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Week 6 Breakout Forecast: Short-Term Picks To Give You An Edge



  • Two new breakout stocks for Week 6 with better than 10% short-term upside potential.
  • Two Best of the Dow 30 mega-cap selections based on breakout model characteristics are Chevron Corp and Intel Corp.
  • Continuing from last year now makes it 76 out of 90 trading weeks (83.52%), with at least one stock move 10% or greater within a 4 or 5 day trading.
  • Total returns for the Breakout Stock selections since 2017 is 76.16% compared to 16.20% for the S&P 500 over the same trading period.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Value & Momentum Breakouts. Start your free trial today »

Breakout Stock Portfolio 2019 results YTD

Cumulative Weekly Max Gain YTD: +34.76%

Cumulative Gain by Friday of the Week: -1.97%

We are still seeing that selling the breakout stocks prior to the end of the fixed 5-day measurement period is the most profitable 1 week strategy. Also as I monitor results for optimal holding periods over multiple weeks on the Breakout Stock spreadsheet for members, I am seeing that the two-week hold through the following Thursday is currently generating the best overall results as positive momentum conditions carry well into second and third weeks.

(Source: Value & Momentum Breakouts)

The evidence is strong that you can outperform the fixed 1-week, equal weighted minimum return measurement shown above in the 1 Week Close {blue line}. Selling many of the selections prior to Friday has resulted in +34.76% return YTD {green line} compared to the S&P 500 +8.41% for the same period.

So far the returns above represent a distinct pattern among traders in high momentum volatility breakout selections who are exiting positions ahead of the fixed Friday close for the week. As the table shows below for the past 8 selections for 2019 so far the best returns were generally achieved in fewer than four days with an average top gain of 5.44% per stock.

(Source: Value & Momentum Breakouts)

Momentum conditions remain strongest among TechTarget (TTGT), FormFactor (FORM), Roan Resources (ROAN), Keane Group (FRAC), Youngevity International (OTC:YGYI), eXp World Holdings (EXPI), Finjan Holdings (FNJN) and ChemoCentryx (CCXI) in the prior weekly selections.

Momentum parameters have continued to remain positive from Week 5 Breakout Selections. For Week 6 the selections begin the week with Momentum values at 66 Positive and 9 Negative. These are some of the highest positive and lowest negative momentum levels we have seen on this gauge since early

This article was written by

JD Henning profile picture
Revealing the best financial models targeting double digit success

Welcome! I am a Finance PhD, MBA, investment adviser, fraud examiner and certified anti-money laundering specialist with more than 30 years trading and investing stocks and other securities. I'm the founder of Value & Momentum Breakouts.


I'm JD Henning, the founder of Value & Momentum Breakouts. I've spent decades capturing many of the best ways to consistently beat the markets.   I've earned degrees researching markets, and even more importantly, I've spent the time myself as a trader and investor.  I am one of those unusual multi-millionaire, PhD's in finance, former Coast Guard officer with a bunch of certifications ranging from anti-money laundering specialist, investment adviser, to fraud examiner...  who genuinely enjoys helping others do well in the markets.  I'm bringing the fruits of my experience and research to this service.  I am highly accessible to members to answer questions and give guidance.  


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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in AQMS, MRNS, PTEN, SGMO over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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