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NIO Stock: Upgrading To Bullish, Regaining Momentum

Oct. 04, 2021 11:19 AM ETNIO Inc. (NIO)BYDDF, BYDDY, QCOM, TSLA, XPEV25 Comments


  • NIO posted a strong September, ending Q3 on a high note as deliveries crested above 10,000 units for the month and nearly 25,000 for the quarter.
  • NIO could face some production issues but looks poised for a solid Q4.
  • The ET7 is one main catalyst surfacing next year as the company reaches its second international market.

NIO logo and the Nio"s user center, NIO House

Andy Feng/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

NIO (NYSE:NIO) wraps up Q3 with a massive September, delivering over 10,000 vehicles as the manufacturer bounced back after a summer slump. Remember, back in August, NIO dropped its delivery guidance for the quarter down to

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Comments (25)

07 Oct. 2021
I think that this company will continue to grow this year as a stable stock, although it is more volatile. This is due to the disliking of many Chinese stocks.
I liked this company until China decided it would revert back to its old ways.
The author's upgrade is premature at best.
Rising interest rate
Rising tension between USA and China (China did not honor phrase 1 of the trade deal and Katherine Tai making a stand )
Repeated call for delisting of companies who don't open their book to scrutiny

This is no time to catch a falling knife.
As I posted incessantly in January to March this year that EV is not the space to be in. Time has proven my words to be true.
Easy money was already made long ago. Those that got talked into catching a falling knife by fanbois are now getting haircuts again and again. It appears nio is ready to test the low end of the trading range again. It may be ready to break that support this time around with interest rate heading north.
@SavvyOrBroke EV is not the space to be in? TSLA was at $370 on March 18, 2020. Today it is at $4000 ($782 x5).

Show me another stock or space or whatever that has done that in the past year and a half - or ever.

TSLA is on its way to $28,000 in the next 10 years.

" EV is not the space to be in? TSLA was at $370 on March 18, 2020. Today it is at $4000 "

Try reading what I actually posted before you shoot off on tangents would help.
The time to buy NIO was one year ago. The Chinese EV story now carries far too much risk...
financialgrant profile picture
i wish the stock price would have positive momentum but it seems despite good news the stock drops even more
Orr77 profile picture
@financialgrant NIO is caught a bit in heavy tech selling and an ongoing drop in the Chinese market in general. This is the one sector (EV's) the Chinese government does not want to crush. NIO in low 30's is likely a good buy.
@Orr77 Unfortunately tesla rises at the same time. Somewhere in the teens would likely be a good buy, not 30s.
Didn’t I just read in the WSJ that all Chinese stocks will be delisted from American Exchanges?
@CPAtracker No... just more false narratives.
fine wine profile picture
President Xi seems overly ambitious in consolidating his power and harming his country's economy in the process. He did away with the ten year term limit so he is essentially president for life. He reigned in the billionaires and their expansive businesses. He threatens Taiwan with war to take conquer the democratic island. Unrelated but also damaging to Sino-US economic relations, the US threatens to delist Chinese companies from US exchanges that don't open their books to US checks. This is a bad environment for US citizens to be investing in China and Chinese stocks are at lows as a consequence, despite often stellar performance as with Nio. If these conditions become more hospitable, Nio will really take off. If China invades Taiwan, the world's largest EV market might decouple from the rest of the world for a decade. That would be bad for Nio, Tesla, and everyone else. It depends on Xi.
@fine wine a China invasion of Taiwan would be more than a “decoupling”
@fine wine You painted a clear picture that it is extremely risky to invest in nio now.

There is more to it than what you think. The volatility in nio deliveries the last 3 months paints a picture of extreme lack of clarity. How did nio delivery sunk so low in August, but then manage to bounce in delivery so well in September?
fine wine profile picture
@SavvyOrBroke Situation changing. Biden speaks with Xi to come to agreement on US and China's position regarding reuniting Taiwan with China. Now it seems China is less bellicose and calm is restored. Although the White House is not releasing the content of the call, given Biden's propensity to throw anyone under the bus for political gain, I would surmise he told Xi that he would support beginning the reunification within his presidential term. Perhaps that was Xi's strategy with the belligerent military incursions and rhetoric after all. Regarding the jump in deliveries, it's all about supply chains.
Torn between the two but see value in each. Guess I'll hedge and go 50/50 with NIO and XPEV. Appreciate your work, Damien.
Damien, do you think the EV manufacturers are going to be affected by the CCP regulations or they are not big enough and there is enough competition for them to be left alone?
Mobility Matters Research profile picture
@serg2 CCP wants to have its domestic manufacturers leading the way in EV as part of its 5-year plan, but anything is possible in terms of regulation, likely in terms of data & user community as the big guys NIO&XPEV go global
sho1 profile picture
@serg2 CCP is autocratic, so that common-good can be executed in force. I do not like top down Government, but there are lots of pros considering in America, very democratic, yet debate too long to get one thing done.

EV is encouraged, State has great interest to make NIO better than TSLA.

Don't let other crackdown scare you. Video game is hurting the young, Private school created huge inequality issue, Jack Ma was to far ahead of himself showing individual power threatening the State. Many so called CCP crackdown are for the common good. In a long run China will have more progress than the Western countries. Already GDP ppp adjusted being far #1 position, it can only grow from here.

So, long NIO any day.
Traveling-Junkie profile picture
I’m optimistic and the question is when not if. NIO is growing rapidly. I’m holding LONG for now.
Djreef1966 profile picture
Lots of follow though on this news.
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