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Options Market Suggests Favorable Outlook On QQQ To Mid-2022

Jan. 03, 2022 6:19 AM ETInvesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ)22 Comments
Geoff Considine profile picture
Geoff Considine


  • QQQ has delivered very high returns in recent years, but slightly lagged the S&P 500 for 2021.
  • Valuations on some QQQ components are extremely high.
  • The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 is sensitive to interest rates.
  • The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is bullish for QQQ to mid-2022, albeit with elevated volatility.

New York during the COVID-19 emergency.

Massimo Giachetti/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

NASDAQ:QQQ has delivered impressive gains for 2021, with a total return of 27.4%. The trailing 3- and 5-year annualized total returns 38.1% and 28.4%, respectively. While technology companies have continued to deliver

This article was written by

Geoff Considine profile picture
Geoff has worked in quantitative finance for more than twenty years. Before entering finance, Geoff was a research scientist for NASA. Geoff holds a PhD in Atmospheric Science from the University of Colorado - Boulder and a BS in Physics from Georgia Tech. Neither Geoff Considine nor Quantext (Geoff's company) are investment advisors. Nothing in any commentary here on Seeking Alpha or elsewhere shall be regarded as advice.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SPY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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