Peloton: The Right Mix Of Addictive Ingredients

Vishesh Raisinghani profile picture
Vishesh Raisinghani
2.8K Followers

Summary

  • Peloton seems to be creating an ecosystem with intense user stickiness.
  • Peloton’s valuation boils down to a few factors - substantial gross margins, subscriber retention and eventual profitability.
  • Taking moderate growth and risk into account, the stock seems fairly valued at the moment.

All business models lie on a spectrum between want and need. If you have a life-threatening disease, you need a certain drug and you’ll buy it regardless of whether you want to. On the other hand, when a luxury car maker announces the latest model, you certainly want it, but it’s arguable whether you need it.

Companies on either end of that spectrum can create some truly lucrative business models. But companies in the middle, where the product is neither necessary nor desired, struggle. That’s where the fitness industry is.

Don’t get me wrong - exercise is a must. Everyone needs a minimum amount of physical activity each week. However, you can get that activity for free by running, skipping or doing push-ups. You can probably learn to do yoga or eat right by watching a few YouTube videos.

Couple that with the fact that most people simply don’t want or can’t get themselves to exercise and you can see why the fitness industry is such a nightmare for entrepreneurs. However, a handful of business have been successful by picking one of the following strategies:

  • Lock up money: The model your local gym follows when it offers an annual subscription.

  • Create a trendy brand: The model favored by brands like Nike (NKE) and Lululemon (LULU).

  • Inject network effects: Peer pressure powers SoulCycle (SOULC), Crossfit and Strava.

  • Make it easy: Offer convenience by opening more branches and keeping them open around the clock like Anytime Fitness.

All of these strategies seem to work. The companies mentioned above seem to have steady growth, healthy margins and recurring income streams. But what if you were trying to combine all these strategies to create a vertically-integrated fitness juggernaut? The company you’d end up with might look something like the recently-public Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON).

The

This article was written by

Vishesh Raisinghani profile picture
2.8K Followers
Founder at Sharpe Ascension Inc. - a content marketing agency for financial and technology firms.Researcher, Content Creator, Financial Writer, Consultant., PizzatarianCollaborating with Seeking Alpha contributor Growth At A Good PriceFind me on Twitter @Visheshrr or send me an email if you'd like to work together.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About PTON Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on PTON

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
PTON
--