Gold: Fed Shutting Down Its Money Supply Data Is Alarming
Summary
- The Federal Reserve has shut down its money supply data as money supply has increased 500% and inflation is a major threat.
- The M2 money supply is up 30% in the past year.
- A financial crisis is coming and fears that they stopped reporting the money supply because they believe they will need to produce even more money to pump into the economy.
- Looking for a portfolio of ideas like this one? Members of Mean Reversion Trading get exclusive access to our model portfolio. Learn More »

Hyperinflation Is Inevitable?
The Federal Reserve has stopped reporting its money supply data as often as money supply has significantly increased (here), making inflation a major threat. In a recent video, Michael Cowann said that the Federal Reserve has stopped recording the increase in the M1 and M2 money supply, which he said is a major crime against the American people. M1 money supply includes those monies that are very liquid such as cash, checkable (demand) deposits, and traveler's checks. M2 money supply is less liquid in nature and includes M1 plus savings and time deposits, certificates of deposits, and money market funds. As the government pumps more money into the economy, it makes your money worth less and less. The M1 supply has increased by 450% in one year and yet they say no inflation is coming. The M2 money supply is up 30% in the past year. Cowann said that a financial crisis is coming and fears that they stopped reporting the money supply because they believe they will need to produce even more money to pump into the economy. If they do that, inflation is bound to hit hard.
Courtesy: Ticker Tocker
Central banks are now saying they can increase the money supply by 500% and it won’t affect inflation and it won’t debase currencies. Cowann said, “Those are lies.” You can’t print money and not have debasement of currency and inflation. Basic economics states that fact. The government stopping public access to money supply information is extremely worrying.
Central banks can be a threat, as is happening now. By printing money, they're looting the economy. They're buying bonds, corporate debt, stocks and other assets, which makes the billionaires wealthier and destroys the middle class. If you hold dollars, get out of them now before they lose even more value.
The 10-year note is starting to show inflationary tendencies. The rate is 1.660, and has reached 1.77 recently. The market is telling us in the 10-year note, which has risen from 0.51 in August 2020 to 1.660 today, that inflation is coming. Rates have tripled in just a few months.
We look at Shadowstats.com for how inflation would be running if it was calculated the same way as it was in 1980. The CPI, if it was calculated using the method used in 1980, would be significantly higher than what the government says it is now. Inflation under the 1980 rate is at 6%, which is far higher than what the government says it is using its newer formula.
Inflation fears are one reason why we trade gold and silver. In August gold hit $2089 and now it has finally found a bottom, it appears. We're bullish on gold and silver for the long term. As governments print more and more money, paper currencies will lose value and precious metals will increase in value. Central bank money printing will speed the implosion of the US dollar’s value. We expect precious metals to move to the upside over the near term.
Gold and Silver
Gold and silver are reverting back up to the mean in gold of $1750. We have activated a Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) Buy 1 signal at $1740. We also have a big trigger in silver from the Buy 1 level of $25.14. It looks like we have found buyers for the supply that's being offered.
If gold trades above $1740 and then $1759, which was yesterday’s high, we're looking at the upper end of the supply zone, all the way up to $1776 as a new target.
Gold and silver are both above the VC PMI Buy 1 level. They have both activated buy triggers. We recommend that our traders in our private trading room get on the long side of gold and silver. We thought silver would come down to about $25.14 and gold into the $1740 area, which both did roughly.
Courtesy: ema2trade.com
$1677 appears to have been the bottom of this correction in gold. Closing above the VC PMI daily level of $1751 would turn that level of resistance into support. The next target for gold is $1772, which represents a weekly breakout above, and the daily Sell 2 level of $1776. Both levels could mark an acceleration area for gold if it reaches those levels. If it does, it could go all the way up to the $1800 level rather quickly or even up to $1930 before we see any Fibonacci resistance.
Courtesy: TDAmeritrade
This is an area where you want to buy gold and silver for the long term. You can day trade short on pullbacks, but our core position remains long and we are increasing those long positions in gold and silver.
To learn more about how the VC PMI works and receive weekly reports on the E-mini, gold and silver, check out our Marketplace service, Mean Reversion Trading.
This article was written by
Unlock Your Trading Potential with the Equity Management Academy! Are you ready to take your trading skills to the next level? Look no further than the Equity Management Academy (EMA2trade.com). Our mission is simple: to empower traders of all levels with the knowledge and tools needed to achieve financial success. Led by renowned CEO Patrick MontesDeOca, with over 30 years of trading experience, we are dedicated to transforming your trading journey. At the heart of our Academy is the revolutionary Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI), a fully automated proprietary trading program. This cutting-edge algorithm is designed to provide clear, precise entry and exit points across a wide range of markets. Say goodbye to guesswork and hello to data-driven decision-making! As a member of the Equity Management Academy, you'll have exclusive access to real-time trades placed by our expert analysts and traders. Witness their expertise in action as they leverage the power of the VC PMI to generate profitable recommendations. Our Chief Technical Analyst will guide you through advanced trading courses, delivering hours of instructional streaming videos. Gain the skills to identify trading opportunities, effectively manage risk, and grow your portfolio using automated trading intelligence. But that's not all! Institutional traders, hedgers, and experienced traders can supercharge their strategies with our VC PMI-based marketing reports. Receive comprehensive insights, including precise entry and exit points, to navigate various markets with confidence and precision. Our founder, Patrick MontesDeOca, is not only a trader and system developer but also an esteemed educator, author, and coach. His expertise shines through in the Seeking Alpha reports he authors, where he shares his analysis based on the VC PMI. Don't let your trading potential go untapped. Join the Equity Management Academy today and unlock a world of opportunities. Visit EMA2trade.com and embark on your path to financial success! Best regards, The Equity Management Academy Team
Analyst’s Disclosure: I am/we are long GDX. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.