Why Interest Rates Are Inevitably Heading Higher

Alasdair Macleod and Michael Oliver return on this week's episode of the radio program.

Since 1981, interest rates have been in a secular decline, falling from 20% to zero in U.S. dollars. They are now on the rise, but the general assumption is that the current low interest rate environment will broadly continue. Donald Trump complains to the Federal Reserve Chairman, but is there anything that can stop a rise in rates, given a massive decline of capital resulting from decades of cheap money? Founded on the erroneous view that significant levels of price inflation have been banished, complacency over recent higher rates is likely to be expensively wrong. Alasdair explains why.

Alasdair Macleod has a background as a stockbroker, banker and economist. He is a Senior Fellow at the GoldMoney Foundation and Head of Research at Goldmoney. His weekly articles written for GoldMoney are posted on his blog.

Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton's International Commodity Division, NYC. He studied under David Johnson, head of Hutton's Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX.

In the 1980s, Oliver began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. In 1987, Oliver, along with his futures client accounts (Oliver had trading POA), technically anticipated and captured the Crash. Oliver began to realize that his emergent momentum-structural-based tools should be further developed into a full analytic methodology.

In 1992, he was asked by the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank's Trust Department to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Oliver shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. MSA has provided its proprietary technical research services to financial and asset management clients continually since 1992. Oliver is the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.