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Existing Home Sales Dip, With Western Region Lagging The Most

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Includes: BBRE, DRN, DRV, FREL, FRI, HOML, HOMZ, IARAX, ICF, ITB, IYR, JRS, KBWY, LRET, NAIL, NRO, PKB, PPTY, PSR, REK, RFI, RIF, RNP, RORE, RQI, RWR, SCHH, SRS, SRVR, URE, USRT, VNQ, VRAI, XHB, XLRE
by: Ironman at Political Calculations
Summary

The total valuation of aggregate existing home sales has continued to dip in June 2019 from April 2019's level.

The U.S. South and Midwest regions have seen relatively flat levels of aggregate existing home sales since early 2018.

The West has shown the most weakness, with California's market accounting for the lion's share of that weakness since March 2018.

Nationally, the total valuation of aggregate existing home sales has continued to dip in June 2019 from April 2019's level. All but the U.S. Census Bureau's Northeast region has seen dips from recent peaks.

Preliminary and revised state level existing home sales data through June 2019 is now available from Zillow's databases, which now includes data from New Hampshire in the period July 2017 to the present. The following chart illustrates the trends we see for the 44 states for which Zillow provides seasonally-adjusted sale prices and volumes for existing homes in 44 states and the District of Columbia.

The following charts break the national aggregate existing home sales totals down by U.S. Census Bureau major region from January 2016 through June 2019. The first two charts below show the trends for the West and the Northeast, which have respectively been the weakest and strongest regions in the nation over the past several months.

Meanwhile, the U.S. South and Midwest regions have seen relatively flat levels of aggregate existing home sales since early 2018, although recently revised data indicates that aggregate sales in the Midwest reached a peak in April 2019. In the months since, preliminary data indicates that both regions have seen a softening in existing home sales.

Of all these regions, the West has shown the most weakness, with California's market accounting for the lion's share of that weakness since March 2018.

Aside from California, which is the 800-pound gorilla of state-level real estate markets, Washington, Colorado, Utah, and Oregon have also seen declines in recent months, with other states' markets appearing relatively flat. Only Arizona stands out with a rising volume of existing home sales in the past several months.

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.