Blueknight Energy Partners Is A Buy

Edwin Kye profile picture
Edwin Kye
959 Followers

Summary

  • Blueknight Energy Partners has struggled in recent years due to a large debt load and concerns about its MLP structure.
  • We believe that such concerns are priced into current share price and that shares present a buying opportunity.
  • BKEP has a stable, reliable business with consistent revenues and the company is profitable on an EBITDA basis.

Business Overview

Blueknight Energy Partners (NASDAQ:BKEP) is a Tulsa, OK-based midstream energy company. It is principally involved in asphalt terminaling as well as crude oil sales and terminaling. The company generates revenue primarily from asphalt storage services and crude oil sales.

BKEP is set up as a master limited partnership, which is a structure wherein a limited partnership trades on public exchanges. MLPs provide various tax advantages and investors generally enjoy high yields. On the other hand, MLPs have historically underperformed due to distribution cuts and high debt loads. Blueknight's general partner is wholly-owned by Ergon, a private company headquartered in Jackson, MI, which means that Ergon controls BKEP's operations (page 3 of 10-K).

Shares of Blueknight have cratered over the past few years and are now trading at just above $1 due to failed projects, concerns over its MLP structure, and worries about a distribution cut (BKEP's current dividend yield based on annualized payout is 13.7%). In our view, BKEP shares present a long-term buying opportunity due to its attractive assets and excessive market pessimism.

Financial overview (in millions USD)

Share Price (BKEP)

1.16

Shares Outstanding

40.71

Share Price (NASDAQ:BKEPP)

5.48

Shares Outstanding

35.13

Market cap

239.74

Debt

261.59

Cash

1.54

EV

499.79

(Source: CapitalIQ)

There are currently 40.7 million shares outstanding of BKEP common units, which trade on the NASDAQ as "BKEP". There are also 35.13 million shares outstanding of BKEPP, Blueknight's preferred shares.

Assets

Blueknight owns the following assets which are responsible for generating the bulk of its revenue:

  • Cushing oil storage - BKEP owns 6.9 million barrels of crude oil terminaling facilities, the majority of which are located in Cushing, OK (page 7 of 10-K). Cushing has historically served as one of the country's major oil storage and export hubs, although some have argued that its relevance has declined due in part to efforts to build energy infrastructure elsewhere.
  • Asphalt storage - BKEP also has 8.8 million barrels of asphalt storage capacity - the company owns 53 asphalt terminals across 26 states as of March 31, 2019 (page 5 of 10-K).

Most of these assets are under short and long-term contracts - 5.7 million barrels of crude oil storage are under contract as of March 31, 2019, and lease and terminaling agreements are in place for all of the company's asphalt terminals (23 of these terminals are under contract with Ergon).

Asset Valuation

Assigning values to Blueknight's assets is a difficult endeavor since they are not very liquid and sales occur irregularly. However, note that CVR Energy sold its 1.5 million barrel terminal in Cushing for $36 million. This implies a per barrel price of $24, which further implies a total value of $165.6 million for BKEP's Cushing assets (6.9 million barrels x $24/barrel).

Andeavor, an oil company acquired by Marathon Petroleum (MPC), purchased four asphalt terminals from Delek US Holdings Inc. (DK) for $75 million, implying a per terminal value of $18.9 million. Given that there certainly are differences between the terminals owned by Blueknight and those acquired by Endeavor, we would elect to discount the per terminal value by 30%, which leads to a per terminal value of $13.2 million. This implies that BKEP's asphalt terminals may be worth ~$700 million ($13.2 million times 53 terminals).

This brings the total value of BKEP's hard assets to $865 million, which is substantially higher than the company's enterprise value (this valuation implies a market capitalization twice as high as current levels).

This analysis admittedly contains a number of speculative estimates given that it is difficult to know exactly how much Ergon/Blueknight could fetch for the asphalt terminals. However, we believe that looking at prior transactions provides a reasonable baseline to base one's assumptions.

Debt Load

One of the reasons why the market is pessimistic on BKEP is because the company currently has a very high debt load (long-term financial debt is currently at $261.6 million). Interest expense in 2018 sits at ~$18 million while adjusted EBITDA for the year came in at $60.3 million, which brings BKEP's net debt/EBITDA multiple to 4.3x.

Excluding changes in working capital, BKEP generated $32 million in free cash flow in 2016 and 2017 and just $7 million in 2018.

Numbers in millions 2016 2017 2018
Cash flow from operations ex. WC 52 51 41
Capital expenditures (20) (19) (34)
Free cash flow ex. WC changes 32 32 7

(Source: BKEP SEC filings)

Although BKEP's current debt profile looks unsustainable, it has several levers it can pull to reduce its debt and finance its interest expense. Specifically, management could choose to temporarily suspend distributions. The company paid $47.2, $49.2, and $44.7 million in annual distributions to investors in fiscal years 2016, 2017 and 2018, respectively.

Although BKEP cut its quarterly distribution on its common units from $0.08 to $0.04 per unit in April of this year, the company still pays out roughly ~$8 million in quarterly distributions. Management could temporarily suspend these distributions in order to pay off some of its high debt load and/or repurchase common shares on the open market, which would put the company in a significantly improved financial position and breathe some life into shares.

Failed Buyout Attempt

BKEP announced in August that Ergon had made a buyout offer for common and preferred unit holders, offering $1.35/share for common units (BKEP) and $5.67/share for preferred shares. Ergon subsequently pulled the offer after it failed to reach an agreement with BKEP's conflicts committee, which consists of three independent directors. The goal of this committee is "to review matters that the directors believe may involve conflicts of interest" (page 68 of 10-K).

The conflicts committee likely rejected Ergon's offer due to inadequate compensation for shareholders or some other reason that has not been made public. We view this development as a net positive since it demonstrates that Ergon sees value in BKEP and that the conflicts committee is committed to common shareholders, which is a sign of good corporate governance.

Conclusion

We are cautiously optimistic about BKEP because management has significant flexibility and various options to improve shareholder value, which include suspending distributions in order to allocate capital elsewhere; selling all or part of its Cushing oil terminals; and working to turn around the company's operational performance.

We will continue to monitor the company's progress and will update readers via articles on this site. Please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments either via the comments section or email (email address is located in our SA bio) and thanks for reading.

Editor's Note: This article covers one or more microcap stocks. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.

This article was written by

Edwin Kye profile picture
959 Followers
B.A. in economics from Cornell. Articles are primarily about retail and consumer companies. I don't actively publish anymore but please feel free to email edwinkye97@gmail.com with thoughts on prior ones. Thanks
Follow

Disclosure: I am/we are long BKEP. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Recommended For You

Comments (15)

To ensure this doesn’t happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser.
Is this happening to you frequently? Please report it on our feedback forum.
If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh.