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Eros STX Global Warns On Debt Covenant Violations Amid Audit Committee Investigation - Sell

Aug. 04, 2021 10:22 PM ETEros Media World Plc (EMWPF) Stock46 Comments

Summary

  • Company discloses its inability to timely file its annual report on Form 20-F with the SEC due to an audit committee investigation into its Indian subsidiaries.
  • Apparently, the former Eros International has recognized substantial amounts of highly questionable revenue prior to the merger with STX Entertainment 12 months ago.
  • As a result, the company expects to impair up to $643 million in goodwill and intangible assets.
  • Ongoing inability to file audited financial statements has caused the company to violate covenants governing a large part of its debt.
  • Bankruptcy might be in the cards here. Given the uncertain outlook, investors should consider selling their shares.
Premiere Of STX Entertainment"s "Bad Moms" - Arrivals
Frazer Harrison/Getty Images Entertainment

Twelve months ago, controversial producer and distributor of Indian language films, Eros International combined with U.S. mini-major film studio STX Entertainment (or "STX") in a merger of equals. The new company has been named Eros STX Global Corporation (

This article was written by

Henrik Alex profile picture
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I am mostly a trader engaging in both long and short bets intraday and occasionally over the short- to medium term. My historical focus has been mostly on tech stocks but over the past couple of years I have also started broad coverage of the offshore drilling and supply industry as well as the shipping industry in general (tankers, containers, drybulk). In addition, I am having a close eye on the still nascent fuel cell industry.

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Comments (46)

Henrik Alex profile picture
STX to be sold now effectively unwinding the much-touted merger. Crazy.
Charlie's Munger profile picture
@Henrik Alex STX is the good piece...maybe they revolted
Henrik Alex profile picture
@Charlie's Munger

They don't have much of a choice anymore after previous moves to address the STX debt apparently failed. But the sale leaves investors with a basically worthless EROS again.
n
Oct 7th 2021 - 6K filing for debt rescheduling: archive.fast-edgar.com/...
Henrik Alex profile picture
@nextgeni

Only one week left for them.
Charlie's Munger profile picture
@Henrik Alex I bought some ~.70, what do you think upside/ downside is here? I am thinking .10-$2.00
Henrik Alex profile picture
@Charlie's Munger

No idea. I don't see them closing a deal to repay the facility.
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
Anyone has any updates? Already pass the best due date October 7th for the $150.1 million debt
bazooooka profile picture
Risky for sure.
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
In 2020 they made a net profit of $60–80 million toward the end of the year for Greenland movie according to IndieWire. where did all that money go? In June 2021 ErosSTX agree to put in $65 million to produce Greenland: Migration ( sequel ). Where are they getting all that money?

I like the movie greenland, it did $43 million box office during covid. I think it would be $100+ million box office hit if there was no covid
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
Today is the last day for the extension for annual report?
n
@Ni Brothers Stocks stock is up 30% either in anticipation, or, someone knows something.
Henrik Alex profile picture
@nextgeni

I would be VERY surprised to see them filing the report today.
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
@Henrik Alex They already pass the 17th deadline. what will happen if they don't file or late?
El Financeiro profile picture
Thanks. At this point.. waiting to see how this plays out. It's not material holding after 80% loss. Not going to hold my breath that it'll recoup anytime soon.
R
@El Financeiro in the same boat not selling until it goes to 0 or we reach Dec 31 whichever comes earlier.
V
how does STX/Hony/TPG miss this during merger due diligence (especially after the Hindenburg report)? How did the banks that signed off on it miss this during the merger? Current Market Cap of combined entity suggests not only is Eros worth nothing but it is actually a massive liability against STX.
In 2019 STX was alleged to be valued over $1Billion and as high as 2Billion based on the equity raise with Hony Capital. Is it really possible that instead of merging with a company valued at 500M-1B they instead diluted ownership of their studio by 50% and actually acquired a 500M-1Billion liability not asset?
This is mind-boggling to watch STX studios lose 75% of its value in one year and yet big banks all signed off on the financials for the merger?
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
I think last year, around the merger time, STX said it had a "a $350-million credit line led by JPMorgan with a robust balance sheet" what happen to that credit line from JPMorgan?
S
@Ni Brothers Stocks I don't have the details but you can consider the bank pulled it. A bank is not going to keep a credit line open for a customer that is approaching default.
Henrik Alex profile picture
@Ni Brothers Stocks

Apparently, there are $150.1 million drawn under the facility which matures on October 7 anyway (just ahead of the UK retail bond by the way).
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
Does anyone know if there is there anything stopping from ErosSTX offering public shares to pay off debt? They still have around $350 in market cap. If they dilute us 50%, they would be able to raise $175 million to pay debt that due on October. I think it's better than bankruptcy.

I think they should do the dilution as soon as possible. The share price is tanking fast
Henrik Alex profile picture
@Ni Brothers Stocks

Don't think this would be an option anymore. They actually need to raise another $65 million to repay the bond, too.

And with the audit committee investigation ongoing, they are unlikely to sell shares anyway given outsized legal risks for management.
The Actuarial Investor profile picture
@Ni Brothers Stocks Yes - I think they would need some sort of expectation that somebody would buy the shares:)
El Contador Inversor profile picture
Unfortunately this is a day late and more than a dollar short. It’s already hit the fan. Seems if you’ve owned this dog for any length of time you may as well hold. What’s left to sell now?

That said I would think there has to be some value in their assets. Whether it can satisfy liabilities is yet to be seen.

Good luck
Henrik Alex profile picture
@El Contador Inversor

The article was meant to be published in early pre-market yesterday but, unfortunately, Seeking Alpha editors took way too long.
J
@El Contador Inversor

I'd say it was plenty timely. Down another 22% today.
f
thanks for the article Henrik. if i were unfortunate enough to own this, i would sell it.
Ni Brothers Stocks profile picture
what does " impair up to $643 million in goodwill and intangible assets" what does that mean? does that mean selling off asset? thanks
Henrik Alex profile picture
@Ni Brothers Stocks

No. It means they will write it down to zero on the balance sheet thus resulting in a corresponding loss on the income statement.
J
STX was duped? All of these allegations were public long before the merger. Big difference between getting duped and not doing your due diligence, as certainly appears to be the case here.

On a positive note, an article by Deadline states the STX film library would not be sold outright: "A person familiar with the negotiations told Deadline that the third party is not looking to acquire full rights to distribute, franchise or otherwise monetize the library fare. 'These are downstream parts of the titles’ revenue, and the inbound interest resulted from an overall surge of interest in IP from the financial community.'" (deadline.com/...)
Rgarga profile picture
Can they declare bankruptcy of eros subsidiary and not be responsible for its debt or unmerge?
Henrik Alex profile picture
@Rgarga

Good question but I don't think so.
Rgarga profile picture
@Henrik Alex also what happens when a stock is dellsted? Does it stop trading or trades otc?
Rgarga profile picture
@Henrik Alex what is the recourse of london debt holders if they are not paid in Oct?
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