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Petrobras Is A Great Stock But For Later

Rogue Trader profile picture
Rogue Trader


  • Petrobras is a great stock on paper combining many favorable investment positives.
  • Unfortunately, its stock price will likely lag its NOC peers over the coming quarters due to political risks until the Brazilian election later this year.
  • I see better risk-reward elsewhere for the time being.
Petrobras oil company headquarters building during dusk seen from below along with other office buildings

simonmayer/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Investment Thesis

Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) is a near-perfect investment on paper. It’s dirt cheap, cash generative, highly distributive, and growing. Off paper though, is a different story. The company is unfortunately under political scrutiny from the current government as well as from the leading challenger. There is a

This article was written by

Rogue Trader profile picture
Ex HF portfolio manager, Ex management consultant. Now I manage my own money and focus on anything that can create alpha. I will write on any idea I have and lay out my thesis and analysis openly to get feedback from and discuss with the SA community.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BP, OMVJF, LUKOY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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