A Red Scary October For The Rose Portfolio Of 94 Holdings For Value, Yet Dividend Income Was Up 43.5% From 2017

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Includes: ABBV, BUD, GIS, HSY, PG, SBRA
by: RoseNose
Summary

6 simple and easy goals/rules/plans revealed that guide The Rose portfolio for dividends and successful investing.

RICs or regulated investment companies help in generating fabulous income by 43.5% more than in 2017.

October and the most recent November transactions are shown with net prices for 17 add-on buys, 2 trims and 2 net sales, taking the portfolio down to 94 holdings.

Dividend yield, S&P credit rating, and sector divisions are shown for all holdings along with dividends received per share during October and in descending order of their magnitude.

Scary red October was not so bad as I have goals and a plan for The Rose portfolio of 94 holdings that I would like to share.

Portfolio Goals or Plans

1. Make investing easy with quality

For common stock, I enjoy owning those with an Investment Grade or "IG" rating. If they are a dividend aristocrat with a long time track record as a dividend payer, that is even better. I also want to only own Value Line top-rated companies with a rating preferably of 1, 2 and perhaps a 3, but nothing lower. I am including all available S&P credit ratings in this article. Value Line is also revealed as well from time to time in many of my articles. The Regulated Investment Company or "RIC"s in general are not rated, and they should be looked at just a bit differently as they are the ones to issue debt themselves and live by a whole different set of investing metrics I will not discuss here.

2. Know the investment type

It is imperative to know what type of investment you are buying at all times. Common stock with a dividend is my preferred investment type for defense and reliability. It took me years to know there were even other types and know what a Regulated Investment Company or "RIC" even was. I ventured out with some success, but I am happily in a safer place with these investments with learning and here on SA. I made my share of mistakes with not truly understanding the investment type. I no longer make that type of mistake.

RICs generally are all types of high yield or "HY" instruments for investing. They are huge income makers and must be treated with the respect they are due, and many even have IG ratings. Nothing is perfect, and these in general are not covered by most analysts. I like the ones with ease of distribution coverage and or low payout ratios, and probably another article or two would be needed to explain it all. The key is to buy with value in mind, and knowing historic yield also helps unlock some guessing and can offer success. The RICs are rarely considered defensive as they are considered primarily income makers, with total return being the primary investing consideration. These types also use different metrics when evaluated for performance and should be studied in that regard before venturing into buying them.

3. Expect a decent return from everything you invest in

This can be an individual metric, but I like to look for minimum 8% return from most every investment with telecom and utilities and most HY preferred holdings starting there. They are also more defensive in nature and provide excellent stability with changing economies and interest rate changes. The other dividend common stock payers should have a 5yr dividend growth rate when added to current dividend yield to provide minimum 10% total yearly return. Lower yielding stocks, (I use 2.5%) should offer more dividend growth around 12-14%. These are good goals to have in a plan when purchasing a new holding that I keep in mind. Nothing is written in stone, as times change, and so do interest rates and thus, these levels may change with them.

4. Know the Earnings Yield and growth for any investment

A more recent article of mine discussed just this investing criteria, which I now use and follow and recommend using. The earnings yield for any common stock is the inverse of the P/E. That article shows all of the then current Rose portfolio holdings with an evaluation for the returns expected with using yield + dividend growth. This is also a great starting point for intelligent investing for value. Common stock should have positive earnings growth yield of ~6.5% minimum for the most recent 5 years and at least 8 of the last 10 years. An average common P/E of 15 equates to (1/15) = 6.7%, and this is the reason for the earnings growth yield chosen of 6.5%. RICs again are evaluated in a different manner, using Funds From Operations or "FFO" and not P/E, along with NAV, book values and much much more.

5. Have a defensive stance within the portfolio

There are officially 11 sectors for stocks. Chuck Carnevale in a more recent article listed them all and even the types held within. He, and I as well, have trouble finding good candidates to own in the materials sector, but no worries, I have plenty of others to manage. In that article, he suggests quality "A" credit rated stocks to own in every sector, which is an excellent list to start due diligence. The defensive sectors are generally known to be consumer staples, healthcare, telecom and utilities. I like to have 50% of total portfolio value in those 4 defensive sectors, with another 25% in the other sectors other than real estate which is considered RIC territory by me. This article will show the portfolio in that manner shortly. The high yield or HY portion I try to keep near 25% of portfolio value, as a little can go a long way to provide income, along with being more work intensive to follow with due diligence.

6. Buy with a margin of safety in the price

All holdings should be purchased with a margin of safety in price for valuation. This is and can be done easily through analyst suggestions, but also through knowing historic dividend yield. Higher historic yield generally means a value but also danger, one must look carefully for reasons for high yield in common stock. Earnings bumps and improved guidance from those earnings reports give clues to the company future. Momentum stocks can fall in this category, along with low dividend paying stocks, so company guidance is important to know. Selling or trimming when a stock gets over valued should also be part of this plan.

These steps can be simple and easy starts to any plan. This is not a complete plan presented here, by far, but should offer some guidance for you to start one of your own.

Scary October, Red October for most investors

The Dow was down in October by -5.1%, the SPX by -6.9%, Nasdaq Composite - 9.2% and crude oil is also hitting and continues to hit new lows.

A very scary red October for sure.

Portfolio value

The Rose portfolio value was down -2.85%, and if dividends are removed - 3.31%.

The rose was drooping but not a lot, and it did better than most other as mentioned indexes if one likes to compare. With the value down, the dividend yield was up to 4.6%, nothing to really celebrate, but it happens to follow a lower portfolio value. Dividends are what made me smile and continue to provide joy.

Portfolio dividends

My last article here showed 96 holdings alphabetically with the cost per share and should be used as a reference. The current stock price is shown as on November 9th, 2018, as price per share.

18 Div = Dividend used to calculate the dividend yield or "divi yield"

The last column only has the dividend paid per share that I received just this October. A dividend with an asterisk * means it pays monthly.

94 investments = 57 common stock, 28 RIC and 9 Fixed income of which 38 of them donated to the Rose income for October, which as mentioned, was up 43.5% from October 2017.

17 are common stock with 1 being Nike which was sold after the ex-date and the dividend collected.

The remainder, or 21, are RIC and or fixed income and these donated the most by quantity and payment magnitude. I will show in a second chart the highest income payers in order of descent. RICs were increased in the portfolio from late 2017, and now, I find I have some really nice new favorite income months of October, January, April and August too. The common stock generally pays in the months of March, June, September and December.

I am reporting Pepsi (NASDAQ:PEP) in this month because I forgot to do it in September; pure and simple mistake, and I know it.

Dividend yield is shown primarily to give a grasp of how income is generated from core holdings and from RICs. A second chart shows how the HY generally rules over the lesser core holdings with owning even lesser amounts, which is also mentioned in my plan rules.

Div Pd
57 COMMON CONSUMER Price 11/9 Company Name S&P cr Div/yr DivY /sh
CONS-S Staples 15
(CL) CL 63.8 Colgate AA- 1.68 2.63%
(CVS) CVS 79.83 CVS BBB 2 2.51%
(DEO) DEO 142.33 Diageo ADR A- 3.5 2.46% 2.09
(GIS) GIS 45.31 Gen Mills BBB 1.98 4.37%
(HSY) HSY 108.58 Hershey A 2.76 2.54%
(KHC) KHC 53.99 Kraft-Heinz BBB 2.6 4.82%
(KMB) KMB 109.45 Kimb Clark A 4 3.65% 1
(KO) KO 49.68 Coca-Cola A+ 1.66 3.34% 0.39
(MDLZ) MDLZ 44.3 Mondelez BBB 0.92 2.08% 0.26
(MO) MO 63.42 Altria A- 3.2 5.05% 0.8
(PEP) PEP 117.48 PepsiCo A + 3.71 3.16% 0.9275
(PG) PG 92.41 Procter-G AA- 2.87 3.11%
(PM) PM 89.18 Philip Morris A 4.56 5.11% 1.14
(SJM) SJM 112.88 JM Smukr BBB 3.4 3.01%
(TGT) TGT 86.94 Target A 2.56 2.94%
CONS-D Discrtnry 3
(GPC) GPC 100.61 Gen Parts A+ 2.88 2.86% 0.72
(HD) HD 185.99 Home Depot A 4.12 2.22%
(MCD) MCD 185.94 McDonalds BBB+ 4.1 2.21%
ENERGY ENERGY 5
(CVX) CVX 119.51 Chevron AA- 4.48 3.75%
(OXY) OXY 73.55 Occidtl Petr A 3.08 4.19% 0.78
(RDS-B) RDS.B 65.15 RD Shell-B A + 3.76 5.77%
(VLO) VLO 87.58 Valero BBB 3.2 3.65%
(XOM) XOM 80.87 Exxon AA+ 3.28 4.06%
FINANCE FINANCE 3
(MA) MA 205.62 Mastrcard A 1 0.49%
(MET) MET 45.19 MetLife A- 1.68 3.72%
(V) V 143.93 Visa A+ 0.84 0.58%
H-CARE H-CARE 7
(ABBV) ABBV 88.79 AbbVie A- 3.84 4.32%
(AMGN) AMGN 193.16 Amgen A 5.28 2.73%
(BDX) BDX 243.26 B Dicknsn BBB 3.15 1.29%
(CAH) CAH 55.31 Cardinal H BBB+ 1.85 3.34% 0.476
(CELG) CELG 74.02 Celgene BBB+ 0 0.00%
(JNJ) JNJ 145.34 Johnson & J AAA 3.6 2.48%
(PFE) PFE 44.28 Pfizer AA 1.36 3.07%
INDUSTRL INDustrl 7
(BA) BA 369.34 Boeing A 6.84 1.85%
(CMI) CMI 143.07 Cummins A+ 4.44 3.10%
(CVA) CVA 15.74 Covanta BB- 1 6.35% 0.25
(FTAI) FTAI 17.26 Fortress B 1.32 7.65%
(LMT) LMT 313.12 Lockheed M BBB+ 8.2 2.62%
(MMM) MMM 201.1 3M Co AA- 5.44 2.71%
(UNP) UNP 150.25 Union Pac A 2.92 1.94%
TECH TECH 6
(ADP) ADP 147.19 Autom Data AA 2.76 1.88% 0.69
(AVGO) AVGO 238.99 Broadcom BBB- 7 2.93%
(BABA) BABA 144.85 Alibaba A+ 0 0.00%
(CSCO) CSCO 47.11 Cisco AA- 1.32 2.80% 0.33
(INTC) INTC 48.11 Intel A+ 1.2 2.49%
(OTCPK:TCEHY) TCEHY 34.82 Tencent A+ 0.1121 0.32%
COMM COMM 3
(BCE) BCE 40.99 BCE BBB+ 2.36 5.76% 0.579
(T) T 30.69 AT&T BBB+ 2 6.52%
(VZ) VZ 58.46 Verizon BBB+ 2.36 4.04%
UTILITY UTILITY 8
(BIP) BIP 40.32 Brkfield Part BBB+ 1.88 4.66%
(D) D 72.25 Dominion BBB+ 3.34 4.62%
(LNT) LNT 44.61 Alliant A- 1.34 3.00%
(MGEE) MGEE 62.87 Madison Gas A- 1.3 2.07%
(SCG) SCG 40.18 Scana BBB 0.62 1.54% 0.124
(SO) SO 46.81 Southern A- 2.4 5.13%
(WEC) WEC 70 WEC A- 2.21 3.16%
(XEL) XEL 50.34 Xcel A- 1.52 3.02% 0.38
37 RIC/Fixed
28 RIC RIC Reg Inv Co
Real Estate Real Estate 13
H-CARE H-CARE 2
(OHI) OHI 35.18 Omega 2.64 7.50% 0.79
(VTR) VTR 60.07 Ventas BBB+ 3.16 5.26%
Misc Misc 11
(CORR) CORR 35.64 Corr Enrgy 3 8.42%
(DLR) DLR 110.62 Digital Rlty BBB 4.04 3.65%
(EPR) EPR 71.29 Epr BBB- 4.32 6.06% 0.36*
(IRM) IRM 32.77 Iron Mt. BBB- 2.35 7.17% 0.587
(KIM) KIM 16.28 Kimco BBB+ 1.12 6.88% 0.28
(KRG) KRG 16.25 Kite BBB- 1.27 7.82% 0.317
(SKT) SKT 23.63 Tanger BBB+ 1.42 6.01%
(SPG) SPG 188.69 Simon Prprty A 8 4.24%
(STAG) STAG 26.41 Stag Indr BBB 1.42 5.38% .118*
(UNIT) UNIT 19.76 Uniti B- 2.4 12.15% 0.6
(WPC) WPC 64.57 W.P Carey BBB 4.09 6.33% 1.025
ETF-Enrgy MLP 2
(AMLP) AMLP 9.93 Alerian 0.83 8.36%
(AMZA) AMZA 6.55 AMZA 1.32 20.15% 0.11*
Fin mREIT Fin mREIT 6
(ABR) ABR 12.32 Arbor 1 8.12%
(AJX) AJX 13.58 Ajax 1.2 8.84%
(BXMT) BXMT 35.12 Blackstone 2.48 7.06% 0.62
(CHMI) CHMI 18.97 Cherry Hill 1.96 10.33% 0.49
(NRZ) NRZ 17.63 New Resid B+ 2 11.34% 0.5
(RC) RC 14.91 Ready Capital 1.6 10.73% 0.4
CEF-Fin CEF-Fin 2
(RA) RA 21.11 Brookfield RA 2.39 11.32% .199*
(OXLC) OXLC 10.51 Oxford Lane 1.62 15.41% 0.135*
BDC-Fin BDC-Fin 5
(ARCC) ARCC 17.58 Ares Capital BBB- 1.52 8.65%
(FSIC) FSIC 6.57 FS Investmt BBB- 0.76 11.57% 0.19
(MRCC) MRCC 11.49 Monroe Cap 1.4 12.18%
(TCPC) TCPC 14.15 Blks TCP BBB- 1.44 10.18%
(TPVG) TPVG 12.52 Triple Pt 1.44 11.50%
9 FIX/ Misc FIXED/ Misc 9
(NGL.PB) NGL-B 23.86 NGL Energy Pref 2.25 9.43% 0.5625
(NS.b) NS-b 22.2 Nustar Energy Pref 1.91 8.60%
(TGP.PB) TGP-b 23.28 Teekay NGL Pref 2.125 9.13% 0.53
(CBL.PD) CBL-d 14.63 CBL- Real Est Pref 1.84 12.58% 0.46
(WPG.ph) WPG-h 20.77 Wash Prime Pref 1.88 9.05% 0.47
(DCUD) DCUD 48.5 Dominion Ute-bond 3.37 6.95%
(DNP) DNP 11.11 Duff n Phelps Ute-cef 0.78 7.02% .065*
(CIM.PB) CIM-b 25.84 Chimera Fin Pref 2 7.74%
(PMT.PB) PMT-b 24.96 Penny Mac Pref 2 8.01%
(NKE) NKE Sold income 0.2

The % amount magnitude of income received is in descending order along with the type and sector placement. Many RICs and consumer staples are found near the top of the list and is very pleasing to me to provide some balance between defense and the HY income makers. It takes a heck of a lot more Coca-Cola to provide the same income as some W.P. Carey (WPC) or some of the preferred stocks or "prf".

Oct Ticker %Oct Inc sector
WPC 7.40% eREIT
NRZ 6.42% mREIT
PM 6.26% C-Staple
CHMI 5.89% mREIT
KMB 5.61% C-Staple
VTR 5.07% eREIT
ADR. DEO 5.06% C-Staple
MO 4.92% C-Staple
CBL-d 4.62% eREIT-Prf
KO 3.91% C-Staple
XEL 3.81% Utility
TGP-B 3.20% Energy-Prf
NGL-B 2.93% Energy-Prf
monthly AMZA* 2.60% MLP-Energy
CAH 2.48% Healthcare
KIM 2.47% eREIT
BCE 2.33% Teleco-CDN
CSCO 2.25% Tech
GPC 2.02% C-Disc
OXY 1.88% Energy
PEP 1.76% C-Staple
BXMT 1.74% mREIT
IRM 1.65% eREIT
SLD rename RC 1.60% mREIT
FSIC 1.52% BDC
RA 1.28% bond cef
KRG 1.27% eREIT
monthly DNP* 1.20% Ute-Cef
WPG-H 1.13% EREIT-Prf
CVA 1.10% Industry/Ute
OXLC 1.08% Cef-financial
MDLZ 0.82% C-Staple
STAG 0.66% eREIT
ADP 0.55% C-Disc
NKE 0.48% sold
UNIT 0.48% eREIT
EPR 0.43% eREIT
SCG 0.09% ute

Staying defensive

Below is a quick summation of the portfolio Defensive divisions and how those defensive positions are still maintained.

PV = Portfolio Value

PInc = Portfolio Income

Defensive PV PInc
Consumer S 19.25% 15.45%
Health-care 11.27% 7.24%
Communication/TELEcom 7.44% 7.49%
Utility 12.39% 9.92%
50.35% 40.11%

This is a more detailed informative showing more divisions for the full portfolio:

11-9 Sector PV PInc
Cons S 19.25% 15.45%
Consumer D 4.22% 2.25%
Energy 5.07% 5.87%
Finance 3.76% 0.53%
Health-care 11.27% 7.24%
Industrial 7.84% 4.24%
Tech 3.97% 1.78%
Comm-tele 7.44% 7.49%
Utility 12.39% 9.92%
TOTAL 75.21% 54.78%
RIC 24.79% 41.83%
RE Real Estate 11.65% 14.91%
H-c 4.12% 5.73%
Misc 7.54% 9.19%
Misc 8.53% 20.04%
ETF-energy 0.86% 4.40%
m-Reit 3.67% 8.20%
Cef 1.10% 2.11%
BDC 2.90% 5.33%
Fixed 4.61% 6.88%
Pref-Energy 1.71% 2.50%
Pref-RE 0.95% 1.43%
bond/cef 1.30% 1.92%
Pref-financial 0.66% 1.03%
SOLD x 3.39%
100.00%

A few comments about HY investing /RICs:

The yields are shown in the first chart to show you how "HY" high yield some of them are, especially the mortgage REITs; gosh they are phenomenal income makers. The preferred are steady and true. I enjoy owning them as well. I do suggest learning and caution when choosing. Start slow and buy only a few to learn with and then branch out. I am now in a service that helps with doing some more adventurous investing. FSIC, a BDC, is one of those. It announced a special dividend for next month of 9c, that gives it 87c for the year. It is down in price, and I watch for the next Q1 2019 earnings report, as it is under new management. The Fortune Teller at his service I am in, The Wheel of Fortune, says to wait to add on.

I can say it is difficult to wait as it is near a nice price to buy. I listen to him, as he gets it right so often. SA is a fantastic resource for me with excellent authors. I include Scott Kennedy and BDC Buzz for additional RIC mREIT and BDC information. There are many like Dane Bowler and Brad Thomas, Colorado Wealth Management, and Rida Morwa that also provide great volumes of information to help in making decisions. I also want to give honorable mention to High Yield Investor or HYI Joe, he does it alone and has been at it for about 5 years now with his BDC and mREIT portfolio. He retired making income easily, so I think he is someone to follow as well. I have not found anyone quite like The Fortune Teller that does it all and that includes options, foreign exchange issues and currencies. I am amazed by the wealth of his knowledge and bringing in Trapping Value, a Canadian, to add even more value and northern exposure to his wonderful service. It helps me, but others may be smarter or brighter and can do it without the added guidance, it is just me and what I do.

Patience Rose, patience, is another plan or goal. I can many times find other places for the cash anyway, and this is what I did with it for October.

October transactions and a bit of November

17 separate company add-on buys, 2 trims and 2 companies sold or gone as shown in the chart:

October
BUY/Add Stock Ticker Price/sh
Triple Pt TCPC 14.29 14.42 14.01
Kite KRG 16.28
Alibaba BABA 155.39 140.5 141.7
Tencent TCEHY 35.62 34.4
BCE BCE 39.46 39.8 39.48
JM Smucker SJM 103.85
Oxford Lane OXLC 10.45
NGL-pref b NGL-b 24.15 23.17
Monroe Cap MRCC 13.03
Gen Mills GIS 44.3
Iron Mt IRM 32.3 32.18
Nustar-pref b NS-b 20.68
Abbvie ABBV 86.34 82.9 81.55
CBL- pref d CBL-d 15.59
Broadcom AVGO 210.4
ATT T 29.68
Brkfield LP BIP 37.4
c/sh net/sh
TRIM Hershey HSY 105.45 98.1 7.35
TRIM Proctor G PG 85.79 82 3.79
SOLD Gen Electric GE 13.16 12.86 0.30
SOLD Anheuser B BUD 74.16 103.8 -29.64
tax loss Bud as shown above
Nov
Sold Sabra SBRA 20.86 19.64 1.22

Summary of a few transactions

In November, SBRA was also sold to get down to 94, and it is out of the charts shown in this article. I will elaborate on my reasoning in the future. GE was announced last month early, so that is really the 2 sold entities. I am showing the gains and losses for your investing knowledge and pleasure. It is shown on a per share basis only and all figures include the fees involved for me at TD Ameritrade, my broker.

BUD was a real kick in the asset pocketbook and was sold for cutting the dividend. It will be taken as a tax loss to offset gains in trimming BDX and some others earlier in the year. I am still ahead on gains for taxes. Hershey was trimmed in a Roth, and I am hoping to add on in the taxable, if not, that is okay. I want it lower in value, but no hurry. I used options to trim some PG before the new CEO was announced, and it had its best day in the market in 15 years, on the option closing day, go figure. I see it as the wheel of fortune turning in my direction to capture some gains and move on. I put the proceeds into defensive sectors, such as ABBV in healthcare, GIS in consumer, a bit of T in communications/teleco, my goodness, I got some AT&T below $30. All of these had higher yields than PG, so no big deal and I believe I improved the portfolio as well and remained defensive as shown in the previous charts.

Conclusion

Have a plan, write it down, know your investments and continue to learn.

Collect dividends and try a taste of HY while staying defensive.

That's All Folks.

I could probably say more, but won't, other than

Happy Investing.

Disclosure: I am/we are long ABBV. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Additional disclosure: and the 94 stocks in the chart.