the value chain to one of the country’s biggest demand markets, the Gulf Coast.

GIP felt that this was a tremendous time to invest in EnLink due to our future outlook, including the confidence they have in our team’s ability to execute on that growth plan. GIP is the proven leader in the midstream space with the great track record and their investment marks the strong sale of approval of EnLink story.

Turning now to our seven growth strategies. Our first growth strategy is to maximize our strategic position in Oklahoma. Oklahoma continues to be a tremendous success story for us. We experienced more than 50% growth in segment profit this quarter as compared to the second quarter of 2017 and volumes in our gathering and processing operations are up over 60% from this time last year.

2018 is all about building on the momentum we achieve in 2017. Chisholm II and Chisholm III are both in service and we are processing close to 1 Bcf a day of natural gas right now in Central Oklahoma. We’ll be adding just in time capacity when we bring on our next $200 million to-date plant Thunderbird in the first quarter of 2019, which will bring our total Central Oklahoma processing capacity just over 1.2 Bcf a day.

We continue to develop scale in our crude oil gathering system to Central Oklahoma. Our Black Coyote system which supports Devon’s large-scale developments is for crude oil today and we are bolting on our Redbud system, which support Marathon Oil. These are great examples of lower risk, higher return projects, with a quick to cash payoff for the capital we’re investing.

Our second growth strategy is to increase utilization of our Midland Basin assets. Natural gas volumes were up over 20% across our Midland system from this time last year. One of the great things about our natural gas system in Midland is that we have the infrastructure in place, to handle the volume growth we see throughout the rest of 2018 and into 2019.

Right about 65% utilization today, with the expectation that will average 80% utilization in the fourth quarter of 2018. On a crude gathering side, we continue to be on track to achieve 50% volume growth during 2018 over 2017 average volumes and are pleased with our volume throughput growth during this past quarter.

Our third growth strategy is to build scale in the Delaware Basin. Similar to what we saw in the Midland side, natural gas volumes saw nice increase this quarter. Year-over-year volumes were generally up over 100%. Development of our Lobo III facility at 200 million cubic feet per day processing expansion is progressing and is now expected to be fully operational during the first quarter of 2019. We expect the first 100 million a day to be in service during the fourth quarter of 2018.

In June, we also announced the construction of a new crude oil gathering system, the Avenger system. Avengers back by 10-year contract with Devon, and it’s a great example of us continuing to grow our commercial relationship with Devon. Avengers initial phase is up and running and we are currently flowing first volumes. The system is expected to be fully operational during the first quarter of 2019.

Our fourth growth strategy is to drive growth in our Gulf Coast NGL platform. Our cadence 1 [ph] pipeline continue to run close to capacity throughout the second quarter of 2018, and we expect those levels to continue throughout the balance of the year.

As expected during the second quarter, we saw a seasonally driven decrease in segment profit contribution from our NGL activities. The second and third quarters are traditionally the shoulder season for this business and we have fewer fee capture opportunities at this time in the cycle.

With our NGL facilities operating close to full capacity, we continue to actively evaluate our next phase of expansion. Fortunately, we have a great opportunity set surrounding this growth strategy by being in the right places along the Gulf Coast, where 85% of the U.S. fed camp [ph] facilities are operating.

We expect to be in a position to discuss our expansion plans over the coming months and continue to explore several opportunities in depth.

Our fifth growth strategy is to capture incremental gas opportunities in Louisiana.

And our sixth growth strategy is to repurpose redundant Louisiana gas infrastructure.

We continue to experience strong natural gas volume throughput across our system and see sizable incremental opportunities with the next wave of LNG activity and industrial expansions. We are well underway with evaluating natural gas, NGL and crude opportunities and see this is an attractive strategy for growth over the next three to five years.

Our seventh growth strategy is to proactively participate in the Barnett Shale redevelopment. We continue to see producers make progress in the Barnett with the acreage trading hands, more capital being allocated and active drilling rigs. We’re encouraged by the activity we are seeing in our footprint and think the long-term annual decline rate across EnLink’s Barnett footprint can be less than 5% per year given the activity we expect to see.

For this quarter, volumes on our system experience a slower pace of decline as compared to the first quarter of 2018. Processing volumes sell flat, while gathering and transportation volumes declined by only 1%.

During the first quarter of 2018, we experienced some weather-related impact that wasn’t repeated this quarter. Segment profit remain solid for the quarter increasing by 4% as compared to the first quarter of 2018.

Circling back to where we started, when you think of EnLink, you should think of these seven growth strategies. They define how we drive our business and will serve as a catalyst to our attractive growth for years to come.

Our strategies around Oklahoma, Midland and the Delaware are in near-term growth strategies and we expect those strategies to drive the majority of our growth in the next one to three years. The strategy is centered around Louisiana and the Gulf Coast will drive a future wave of growth over the next three to five years. And we’ll continuously pursue opportunities in the Barnett to ensure cash flow stability over the long-term.

With that, I’ll turn it over to Eric to provide an update on our financial highlights.

Eric Batchelder

Thank you, Mike and good morning, everyone. As Barry and Mike both highlighted, EnLink delivered strong results for both the second quarter and first half of 2018. I’ll start with ENLC which achieved a solid quarter with $58 million of cash available for distribution representing 10% growth from where we were this time last year.

From an ENLK perspective, we achieved adjusted EBITDA next to ENLK of $257 million for this quarter, which represents 23% growth from the second quarter of 2017. The double-digit growth was the result of year-over-year segment profit growth in all of our regions with Oklahoma being the primary driver where volumes and segment profit were up over 50% from the second quarter of 2017.

As Barry mentioned earlier, as a result of the strong track record of growth and the conviction we have in the business, we increased ENLK’s 2018 full year guidance, which includes increasing our ENLK adjusted EBITDA guidance range. We are raising ENLK’s adjusted EBITDA midpoint by 4% from $985 million to $1.025 billion. At our new 2018 range of $1 billion to $1.05 billion, we are setting the floor for our adjusted EBITDA expectation this year at $1 billion.

For 2019, we are projecting ENLK adjusted EBITDA to increase between 5% and 10% over ENLK’s increased 2018 full year expectations, representing attractive project led growth for quarters to come.

From a cash flow perspective, ENLK’s distributable cash flow is up an impressive 16% from the second quarter of 2017. This is at the high end of our expectations and results in strong distribution coverage of 1.17 times for the quarter, which is up from the 1.02 times coverage we had this time last year.

In addition to our expectations for adjusted EBITDA generation this year, we also increased our distributable cash flow and distribution coverage expectations. We raised our distributable cash flow guidance range which results in a midpoint increase of 6% from $655 million to $695 million and we raised our distribution coverage guidance range, which results in a new midpoint of 1.13 times up from a previous midpoint of 1.05 times.

The gains that we are achieving in adjusted EBITDA are translating into free cash flow for the business, which leads to great strength and flexibility across our business, including an improved ability to self-fund, a greater portion of our growth capital.

From a balance sheet perspective, we ended the quarter with a solid leverage position with debt to adjusted EBITDA of 3.82 times as calculated for our credit facility. This is an improvement over the 3.99 times we had this time last year.

We continue to maintain a flexible liquidity position and exited the quarter with ENLK revolver liquidity of approximately $1 billion. Our long-term approach to capitalizing the business centers around maintaining leverage in the 3.5 to 4 times range, maintaining strong distribution coverage which means targeting above 1.2 times and financing long-term assets with a mix of long-term debt, equity and excess cash flow from the business.

Year-to-date, we have issued little under our aftermarket program and only used the ATM if it makes economic sense through the lens of our long-term approach to capitalization. Before I turn the discussion back to Mike, I’ll give an update on how our analysis of our long-term corporate structure is evolving.

First, GIP is fully aligned with EnLink’s approach to evaluating the right long-term structure for EnLink and is already taking an active role in the analysis.

Second, GIP is just as committed as EnLink’s management to solve for the right comprehensive long-term solution for EnLink that will provide a competitive cost of capital to fund our growth strategy.

Finally, this is a top priority for our team and we are advancing through the stages of our evaluation.

And with that, I’ll turn it back to Mike.

Mike Garberding

Thanks, Eric. 2018 is all about execution in growth and we’re seeing first hand that our execution is translating into growth. For raising guidance and our expectations for 2018 and 2019 based on our conviction that the team will continue to

For 2018 and 2019 based on our conviction that the team will continue to execute on our growth plans. The fundamentals of our business is strong, the commodity backdrop is constructive, and we've reached the point of evolution where our previously long-term investments are paying off today.

With that, you may open up the call for questions.

Question-and-Answer Session

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question will come from Darren Horowitz of Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Darren Horowitz

Good morning, guys. First question from an operational perspective. In Oklahoma, what's the expectation for the back half of this year’s well connects. And then beyond, the $250 million to $270 million that you're going to spend in the GMP growth capital just based on some of the successes through the drill but your customers there. What's the early look on how you think 2019 cap spend shapes out?

Ben Lamb

Hey Darren, it's Ben Lamb. Appreciate the question on Oklahoma. You're right, certainly, through the first half of the year Oklahoma has performed extremely well and has exceed our expectations. If you look where we were on volumes for the second quarter, we were up about 18% just quarter-over-quarter and we were up over 60% year-over-year, so the growth has been phenomenal.

As far as the back half of the year, I see that trend continuing. I see as exceeding our expectations for Oklahoma that we set out at the beginning of the year. Now I want to always take the opportunity to remind folks that that maybe lumpy. So, it may more of it make it in one reporting period than in another reporting period. But I think the trend is very much in line with what you've seen up to now.

As far as capital. I hesitate to say too much about 2019 capital until we get to 2019 the point where we do guidance. But the good news is the capital that we're spending upon well connects and compression is the best capital that we spend. Because it highly efficient, earns return very quickly and builds upon all the backbone capital that is gone before it.

Darren Horowitz

Yeah, I appreciate the color on that. And then just taking that a step further if I could Ben. And we've talked about this before. When you guys talk about kind of extending that value chain approach in connecting Central Oklahoma than into the Gulf Coast footprint. And maybe some ability to further move hydrocarbons not just South, but to the east. Has anything changed with regard how you're looking at optimizing those assets? Or maybe from a directional perspective, possibly doing something slightly different to maximize producer economics and that backs to the well head?

Ben Lamb

Well, I would say nothing really is different, Darren. If you look at the NGL business, you'll see we had record volumes in the second quarter, we ran about 150,000 barrels a day on average. And that growth really was driven by Oklahoma. I don't have an average for the quarter off the top of my head, but I can tell you that in recent days, it's been 40,000 to 45,000 barrels a day of our Louisiana frac position has been fed from our Oklahoma business. which is obviously really all happened in the last 18 months or so.

Touching on the fractionation opportunity, which I think is where you're going with that. We're continuing to look at a range of options. And that could be something really simple that could be simple as contracting for an attractive frac position with the third-party provider, but we're also working in parallel the potential to develop projects. And some of those projects that we're looking at yes, do we go to the East and go to Louisiana?

Today, I don't have a detailed update that I can share with you from a project perspective other than to say that we're very focused on it. We've spent a lot of time on it over the last quarter. And I expect we will have a more detailed update to share with you later this year.

Mike Garberding

Hey Darren, it's Mike. It really goes to the strategies around Louisiana of having the pipe in the ground and being able to repurpose that from a cost and time advantage. And so that goes into the mix of how we're looking at gas crude and NGLs. So, we feel very good about that and from a growth standpoint, that's where we're very focused on from really that next leg of gross in that years three through five.

Darren Horowitz

Okay. Yeah, that make sense. And the last question for me, Eric. Just one from a structural perspective. As you mentioned in your prepared commentary, thinking about with GIP, the right comprehensive structure of course with the competitive cost of capital improved liquidity and everything that goes with that.

As you guys are looking at the amount of growth CapEx that you're going to spend and early expectations for how 2019 looks. What does that mean with regard to the timing of coming to a structural resolution, just based on what could be a meaningful amount of incremental return on invested capital that you guys could achieve on a consistent basis, if the structural solution ends up becoming a bit more transparent sooner versus later.

I mean, is it a situation where you’re looking at the cost of capital now and you feel like based on the opportunity set, this is something that needs to be resolved in the next couple of months, if not quarters. Or is it a situation where may be there is a bit more discussion around from a structural perspective with the ratings agencies how they might look at consolidated leverage versus transparent cash flow. Can you just give us a little bit of color, as to how you guys are thinking about it now post-GIP?

Mike Garberding

Yeah, sure. Thanks Darren. Great question. And we really appreciate it. I'd say, look, we are very aligned with GIP and have been since day one on our strategy and the seven growth strategies that might went through. As well as, evaluating the overall corporate structure and as I mentioned in the prepared remarks is a top priority for us.

As you mentioned, there is a lot of elements that go into this evaluation in no particular order, it's obviously value to investors cost of capital reporting requirements, tax implications et cetera et cetera. And rating agencies is one of those elements, I would just reiterate that this is a top priority for us and the sense of urgency that we have, and GIP has not changed as a result of the transaction and something that we’re very focused of.

Barry Davis

The other point I'd make Darren, is just coverage, I mean look at the coverage for the quarter, look at the coverage for the first half of the year and the self-funding. So, we’ve used very little ATM from a leverage ratio within the range we want to be. So, the business is continuing to provide us flexibility in financing the business because it has been alluded to, we're spending the capital, that is the capital you guys should want us to spend which is that follow on bolt-on capital.

Darren Horowitz

Thanks, guys.

Barry Davis

Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from Jeremy Tunney [ph] of JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Good morning.

Barry Davis

Morning.

Unidentified Analyst

Just wanted to build on the GIP conversations here and even beyond kind of the comprehensive solution discussions, I was wondering, if you could expand a bit more as far as what GIP sees the strategic vision for EnLink here and more of the kind of, I guess synergies that GIP can bring to the equation for the EnLink future.

Mike Garberding

Hey Jeremy, its Mike. Before I jump into that, I would say, we had just a great run with Devon and it will continue to, as a partner and the creation of EnLink and now as a key partner and customer at EnLink/ So, I feel very good about that relationship and that ongoing growth together.

When you look at GIP, I think there is a couple of things when you think before you jump into strategy, which is one, they are completely aligned with us on how we are running the business, the focus of the business. The seven core growth strategies. The way to think of it is that we hit the ground running day one, because of that alignment and really, we’re focused on what we needed to do again execution of business, number one.

Number two is what Eric was talking about which is how do we get the right cost of capital for the business and that goes to the structure question and that is top of mind and what we're focused on together in solving together.

And then when you step back and start seeing what else could we do together, I think that GIP allows us certainly to widen the lens and really think strategically around our core position, what else we can do.

When I say, core position, we are where we want to be. So, how can we expand our capability to exclude in those core positions with GIP as our partner and they can play a lot of different forms, they have a deep knowledge in the business, they have really belief in what we’re seeing here domestically from a commodity and infrastructure standpoint. And ultimately, they can be a capital partner and to help us with these opportunities. So, we feel very, very good about the alignment between ourselves and GIP.

Unidentified Analyst

That’s helpful. Thank you. And just want to go back to the guidance ratio, congrats there. We’re just wondering, if you could build a bit more as far as what's materialized, ahead of expectations, this is really Oklahoma and Louisiana here that's doing better and with regards to Oklahoma and Devon and Showboat, I was just wondering is that tracking kind of your expectations, is that ahead of your expectations. And for Oklahoma, the growth, what’s kind of the split between Devon and others, it seems like you really kind of diversified your producer customer mix at this point?

Mike Garberding

So, Jeremy, this is Mike again. I will start and then pass it to Ben. When you think about this quarter, a couple of takeaways. One is, all segments were performing above where they were a year ago. And so, what I would say is that the execution of the business across the business is really driving this opportunity and driving the change in guidance for us, because ultimately if you look at the capital change, the capital change is a lot around the crude strategy we’ve been acting over the last year, year and a half on top of what we’re seeing in the G&P strategy in NGLs. So, you see that consistent strategy among Oklahoma and both sides of the Permian.

So, again, the core execution really on our strategic plan is really what’s driving that change and we feel good about that. I’ll let Ben talk through Oklahoma.

Ben Lamb

Yeah. I’ll take apart some of the more detailed part to your question. Certainly, Oklahoma is ahead of our expectations through the first half. And one part of your comment that I really want to emphasize is the diversity of customers. That’s something we’ve been talking about for a long time. And I’m not sure that people have ever truly comprehended, but we do have 20, 25 customers in Oklahoma.

And while Devon is the biggest customer, they are far from the only customer. So, while we’re happy with what we’ve seen out of Devon, we’re equally happy with what we’ve seen out of companies like Newfield where we’ve seen very significant increases in the volume that Newfield is moving on our systems.

Specifically, with respect to the Showboat development, the gas production out of Showboat is broadly in line with our expectations. The decline rate might be a bit higher, I think that’s in line with what Devon has said about it. That development was testing 12 wells in the Merrimack. And I think that their next tests, the Bernhardt and the Horsefly are testing 8 and 10 wells.

And so, clearly, they along with the other operators in the play are working on figuring out what is optimal. And I think that what they will discover, I know that what they will discover isn’t going to be different marks the way. In some parts of the play it may be 12 wells, in some parts of the play it may only be 4. But I think the good news is, we continue to see this growth showing up on the platform, the proof is very much in the results that we’ve shown this quarter to say nothing ever last four or five quarters in a row.

One thing too in terms of diversity that I want to make sure we don’t miss is how well the multi-commodity in Oklahoma is working.

I touched on earlier the degree to which we’re connecting the NGLs down into the Louisiana but remember also that we have first flows on our crude systems in Oklahoma this quarter. Black Coyote came in service, flowed I think about 6,500 barrels a day average for the quarter. The Redbud system will be in service in the second half. In fact, I expect it to be in service here very shortly. And we’re excited to have all three commodities contributing now to Oklahoma.

Unidentified Analyst

Great, thanks. And just one -- to touch on one point to make sure that I had it straight too. [Indiscernible] you’re talking about Showboat, is it maybe the volumes might be little bit less if decline rates are higher than what you expected, but there will be an opportunity to kind of connect to more wells and that’s going to drive in the higher expectations there?

Ben Lamb

Well, really, we need Devon and the operators, the other operators to decide the optimal well spacing. My comment was Showboat from a gas perspective was broadly in line with our expectations.

Certainly, from an IP perspective, I think the wells have fallen a little bit harder, which is not terribly surprising given that they were drilled densely and also given the fact there is a producer already in that section that they thought way back to 2015. One thing we’ve seen is the longer the existing producer is in the section, been more of potential for parent job degradation that we see. So, it’s not terribly surprising. We saw a little bit of that with Showboat.

But I think that what we will see coming out of this test, as well as the Horsefly and the Bernhardt and the other industry tests like Marathon 10, like Newfield developed in June is we’ll see the operators zeroing on the right recipe for each part of the play.

Unidentified Analyst

That’s helpful. Thanks. And then just one last one if I could. Corporate expenses were a bit higher this quarter than what we’ve seen in the past. Is this just a mark-to-mark and hedging or is there anything else happening there?

Mike Garberding

No. You’ve hit the nail right on the head. So, mark-to-market is driving most of that.

Unidentified Analyst

That’s all for me. Thank you very much.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question will come from Barrett Blaschke of MUFG Securities. Please go ahead.

Barrett Blaschke

Hey, guys. Could you give us a little bit of a breakdown on the incremental CapEx as far as is that going mostly to Oklahoma or is it going into West Texas? And then just to follow-up, it would be any additional color you can give us on changes in plans in Louisiana?

Mike Garberding

Yeah. Hey, Barrett, this is Mike. To start with, I think I would say that, we're really excited about this growth and CapEx, because it's the CapEx we want to be spending. The core drivers are the projects we talked to you about and Ben just alluded to, the main driver is really the crude that you're seeing in around Oklahoma in the Permian. The next drivers is the growth in Oklahoma. That's the two big step changes you're seeing. But that moved our guidance up on CapEx. But, I want to reiterate that is the capital you want to sustain. This is that quick to cash capital we're building on our core system.

Eric Batchelder

And just follow-up on the Louisiana part of your question, Barrett. There is really no change in the strategy. We're really happy with the results. If you look at the Louisiana gas contribution, that business had the best quarter, it's had in a long time. If you look at the NGL contribution. Remember, that's a seasonal business, we tend to have higher results in the fourth quarter and the first quarter. So, the best comparison you can make, there is second quarter of this year compared to second quarter of last year, so that you take out the seasonality in nearly 20% on a segment profit basis, year-over-year, like quarter over like quarter.

Really no change in strategy. We're still looking at the same range of potential next steps on the frac solution that we've talked about before. Made good progress, just not ready at this point to communicate a detailed update.

Barrett Blaschke

Is the opportunity kind of narrowing or are you finding more focus on where you want to make changes in Louisiana as far as repurposing pipe?

Eric Batchelder

We are. It is becoming more focused. We started with a pretty broad group of possibilities. We have narrowed that. And that's part of the progress that we've made toward, toward being able to give you a more detailed update later in the year.

Barrett Blaschke

But you do think it will be later this year that will probably have something more definitive?

Eric Batchelder

Yeah, that's my expectation. Let me say, though, it may not be all one grand big announcement. It may be a solution to the opportunity that the NGLs create for us becomes in steps and stages. Hopefully we'll have more for you soon.

Barrett Blaschke

Thank you.

Operator

The next question will come from Dennis Coleman of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Dennis Coleman

Great, thanks. Good morning, everyone. I apologize, if some of these have been hit on a pedal a little bit of technical problems on and off the call a little bit. But I want to start with the 2019 guidance, the 5% to 10% range. Can you talk about what gets you to the high-end? We've talked a lot about different projects and in different areas. But what gets you to the high-end of that 10% range for 2019?

Mike Garberding

Okay, Dennis, this is Mike. So, level set, let's make sure everyone knows that that 5% to 10% is off the new guidance that we just put out with regard to ENLK. And so again, when you think about 2019 that would ultimately be revised up as ENLK was revised up. So, I think that shows the conviction we have ultimately in the execution of the business.

When you think about what's driving that, that's really what we're doing today. You can just look at the projects we're executing on today. You have Thunderbird coming in and really the beginning of 2019, you have Lobo coming in really the end beginning --end of 2018, beginning of 2019. The crude systems in Oklahoma coming in over this year. The crude systems in the Delaware coming in. And the continued utilization of our existing processing capacity in Midland.

And so that's the drivers of the core drivers. When you think about the range it's really more pace of development and how you think of that. If you look at what we've seen in 2018 and Ben alluded to it is that specifically Oklahoma we've seen a great pace of development and we believe we'll continue to see that. But the differentiation really what we think those producers will do.

Dennis Coleman

Okay. So, it doesn't revolve around sort of what you decide in Louisiana and what the frac and whatnot that would be beyond 2019?

Mike Garberding

Yeah. And when you think about the growth like we've laid out really those first three growth goals centered around Oklahoma and the Permian are really driving near-term and that Louisiana is something we said, where we think that’s more three to five years, so we don’t have an expectation that you're going to see much change in Louisiana until you kick off that next leg of growth.

Dennis Coleman

Okay. And just I guess maybe just stand there. On Avenger, the spend is $30 million to $40 million this year and you're already starting to operate there. But you’ve said growth in 2019 are potential additional spending. Can you frame that for us, I mean is it similar to what you've got with like Black Coyote or Redbud or is this something bigger?

Ben Lamb

Dennis, it's Ben. As I did earlier with a similar question on Oklahoma, I'm going to hesitate a bit to say too much about 2019 capital certainly at the project level. It’s driven by producer activity in this case, Devon's activity on the Todd and Potato Basin development areas. So, you've got the right range for this year, next year certainly I don’t think that it is either a large multiple or a small fraction of that number I think that’s the range. but I can’t at this point - I'm not comfortable being too much more specific than that.

Dennis Coleman

Right. Okay. I guess switching a little bit to the credit rating and there has been some discussion about the impact of credit ratings on any kind of consolidation solution. I know there were S&P, I guess had some issues with debts and loan that was done by GIP, has that been resolved? Is that still ongoing? What’s the update?

And then, I guess the bigger picture question beyond that is some pretty good results here, the credit ratios look great and better than where you had been. I can’t help it but wonder, did the agencies have all that information before they took their action, is this something that you might think about getting back to IG more quickly than you thought?

Eric Batchelder

Hey Dennis, it’s Eric. Thanks, and appreciate the questions. And thank you for calling out the good results, because that’s what I would have started with a reminder, so appreciate you've taken that for me.

I’d say, when we think about the credit rating and the corporate structure overall, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, it’s a top priority for us, it’s something that we share a sense of urgency with GIP on and are very aligned on focused on achieving that.

As part of it, there is a lot of elements that go into it of which the ratings is one of them and that’s something that we’ll continue to evaluate in the context of not only this quarter’s performance, but also of how we think about things going forward.

Our financial strategy and financial policy haven’t changed as a result of the GIP transaction. We plan to manage the EnLink balance sheet to investment grade biometrics and we’re looking to get to 1.2 times coverage 3.5 to 4 times debt-to-EBITDA and we’ll continue to do so and that’s something that we’re very aligned with our new partner with and that’s something that we’ll incorporate into not only our go forward operational strategy, but also anything that they come out of our evaluation of the corporate structure.

Dennis Coleman

And then there is anything with Devon?

Eric Batchelder

What I was going to say is anything we do from a corporate structure standpoint is really credit enhancing and so, we’re always focused on how do we improve the overall credit metrics of the business, so for making decisions in and around corporate structure. You can assume those will all be positive to the metrics you’re looking at today.

Dennis Coleman

Okay. Last one from me, just one quick one on the Barnett, you talked about reinvigorating activity there that’s a $0.50 word if I ever heard one, so I just wonder what might will you look for I mean - are you seeing rig counts to going up or anticipating that?

Ben Lamb

Yeah, Dennis I’m glad to give some good press for the Barnett after it feels like that’s something that people really had concerned about for a long time. As you saw in the quarter we had very stable volumes and you’re right that was driven by a reinvigoration of producer activity. We've had more than 20 wells that we’ve connected to the Barnett system, new wells so far this year. and that’s more than just Devon, we’ve talked a lot about Devon's activity with their Dow JV in the Barnett that we’ve actually had five different producers request new well connections in the Barnett year to-date.

As far as looking forward, we have clear line of site on the Dow, Devon JV and the continued development in the Barnett rich that comes out of that JV. We also have clear line of sight to a big refrac program, it's about 50 refracs this year that Devon is doing predominantly in the Barnett Lean.

And we do expect to see other operators continue to drill new wells. So, I don't expect that we will see the decline on our assets completely arrested by that activity, but we do think that it could drive us to the point that we are between zero and 5% net decline over the next several years, which is obviously a better place than we've been in the last few years.

Dennis Coleman

Great. Thanks, Ben, Thanks for all the answers.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question will come from Shneur Gershuni of UBS. Please go ahead.

Shneur Gershuni

Hi, good morning, everyone. Most of my questions have been asked and answered, but maybe a couple of follow-ups. First, just going back to the credit rating process. I mean is it fair to assume that you would pursue a simplification regardless of how the agency is treated just given that it would be credit enhancing. Is that the right way to be thinking about it?

Eric Batchelder

I think Shneur, thanks. Again, I would go back to my comments about they're being a large mix involved with many ingredients that go into it. And that's something that we will evaluate. I'm not sure there is any one particular element that really will determine the outcome, it's really everything as a value and we'll evaluate all of those in due course.

Mike Garberding

This is Mike, we haven't brought anything or done anything with the agencies. As you know all we've done with the agencies was talk about GIP coming as a new partner. And so, until we actually sit down with them and walk through what our goals are, walk through what the metrics are and really -- and show them what we're going, which again I alluded to in the last question which is you wouldn't do it unless its credit enhancing. To me, that's going to be the getting item to have this discussion. There is a lot of talk out there, because S&P put somebody out, but again, we haven't sat down with them, and say, we're going to do X, and this is how it's going to look.

So, to me that's the getting item ultimately that will start that process with how they think about it.

Shneur Gershuni

Okay. And maybe just kind of just follow-up. like when I look at your consolidated leverage, I mean It feels like you're inside the IG box, I guess towards the higher end. And they sort of raised coverages and issue. In your last response to Dennis, I think you had mentioned something about a target of 120. Is that good enough for the agencies and the discussions that you have had with them, or are they looking for something higher? I was just wondering if you can talk about just given the fact that you've actually posted two good quarters in the row on coverage?

Eric Batchelder

Yeah Shneur, it's Eric again. I think that as you're aware, there is a lot of thesis that go into the credit rating coverage. It's certainly one of them and not an insignificant one. But I don't think there is a break line anywhere on any of the metrics with the rating agencies. I think that they evaluate all the pieces. And they certainly have boxes and guidelines. But there is also subjective judgment as to how they weight each of those.

So, we're focused on continuing to build that coverage. We're really pleased with the quarter we've had and been able to use some of that excess cash flow in the business and are looking forward to continuing on executing.

Shneur Gershuni

Great. And one final question, just since you've brought up the Barnett in the last question. I realized we have the benefit of the Dow JV, but other things that have been going on have been the refracs. I was wondering if you can talk about kind of your expectation about refracs in 2019 and beyond. Is there some synergistic benefit to Devon in terms of what they're doing for the Dow JV in terms of also for their own refrac as well?

Ben Lamb

Yeah, hey Shneur, it's Ben. I think that and I'm going to try to make sure I answer your question, if I don't, ask me again. But in terms of the Dow JV, there is a line of sight there to about 120 wells over a four, five-year period. And so, we're adjusted to very beginning stages of that.

On the refracs, there is not a similar structure around them. That's a Devon decision to deploy that capital and this year they've decided to do about 50 of those in the lean part of the Barnett.

Into 2019, I hesitate to give too much of a prediction, but what I can say is I think that these refracs, the only reason they are doing then is because they are very competitive in Devon's portfolio. And I don't see any reason for that to change. I think they will continue to be competitive in Devon’s portfolio. But I can’t say with certainty that Devon’s going to do 50 up and again in 2019.

Shneur Gershuni

I mean is there a chance that the rig that they are using for the Dow JV, when its idled they would than use it for refracts because I assume it wouldn't be available at 100% of the time.

Ben Lamb

That’s obviously a better question for Devon than it is for us. But my perception is that they've got rig busy most of the time with the Dow JV. So, if you think about 20 to 24 wells a year and you think about of our net well probably taking two weeks from the spud to rig release that’s pretty much sustained one rig program and it’s a different, it's different equipment that you can use on the refract, you don’t need the full drilling rig like you do when you're drilling the new wells.

Shneur Gershuni

Right, got it. Really appreciate the color guys. Thank you very much.

Operator

[Operator instructions]. The next question comes from Mirek Zak of Citi Group. Please go ahead.

Mirek Zak

Hi, good morning everyone. So, you deal with quite a few producers out in the Permian right now. So, can you comment on how those producer volumes EnLink is generally positioned on takeaway out of the Basin over the next few quarters or if you've seen any signs or have any concerns of potential slowdowns from any other producers maybe temporarily at this point?

Ben Lamb

Hey Mirek, its Ben. Happy to comment on that and I’ll do it in pieces. I’ll start on the Midland side of the Basin. On the Midland of the Basin, EnLink markets, the majority of residue gas and we have more than enough firm pipeline capacity to move our residue. Most of that capacity goes to Wahaj and so, we may not love the price, but we have flow assurance and that’s what our customers demand, that’s what they are registered in as flow assurance.

On the crude side, we obviously don’t market the crude for most of our customers. But if you think about our customer base on the Midland side of the Basin, far and away our two biggest customers are Concho and Diamondback. And both of those companies, if you look at their Investor Relations materials, they have done extensive discussion of how they are managing their takeaway from the Midland Basin and we feel good about them.

As I go further down the customer list, I continue to feel good about our customers, now we have got 30 some customers, I don’t know how each and every one of them is fixed for transportation, but I think our big customers are very well taking care of and we have seen no sign at all that a takeaway concern is becoming an issue for us in the Midland Basin.

Over in the Delaware Basin, in general. our producer customers market both their gas and their crude. Again, though on that side of the basin, our customers are the very large gap independence, the major all companies, they do a very good job planning multiple years in advance, their takeaway needs. And so, again well the marketing arrangement is different, we have no indication that takeaway concerns are a near-term issue for us.

Mirek Zak

Okay, fantastic. And just one clarifying question. You are expecting to internally fund only the announced incremental CapEx or is that on all second half capital spend, removing the need of leaning on the ATM for the rest of the year?

Eric Batchelder

Mirek, I'd say, look, we will continue to evaluate the CapEx needs and financing the business through mix of the excess coverage, the credit facility and we are always of evaluating the equity markets, but I'd say that we will continue to use excess coverage and the credit facility as our primary focus and then evaluate everything that goes into funding our capital needs for the business on a go forward basis.

Mirek Zak

Okay, great. Thank you. Thanks for the time.

Operator

And this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Mike Garberding for any closing remarks.

Mike Garberding

Thank you, Carrie for facilitating our call this morning, and for everyone on the call today. Thank you for your participation and for your support. We look forward to updating you on our third quarter results in November.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines. Have a great day.