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Dividend Aristocrat Consumer Defensive Sector Yield Is Tops Of 64 For March

Mar. 04, 2020 9:14 PM ETABBV, ADM, AMCR, BEN, CAT, CVX, EMR, LEG, MMM, NUE, MTB, T, VFC, WBA, XOM3 Comments


  • "S&P 500® Dividend Aristocrats measure the performance S&P 500 companies that have increased dividends every year for the last 25 consecutive years." - US SPIndices.
  • The 64 Aristocrats of March 2020 represented ten of eleven Morningstar sectors (no Technology). Broker target top-ten net gains ranged 19.47-40.37% topped by Chevron and Exxon Mobil 3/2/20.
  • By yield, Exxon now tops all Aristocrats. Top ten Yields from Walgreens Boots Alliance, 3M Co., Leggett & Platt, Franklin Resources, Amcor, People's United Financial, AbbVie, Chevron, AT&T, and Exxon averaged 4.84%.
  • Aristocrats top ten by broker target price upsides, Federal Realty Investment Trust, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Caterpillar, Emerson Electric, Leggett & Platt, Archer-Daniels Midland, V.F. Corp., Nucor Corp., Exxon Mobil, and Chevron averaged 24.21% in estimated upside. One bottom-dweller showed -1.2%.
  • $5k invested March 2 in the five top-yield lowest priced Aristocrats showed 26.6% less net gain than from $5k invested in the top ten. Big, higher-priced equities held their lead in this list of 64 S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The Dividend Dog Catcher get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Get started today »


As supplement to this article, please note that Kiplinger has published an online slideshow detailing all 64 S&P Dividend Aristocrats and calling out the seven new members for 2020. The article is entitled 64 Best Dividend Stocks You Can Count On in 2020. You will find it written here by Dan Burrows, a contributing editor.

Actionable Conclusions (1-10): Analysts Expect 19.47% To 40.38% Aristocrat Net Gains To March 2021

Five of the ten top Aristocrats by yield were verified as being among these top ten gainers for the coming year based on analyst 1-year target prices. (They are tinted gray in the chart below.) Thus, this yield-based March forecast for Aristocrats graded by brokers was 50% accurate.

Projections based on estimated dividend returns from $1000 invested in each of the highest-yielding stocks and their aggregate 1-year analyst median target prices, as reported by YCharts, created the 2020-21 data points. Note: 1-year target prices by lone analysts were not applied. Ten probable profit-generating trades projected to March 2, 2021 were:

Source: YCharts

Chevron (CVX) was projected to net $403.79 based on target price estimates from twenty-five analysts plus annual dividend, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to risk 4% over the market as a whole.

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) was projected to net $389.05 based on a median target price estimate from twenty-four analysts plus dividends, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to risk 10% over the market as a whole.

Nucor Corp. (NUE) was projected to net $318.10 based on the median of target price estimates from fifteen analysts plus the estimated annual dividend, less broker fees. The Beta number showed this estimate subject to risk 61% more than the market as a whole.

V.F. Corp. (VFC) netted $301.70 based on

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This article was written by

Fredrik Arnold profile picture

Fredrik Arnold is a retired quality service analyst sharing investment ideas with a primary focus on dividend yields by utilizing free cash flow and one-year total returns as trading indicators.

He is the leader of the investing group The Dividend Dog Catcher, where he shares a minimum of one new dividend stock idea per week with focus on yield or extraordinary financial circumstances. All ideas are archived and available after weekly announcement. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long T. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Comments (3)

Tables like these make me want to go out and buy something. XOM ~7% yield seems crazy! I had to go back and check my XOM cost basis. The last time I bought XOM under $50 was 2004. Aristocratic Dogs. Thank you for sharing. fun times!
Trader 611 profile picture
Good to see these names ranked by yield and targets. I like it. One way to take the guesswork out is to buy dgro or nobl. Aristocratic ETFs! Thanks for the article. New follower here.
Ramon_13 profile picture
Thank I like your articles
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