nCino Is A Great Business, But Here's Why You Should Avoid It

Dec. 05, 2020 4:22 AM ETnCino, Inc. (NCNO) StockCRM28 Comments
Edgar Torres H profile picture
Edgar Torres H
2.63K Followers

Summary

  • NCNO is a promising banking cloud provider that I believe still has ample room for future growth.
  • Moreover, I think the company's solutions are good on their own and also synergistic with Salesforce's services. This strengthens the company's value proposition.
  • Unfortunately, I contend that NCNO's valuation is wildly detached from its fundamentals, making it unviable as an investment.
  • Consequently, I advise investors to pass up on nCino at these prices.

Currently, nCino (NASDAQ:NCNO) is a SaaS company that uses the cloud to offer its services. Its clients are financial institutions in the US, and it's also starting to expand internationally. Overall, the stock is unique as it offers investors exposure to the cloud sector with a financial twist. Plus, NCNO's revenue growth makes it an exciting potential investment for growth investors and momentum traders. However, from a valuation perspective, I think the stock's valuation is entirely unjustifiable. For context, NCNO isn't even FCF positive, and its P/S ratio of 40 is sky-high. For context, we're talking about a company with a market capitalization of $7.59 billion that currently has less than $200 million in sales with negative margins. Therefore, given the circumstances, I believe investors should pass up on NCNO at these levels.

NCNO is a promising banking cloud provider that I believe still has ample room for future growth. Moreover, I think the company

Source: company website.

Overview

In my opinion, nCino is an exciting company because it's the quintessential growth stock. Its service is virtually a bank operating system that revolutionizes how such financial institutions conduct their day-to-day operations. For instance, nCino's software appears to be fantastic at reducing onboarding times for new banking customers. Also, loan origination processes seem to be much more efficient with nCino's software.

Source: NCNO's IPO prospectus.

Generally speaking, it appears that most of the company's customers are relatively excited about the opportunities and efficiencies that nCino's solutions create for them. Hence, it's undoubtedly a value-creating service. And more importantly, the company's total addressable market is estimated to be approximately $10 billion, according to nCino, which means there's an ample runway for future top-line growth.

Underlying business

As you might expect, this type of service seems ideal as a cloud solution. And indeed, NCNO is built as such. In a way, you could consider it a niche version of Salesforce's (CRM) platform. Salesforce Ventures (the investment

This article was written by

Edgar Torres H profile picture
2.63K Followers
Follow me for insights into undercovered and overlooked stocks that are potential hidden gems in the market. My investment approach is balanced. I rely on quantitative metrics while always remembering the qualitative story behind each stock. I'm not afraid to go against the grain if the numbers justify it, always in pursuit of the most accurate understanding of a company's potential. I hold a Master of Liberal Arts (ALM) in Extension Studies, field of Finance, from Harvard University. My investment career has spanned various facets of the finance industry, from serving as an analyst at my country's stock exchange to working as a sell-side analyst and a stockbroker. Now as a full-time investor, I have the additional time and focus to provide more in-depth analyses of investment opportunities, and I'm extremely grateful for this. Whether writing for fun, articulating my ideas, or sharing strategies, I aim to provide value on your investment journey. "Veritas Super Omnia" (Truth Above All)Disclosure: I collaborate professionally with Myriam Alvarez, who is also an author on Seeking Alpha. Our analyses are conducted independently, and we adhere to Seeking Alpha's Shared Association Guidelines.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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