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Inflation: The BIG Market Crash Risk?

Sarel Oberholster profile picture
Sarel Oberholster


  • The money creation and monetary inflation advances made by the FED has reached its pinnacle where inflation and zero interest rates meet.
  • Monetary inflation initiated in 1981 but significantly advanced since the 1987 market crash has created unsustainable economic and market dislocations now at crisis levels.
  • A review of the 1929 and 2008 market crashes informs that a levelling off in monetary inflation will set in motion an unravelling of the dislocations.
  • Economic and market fault lines are identified to inform best investment and trading positioning given the current economic and market risks.

Wall Street Crash

Keystone/Hulton Archive via Getty Images

1929 Wall Street Crash

Seeking Alpha has rightly asked its contributors to address the inflation crises currently experienced in the global economy. The idea is to identify the most advantageous investments for such and environment. This

The Monetary Inflation Gauge

The Monetary Inflation Gauge (Sarel Oberholster)

The Monetary Inflation Gauge 2020 COVID

The Monetary Inflation Gauge 2020 COVID (Sarel Oberholster)

Effective FED Funds Rate

Effective FED Funds Rate (St Louis Fed)


sp-500-historical-chart-data-2022-04-30-macrotrends (Macrotrends)

Total Assets of the Federal Reserve

Total Assets of the Federal Reserve (St Louis FED)

FDI 2000 to 2020

FDI 2000 to 2020 (World Bank)

CPI Inflation USA

CPI Inflation USA (TradeEconomics)

CPI Inflation EU

CPI Inflation EU (TradeEconomics)

Global GDP Growth

Global GDP Growth (World Bank)

This article was written by

Sarel Oberholster profile picture
My retail trader book series, The Paranoid Trader and The BIG FISH Trader, is now available on Amazon. It is a strategy guide for Retail Traders/Investors to motivate them to become profitable Traders/Investors and then remain profitable. Equally important to experienced Retail Traders/Investors, as it reinforces winning trading strategies. I seek understanding in everything but economics, markets and investing are where my mind is most at ease. In this I am forever doing research in my quest for answers. I do view the world from many different angles. Understanding economic behavioral patterns are important to me. Strategic investing over the medium to longer term is predominantly my focus when I contemplate my research or philosophies. I have a compulsion to express my thoughts in ordered form and my essays are the result of such expressions. I'm an economist by training, a financial engineer by talent, a banker by profession, a trader by interest and a father by chance.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TBF either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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