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Bears Go Back Into Hibernation

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  • Bullish sentiment turned slightly lower this week in spite of the S&P 500’s move higher, shedding 0.9 percentage points to come in at 31.9%.
  • Bearish sentiment fell for a second week in a row, falling another 7.9 percentage points to 27.5%.
  • Neutral sentiment clipped above 40% this week for the highest level since January 2020.

Rising prices on the stock exchange

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The last couple weeks of the first quarter have seen equities reverse a sizable portion of this year’s losses, and sentiment has rebounded in sync, though bullish sentiment turned slightly lower this week in spite of the

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Comments (3)

Few stock market participants actually believe the Fed will be aggressive in raising rates

80% of Fed fund traders OTOH think we'll be 100 basis points (or even 125 basis points) higher by the June 15 Fed meeting. Almost 20% think we'll see a 50 basis point increase at one of the two next Fed meetings, and a 75 basis point increase at the other

and 70% think we'll be at 2.5% or higher on Fed funds by the end of the year

My sentiment will shade to the bearish side until peace breaks out and things can get better instead of deteriorate. The technicals for my stuff are bullish MACD wise though.

The market has already gotten past Ukraine. Once "peace breaks out" attention will turn to higher interest rates
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