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U.S. IPO Week Ahead: Waste Giant GFL Recycles Its Billion-Dollar IPO

Mar. 01, 2020 2:29 PM ETGFL, MDWL, CLHN, VNT, ELVN, AZEK, WMG, GFL:CA

Summary

  • As the IPO market reels from the effects of the coronavirus, just one billion-dollar deal is scheduled for the week ahead, following a 9% drop in the Renaissance IPO Index and the largest spike in the VIX volatility index since Black Monday 2011.
  • GFL Environmental, North America's fourth-largest diversified waste management firm, plans to raise $1.5 billion at a $7.3 billion market cap in a dual listing on the NYSE and the TSX.
  • Madewell, Cole Haan, Vontier, Imara, AZEK, and Warner Music all signaled IPO launches in early March.

As the IPO market reels from the effects of the coronavirus, just one billion-dollar deal is scheduled for the week ahead, following a 9% drop in the Renaissance IPO Index and the largest spike in the VIX volatility index since Black Monday 2011.

GFL Environmental (GFL), North America's fourth-largest diversified waste management firm, plans to raise $1.5 billion at a $7.3 billion market cap in a dual listing on the NYSE and the TSX. The company will also raise $700 million in a concurrent tangible equity unit offering. Since postponing its IPO plans in November 2019, peers have traded strongly (until this week), revenue and cash flow have improved, and the consolidator bought two companies for $865 million. Backed by BC Partners, GFL has borrowed heavily to fund its M&A spree, and even after paying down debt by more than $2 billion, it will remain highly levered post-IPO (5.3x net debt/LTM adj. EBITDA).

Madewell (MDWL), Cole Haan (CLHN), Vontier (VNT), Imara (IMRA), AZEK (AZEK), and Warner Music (WMGC) all signaled IPO launches in early March. However, recent turmoil has likely shut the IPO window for most companies, except biotechs, certain defensive names like GFL, and highly attractive or highly discounted businesses.

Street research is expected for seven companies in the week ahead.

U.S. IPO Calendar

Issuer
Business

Deal Size
Market Cap

Price Range
Shares Filed

Top
Bookrunners

GFL Environmental
Vaughan, Canada

$1,500M
$7,276M

$20 - $21
73,170,736

JP Morgan
BMO

North America's fourth-largest diversified waste management firm.

IPO Market Snapshot

The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 2/27/20, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 1.4% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was down 7.8%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Uber (UBER) and Spotify (SPOT). The

This article was written by

Renaissance Capital provides pre-IPO research to institutional investors and investment banks. The Firm manages two IPO-focused funds: The Renaissance IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) and the Renaissance International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS). Individual investors can get a free overview of the IPO market on www.renaissancecapital.com, and try a free trial of our premium platform, IPO Pro (ipopro.renaissancecapital.com). Through Renaissance Capital’s pre-IPO research service, institutional investors get an independent opinion, in-depth fundamental analysis, and customizable financial models on all IPOs.

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