Tesla Q2: Market Never Learned Its Musk Lesson

Jul. 18, 2022 3:49 PM ETTesla, Inc. (TSLA)75 Comments

Summary

  • The market habitually underestimates the volatility in Tesla stock prices, especially during the earnings report season.
  • Elon Musk could surprise the market in its upcoming Q2 earnings again considering new development in China since its Q1 report.
  • Global shipping data also shows signs that the supply chain disruptions are easing.
  • As some actionable ideas, investors may consider an option play either as a hedge or as a way to exploit the volatility mispricing.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Envision Early Retirement get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More »

Tesla Update v7.0 Enables Self-driving Test In China

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Thesis

My past articles on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) have been focusing on its nonlinear growth potential in the long term. As investors are on the edge of their seats, anxiously waiting for its earnings report on July 20, I

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InsideEVs

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Drewry’s data

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Yahoo Finance

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Source: oic.ivolatility.com

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Source: oic.ivolatility.com

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This article was written by

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** Disclosure: I am associated with Sensor Unlimited.

** Master of Science, 2004, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 

Department of Management Science and Engineering, with concentration in quantitative investment 

** PhD,  2006, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 

Department of Mechanical Engineering, with concentration in  advanced and renewable energy solutions

** 15 years of investment management experiences 

Since 2006, have been actively analyzing stocks and the overall market, managing various portfolios and accounts and providing investment counseling to many relatives and friends.

** Diverse background and holistic approach 

Combined with Sensor Unlimited, we provide more than 3 decades of hands-on experience in high-tech R&D and consulting, housing market, credit market, and actual portfolio management. We monitor several asset classes for tactical opportunities. Examples include less-covered stocks ideas (such as our past holdings like CRUS and FL), the credit and REIT market, short-term and long-term bond trade opportunities, and gold-silver trade opportunities. 

I also take a holistic view and watch out on aspects (both dangers and opportunities) often neglected – such as tax considerations (always a large chunk of return), fitness with the rest of holdings (no holding is good or bad until it is examined under the context of what we already hold), and allocation across asset classes.

Above all, like many SA readers and writers, I am a curious investor – I look forward to constantly learn, re-learn, and de-learn with this wonderful community.

Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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