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Is Ford Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold After Recent Earnings?

May 03, 2022 12:47 PM ETFord Motor Company (F)GM63 Comments


  • Ford reported pretty solid Q1 earnings results, however, the market remains concerned over its H2'22 production cadence and potential pricing normalization.
  • Ford has staked its FY22 guidance on an elevated pricing environment to remain through the end of the year. But, the market seems to be pricing in weakness instead.
  • We believe that Ford's stock valuation has normalized meaningfully from January. The market has digested its excessive optimism, culminating in a massive bull trap.
  • We discuss why F stock remains a Buy after its Q1 report.
  • I do much more than just articles at Ultimate Growth Investing: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more. Learn More »

Ford December Sales Plunge 17 Percent From A Year Ago

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News

Investment Thesis

Given the challenging macro environment and ongoing supply chain disruptions, Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) reported a solid Q1 earnings card. Additionally, the headwinds from the Russia-Ukraine conflict were also exacerbated by the recent COVID lockdowns

F stock NTM FCF yield % and NTM normalized P/E

F stock NTM FCF yield % and NTM normalized P/E (TIKR)

F stock price chart

F stock price chart (TradingView)

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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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