How we're positioned for today's bond markets.
We expect long-term interest rates to continue moving marginally higher in the near term amid solid global growth, increased Treasury supply, and broadly less accommodative monetary policy from developed market central banks. The resilience of recent U.S. economic data lends to an environment where the Fed can maintain its course in raising rates, and therefore, investors are likely to require more yield for longer-dated bonds.
We have continued to increase duration (sensitivity to interest rates) in the BlackRock Total Return Fund (MUTF:MAHQX) to 6.8 years as of the end of September. We maintain a yield curve-steepening bias with an overweight on the front end, where we see attractive yields with less sensitivity to rising rates.
The fund's diversified sources of return across fixed income asset classes
Source: BlackRock as of 9/30/18. Quarterly return attribution is based on gross returns of the fund's Institutional share class. U.S. Relative Value: The fund's U.S. relative value strategies reflect the portfolio management team's specific views on the mortgage market. Macro: The macro strategy is how the portfolio management team implements thematic and macroeconomic investment views through duration, yield curve and foreign currency positioning. Residual: This non-attributable portion of the fund's total return is derived from trading and allocation effects across the fund's investment strategies. For standardized performance, click here.
Performance data quoted represents past performance and is no guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal values may fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than that shown. All returns assume reinvestment of all dividend and capital gain distributions. Refer to blackrock.com/tr for current month-end performance.
The fund is flexible around its benchmark and adapts to changing markets. In September, we tactically added to exposure in investment grade credit as the new-issue market offered higher yields and lower-than-expected supply is providing a strong technical tailwind into year end.
We continue to favor attractive income producers, including securitized assets and short-term securities. We believe securitized assets, including non-agency mortgages and collateralized loan obligations, should continue to experience strong demand in this overall low-yield environment.
The fund holds overweights in agency mortgages and municipals as these strong-performing, high-quality assets help to diversify risks relating to corporate bonds and longer-dated Treasuries.
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All fund performance and data based on Institutional shares, all other share classes will vary. Institutional shares are not available to all investors and that performance, fees, and ranking data for various share classes could be higher or lower.
Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.
Carefully consider the Funds' investment objectives, risk factors, and charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds' prospectuses or, if available, the summary prospectuses which may be obtained visiting the iShares ETF and BlackRock Mutual Fund prospectus pages. Read the prospectus carefully before investing.
Stock values fluctuate in price so the value of your investment can go down depending on market conditions.
International investing involves risks, including risks related to foreign currency, limited liquidity, less government regulation and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. These risks often are heightened for investments in emerging/ developing markets or in concentrations of single countries.
Fixed income risks include interest-rate and credit risk. Typically, when interest rates rise, there is a corresponding decline in bond values. Credit risk refers to the possibility that the bond issuer will not be able to make principal and interest payments.
Non-investment-grade debt securities (high-yield/junk bonds) may be subject to greater market fluctuations, risk of default or loss of income and principal than higher-rated securities.
Short-selling entails special risks. If the fund makes short sales in securities that increase in value, the fund will lose value. Any loss on short positions may or may not be offset by investing short-sale proceeds in other investments.
The Fund's use of derivatives may reduce the Fund's returns and/or increase volatility and subject the Fund to counterparty risk, which is the risk that the other party in the transaction will not fulfill its contractual obligation. The Fund could suffer losses related to its derivative positions because of a possible lack of liquidity in the secondary market and as a result of unanticipated market movements, which losses are potentially unlimited. There can be no assurance that the Fund's hedging transactions will be effective.
The opinions expressed are those of the fund's portfolio management team as of September 30, 2018, and may change as subsequent conditions vary. Information and opinions are derived from proprietary and nonproprietary sources deemed by BlackRock to be reliable, are not necessarily all-inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Percent of net assets figures represent the Fund's exposure based on the economic value of securities adjusted for futures, options, swaps and convertible bonds.
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The Funds are distributed by BlackRock Investments, LLC (together with its affiliates, "BlackRock").
This post originally appeared on the BlackRock Blog.