84 Energy Sector Target Upsides Range 0.9-72.7% Per October Wall Street Wizards

Oct. 11, 2018 6:21 AM ETAMID, BPL, CCLP, CVRR, ET, GPP, MMLP, NGL, SMLP, SNMP, SNPTY, USAC4 Comments

Summary

  • Energy equities with over .05% Broker Target Upsides showed midstream firms top on the list, Sanchez for price gains and American Midstream for dividend yield, as of 10/8/18.
  • WallStars are distinguished by positive broker target price upsides. Top ten, CAPL, BPL, CCLP, NGL, USAC, MMLP, GPP, SNMP, EQM, and SEMG, averaged 47.42% per one-year broker targets.
  • 50 top Energy WallStars ranged in estimated yields from 5.2% to 15.35%. Top ten, NGL, CCLP, EEP, FGP, EEQ, SMLP, MMLP, AMID, BPL, and SNMP, averaged 16% yield.
  • The Energy sector consists of six industries, and the top 50 WallStar firms selected by yield for this writing represented all six.
  • $5k invested in the lowest-priced five September top-yield Energy WallStars showed 21.42% more net gain than from $5k invested in all ten. Low-priced, little WallStars led the energy sector.
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Actionable Conclusions (1-10): Targets & Dividends Projected 31.9% To 92.4% Net Gains Driving Ten Top Energy WallStars To October 2019

Eight of the ten top-gaining Energy sector WallStars based on analyst one-year target prices were also part of the top ten dividend yielders for the coming year (as tinted in the chart above). Thus, the yield-based forecast for the Energy sector WallStars as graded by the Wall St. wizards was 80% accurate.

The following probable profit-generating trades were selected by estimated dividends from $1,000 invested in each highest-yielding stock. That dividend and the aggregate one-year analyst median target price, as reported by YCharts, created the 2018-19 data. Ten probable profit-generating trades projected to October 8, 2019, were:

Sanchez Midstream Partners (SNMP) was projected to net $924.16, based on dividends, plus mean target price estimates from four analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 97% less than the market as a whole.

American Midstream Partners (AMID) was projected to net $778.39, based on a median target price estimate from four analysts, plus dividend, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility equal to the market as a whole.

Martin Midstream Partners LP (MMLP) was projected to net $516.52, based on dividends, plus median target price estimates from seven analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 50% more than the market as a whole.

NGL Energy Partners (NGL) was projected to net $422.95, triggered by target price estimates from six analysts, plus projected annual dividend, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to volatility 17% more than the market as a whole.

Summit Midstream Partners (SMLP) netted $384.20 based on dividends, plus mean target price estimates by eight analysts, less broker fees. The Beta number

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This article was written by

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Fredrik Arnold is my pen name. In 2012 I retired from doing quality service analysis in Boston and moved to North Carolina in 2013, thence to Central Oregon in 2018. My fascination with capital preservation, long-term investments, and trading systems keeps me blogging for Seeking Alpha. My articles focus on dividend yields, analyst median 1 yr targets, free cash flow yields, and one-year total returns as stock trading indicators. These are essential tools for catching the most valuable dividend dogs. My dividend dogcatcher premium site in the Seeking Alpha Marketplace shows annual real-time trading results since 2015.

Disclosure: I am/we are long CVI. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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