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2 Safe 7% Yielding Blue-Chip Bargains You Won't Want To Miss

Jan. 06, 2022 7:31 AM ETENB, KMI, ENB:CA40 Comments

Summary

  • The market soared almost 30% in 2021 and is now 31% historically overvalued.
  • Fortunately, it's always and forever a market of stocks, not a stock market. Today even 7% safe blue-chip bargains are still available if you know where to look.
  • ENB and KMI are two safe 7% yielding blue-chips that can help you achieve your financial goals.
  • These blue-chips are expected to soar 18% to 24% in 2022.
  • This means they can help you get rich in 2022, and retire even richer in the years and decades to come.
  • Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at The Dividend Kings. Learn More »
Gold Colored 2022 Sitting Over American Dollar Bills - Money Printing and Inflation Concept

MicroStockHub/iStock via Getty Images

What a glorious 2021 for investors it was. With very few exceptions, almost everything went up last year.

glorious 2021 for investors

Value, S&P, small caps, mega-cap tech, high-yield, high-yield low volatility, it was a banner year for nearly all investors in 2021.

Of

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This article was written by

Dividend Sensei profile picture
110.06K Followers

Dividend Sensei (Adam Galas) is an Army veteran and stock analyst with 20+ years of market experience.

He is a founding author of the investing group The Dividend Kings which focuses on helping investors safeguard and grow their money in all market conditions through the highest-quality dividend investments. Dividend Sensei and the team of analysts (Brad Thomas, Justin Law, Nicholas Ward, Chuck Carnevale, and Sebastian Wolf) help members invest more intelligently in dividend stocks. Features include: 13 model portfolios, buy ideas, company research reports, and a thriving chat community for readers looking to learn how to invest more intelligently in dividend stocks. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of KMI, ENB either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Dividend Kings owns KMI, and ENB in our portfolios.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Comments (40)

Dividend Sensei profile picture
I’d like to sincerely thank all my 87,000 followers for an incredible five years at Seeking Alpha. It’s been a privilege and honor to help teach so many people how to take charge of your financial destiny and achieve your long-term financial goals.

If you haven’t already, please follow me to continue getting some of the best fundamentals and fact-based investment strategies and ideas.

2022 is sure to be an exciting and profitable year for anyone who remembers to focus on safety and quality first, and reasonable valuation and prudent risk management always.

The current market downturn is perfectly healthy, normal, and a potentially wonderful buying opportunity if you can stay calm, rational, and focused.

I look forward to helping you and I grow richer in knowledge and money, in the coming years and decades.

To learn about my favorite 7% yielding blue-chip for 2022, which can potentially help retirees achieve $850,000 in inflation-adjusted income in the first 15 years of retirement, read the full version of this article with a 2-week free trial of Dividend Kings.

seekingalpha.com/...

Please feel free to direct message me if you have any questions. Also, retirees and veterans are eligible for discounts (please message me if interested).

Thank you for reading and please have a safe, healthy, and joyous new year!

Sincerely,

Adam Galas

Senior Analyst, Dividend Kings
J
@Dividend Sensei Ive been following you from the beginning and telling all my investing friends along the way. Thank you for all you and your team has done. Your transparency and lessons in investing has definitely given me the tools and knowledge to invest and now I have something to look forward to in retirement. I hope this valuable service you provide never ends. The value your team brings to the investing culture, especially retail traders is enormous, I would definitely be interested in buying a book if you guys ever published one as I'm sure others would as well.

All the best,
Jeremy
jillydavid profile picture
@Dividend Sensei really appreciate your work and have learned a lot from your articles and approach. Data, statistics and reason trump all and it’s good to see this in your analyses.
ENB over KMI all day every day. Added today too next to GOOG and AMZN.
I will be focusing more on international and emerging markets this year where CAPE is lower and expected to reverse. The US seems to be overheating so adding just cautiously undervalued stocks in select sectors.
N
@jillydavid Any thoughts on how you will go about finding those opportunities outside the US?

I'm considering doing something similar. I'm looking at opening an account with Interactive Brokers as Fidelity seems to charge a $50 foreign settlement fee.
g
I like your article. I am buying ENB tomorrow. Already own KMI
d
I own ENB and KMI. Although I like KMI, today I exchanged some shares for ALTM(Altus midstream) which is a much smaller gas midstream which is currently being aggressively transformed into a larger, high growth midstream by private equity investment. Although more risky than KMI, the transformed Altus may offer some significant capital gains and dividend growth above that which KMI seems to offer. I refer interested readers to recent comments made by @elliott_mir and others on SA. I am also long many other midstreams, including EPD, MPLX, WMB, and PBA.
adityakhurana2 profile picture
DS thank you so much for your excellent article. Added some more ENB today, prefer it to KMI.
rew222 profile picture
I have both ENB and KMI. KMI is a concern due to 140% dividend coverage ratio.
nkaln3 profile picture
Long AM for yield and AR for growth.
j
3 year dividend growth “steak”.
Par for kmi
M
Enbridge also has some interesting Cumulative Redeemable Reset Rate Preference Shares. E.g. EBBNF with an interest rate that is tied to the 5yr treasury note thus giving some protection against inflation. Note, and I find this quite strange, even if held in an IRA there is Canadian withholding on the dividends of these issues whereas there is no withholding on the dividends of the common stock.
C
Author has a funny interpretation of Blue Chip.

Hmmm. KM was taken private 15 years ago. Publicly traded after IPO 2011. Only ten years of performance history.

Dividend cut from 0.51 per share in 2016 to 0.125 in all of 2016 and 2017. Presently at 0.27.

Credit rating (S&P) for bonds is BBB-, placing them on the lowest rung of the investment-grade ratings. BBB for the stock is investment grade, but not A level. That;s a Blue Chip

I may be old school, but somehow this doesn’t seem like a real Blue Chip to me. Next thing you know, the author will be calling KMI a Dividend Aristocrat…

May be a good investment, but that’s not what I am writing about.
Dividend Sensei profile picture
@Current$ea

Actually, S&P rates KMI BBB stable.

3 Reasons Kinder Morgan Has Become A 6.6% Yield Retirees Can Trust

seekingalpha.com/...

Our quality score is based on a 231 point model.

The Dividend King's overall quality scores are based on a 231 point model that includes:

dividend safety

balance sheet strength

credit ratings

credit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk data

short and long-term bankruptcy risk

accounting and corporate fraud risk

profitability and business model

growth consensus estimates

cost of capital

long-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&P, Reuters'/Refinitiv and Just Capital

management quality

dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability

long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)

analyst consensus long-term return potential

It actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.

credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model

dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 83% of the DK safety and quality model

How do we know that our safety and quality model works well?

During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.

The Kinder of today is nothing like the Kinder of 2015.
S
" tax credit recoups the withholding for the vast majority of investors in taxable accounts"
Can you expound on this? What is the name of the credit?
Veritas1010 profile picture
@StoneSmasher,

That I have always felt remarks like you’ve highlighted are a tad bit disingenuous. The $300/$600 foreign withholdings tax credit doesn’t offer much protection for retired investors (or not) that have any meaningful investment in a Canadian company.

Unless you are young enough to have a sheltered IRA to put your Canadian equities in (outside of Canadian REIT’s I believe) you’re going to have 15% taken out from your “juicy” dividend. A 6.9% yield translates to a 5.865%, that’s a big difference. I know. Of course everyone’s tax situation is unique, but if you are at the 0% tax brackets on gross income of under $80.8k your ability to claw back using the mandatory IRS Form 1116 (beyond tax credit levels noted within) will be paltry. However with a higher obligation bracket 15% dividend tax and beyond I suspect your returns can be better, just conjecture here however.

All of this is simply based on my own personal experiences as an investor for many years. I am not a tax advisor nor accountant and everyone should do there own due diligence.

Additionally there is FOREX to contend with as Enbridge for examples pays in Canadian dollars and therefore it’s value is pegged at a particular date to the USD. Unfortunately, the USD has been inordinately strong for awhile lowering your distributions accordingly.

Just things to consider besides the rah-rah-rah.

disc.: long $ENB
S
@Veritas1010 Do you have to file a return with Canada also, or is their 15% a flat tax? I don't own any foreign stocks (aside from internation ETF in 401k). I learned K-1 the hard way last year and agree that due dilegence is important. Thanks for the reply.
d
@StoneSmasher-Outside of an IRA, there is a 15% withholding tax on Canadian stocks, which is easily recouped as a tax credit using Form 1116(easy with Turbotax of a CPA if you use one) - and , providing that you pay at least that amount in Federal income taxes for there to be a credit. A US citizen does not have to file taxes or any other paperwork with the Canadian government. I own many Canadian stocks and have gotten every penny of withheld taxes using Form 1116.
Illuminati Investments profile picture
"Safe 7% Yield" is an oxymoron in this market.

Just look at, oh I don't know...$KMI itself.
HaroldRamis profile picture
@Illuminati Investments selling a tout sheet is safe !
Illuminati Investments profile picture
@HaroldRamis Safer than their balance sheet...
Dividend Sensei profile picture
@Illuminati Investments

Often it is, but there are safe names that offer yields as high as 9%.

Those are the ones we recommend.

Even in the 2 worst recessions in 75 years we were able to predict 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts thanks to our 231 point safety and quality model.

The Dividend King's overall quality scores are based on a 231 point model that includes:

dividend safety

balance sheet strength

credit ratings

credit default swap medium-term bankruptcy risk data

short and long-term bankruptcy risk

accounting and corporate fraud risk

profitability and business model

growth consensus estimates

cost of capital

long-term risk-management scores from MSCI, Morningstar, FactSet, S&P, Reuters'/Refinitiv and Just Capital

management quality

dividend friendly corporate culture/income dependability

long-term total returns (a Ben Graham sign of quality)

analyst consensus long-term return potential

It actually includes over 1,000 metrics if you count everything factored in by 12 rating agencies we use to assess fundamental risk.

credit and risk management ratings make up 41% of the DK safety and quality model

dividend/balance sheet/risk ratings make up 83% of the DK safety and quality model

How do we know that our safety and quality model works well?

During the two worst recessions in 75 years, our safety model predicted 87% of blue-chip dividend cuts during the ultimate baptism by fire for any dividend safety model.
Persaltish profile picture
Nice article Sensei Div.
Enbridge is pure gold. It's going to $50 and the dividend is pure gold.
Kinder is very, very good but I don't know if it can appreciate as much as ENB can.
Dividend Sensei profile picture
@Persaltish

It seems like 2022 might finally be the year of the great value rotation.

Historically the first 3 years of Fed tightening are when value shines brightest.

And the bond market is now pricing in a 76% chance of 4 rate hikes in 2022 according to Bloomberg and the Fed is talking QT and balance sheet contraction.

Value is up, the market down and Nasdaq is down almost 4% YTD.

As long as the market doesn't get too spooked (like Wed) we could see the market drift lower, tech fall faster, and value move steadily higher.

It's what happened with anti-bubbles like O and EPD in the tech crash.

EPD went up 10X from 2000 through 2010 during the S&P's lost decade.

An example of the "revenge of the value nerds";)
Bucknfl profile picture
KMI has been dead money for so long, maybe it could reserrect.
birder profile picture
ENB I agree with. KMI I am skeptical of.
D
@birder I used to be in the same boat but KMI just got so cheap that I had to buy in. :-)
I still like ENB better but valuation matters!
Income4ever aka Cyclenut profile picture
Long ENB, MMP and EPD.
EPD just announced a 3.5% distribution increase for Q1 2022.
d
@Income4ever aka Cyclenut - Thanks for the news, which should give me a nice income boost in 2022! I expected maybe a bit more, but I will take 3.5%, especially since this represents an increase more than their norm of recent years.
A
No KMI for me.. Kinder is a crook….crashed the stock because poor management.. other 7% options…let me know when Kinder is gone… He can take KW with him..
h
@AZ BOY maybe a bit strong how you formulate this but do agree KMI does not meet the quality standards from a management perspective… being Kindered once… not twice… good luck for those who want to give it a try!
21thomas99 profile picture
@AZ BOY Geez, here we go again with the complaining. The dividend had to be cut so their credit rating(s) would not be adversely effected.

So many people sound as if Richard Kinder was playing games just for some perverse enjoyment.

It's been more than five years later, and some people can't seem to pass up an opportunity to complain.
j
@21thomas99 truth though.
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Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
ENB--
Enbridge Inc.
KMI--
Kinder Morgan, Inc.
ENB:CA--
Enbridge Inc.

Related Analysis

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