With a real possibility of a recession, and a declining market, earning income by any means has become more challenging, and that would be true with Options as well. In the current market situation, which is highly volatile, we will urge extra caution and due diligence. For Options writing, always select dividend-paying stocks that you are willing to hold at least for a period of one to two years if you had to. Always keep an extra margin of safety and don't take the risk that you cannot afford. That said, with regards to Options income, an ideal market would be a rising or steady market for PUT options and a stagnant or flat market for CALL options. For PUT options, we should choose stocks from sectors that are currently favored, for example, energy, healthcare, electric, and gas utilities. Also, these stocks should display a high level of relative strength. For CALL options, we should select stocks that offer highly reliable and safe dividends besides being able to grow their earnings in spite of challenging times.
Please note that the options strategies discussed in this monthly series are limited to selling (or writing) the Covered Call options and cash-covered PUT options. We do not cover buying the Options as they are not only risky, but at the same time, they are not really suited for income strategies. The primary purpose of our options strategies is to generate income. As such, there are two sides to options. There's an option buyer for every seller of an option. When you sell an option, you earn an immediate premium, and you get to keep that premium irrespective of the outcome of the option. However, when you buy an option, you pay the premium upfront and basically buy the right to buy (or sell) the underlying security at a pre-set price (called the strike price). As an option buyer, you're essentially looking for a high gain, but your entire investment (the amount of premium paid) is at risk if the option expires worthless, which, by the way, happens the majority of the time. We believe the strategy of selling options (opposite of buying options) to generate income is the safer strategy. It's more akin to acting like an insurance provider, where you earn the premium upfront, and if you act conservatively, 80%-90% of options should expire worthless, thereby limiting your risk.
However, we do not intend to convey an impression, especially to the folks who are new to options, that there's no risk in selling options. In fact, there's plenty, especially if we are not careful. But there are ways we can minimize the risk by following certain time-tested principles.
Author's Note: This article is part of our periodic series that attempts to present three lists of stocks that could be suitable for writing options to generate safe income. Certain parts of the introduction, definitions and the section describing the selection process may have some commonality and repetitiveness with our other articles in the series. This is unavoidable as well as intentional to keep the entire series consistent and easy to follow for new readers. Regular readers who follow the series from month to month could skip such sections.
All tables in this article have been created by the author (unless explicitly specified). Most of the data in this article are sourced from Fidelity, Yahoo Finance, DripInvesting, and Barchart.com.
Note: This section is for readers who do not have much prior exposure or experience with options. Other readers could skip this section.
You're basically acting as an insurance company and providing insurance to the buyer of the option for stock at a certain stock price for a limited period of time. There are obviously two types of options that you can sell (or write) to generate a premium.
Can it be a Sustainable and Repeatable Income Strategy?
We definitely think so. Any strategy that cannot be repeated with reasonable success on a consistent basis would not be much useful. However, we believe the strategy to write options on dividend stocks is both repeatable and sustainable. In fact, if you act conservatively and limit this strategy to only certain kinds of stocks, you can safely generate a 10%-12% average income and up to 12%-15% CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate). Sure, as with any strategy, there are a few downsides. The strategy needs some work on a regular basis, though depending upon the number of positions, just a few hours a month should be enough. You have to be very careful with the selection of stocks. As stated earlier, the first and most important rule is that the stocks that you choose are the ones that you do not mind holding for the long term. The second rule is consistency that we follow the discipline and follow the process as per the pre-determined rules.
One of the most important aspects of writing or selling options is to select the right kind of stocks and to use the right kind of options strategy. What kind of stocks will be suitable will depend on the investor's goals and risk profile? In this monthly series, we will present three lists of 10 stocks, each with different characteristics. Please note that some stocks may appear in multiple lists. We will scan the complete universe of stocks and apply some broad-based filtering criteria to make our list smaller.
By applying the above criteria, we get roughly 600 stocks.
Since our goal is to look for companies that we do NOT mind owning for at least in the short to medium term, we will filter out the companies that have less than five years of dividend growth history. This filter leaves us roughly 275 companies that have a consistent record of paying growing dividends for at least five years, preferably longer.
Now, we will import financial data for each company in our list. We want to see the dividend safety of each company at least on a relative basis. So, we import the following data elements:
We will combine these factors and calculate a dividend safety score for each company. Sure, a high safety score would not guarantee absolute safety because business conditions can change over time, new competition can emerge, or the management can make some bad decisions destroying shareholder value. But it will at least provide a reasonable level of assurance that the company has the financial capability to continue making its dividend payments.
We also will import the data on price movements related to 1-week, 4-weeks, and 12-week price performance for the selected stocks.
We're going to use our proprietary formulas (as detailed below) to calculate the optimal strike prices for CALL and PUT options. However, there are many other ways to determine the appropriate strike prices. The readers are encouraged to try several methods before determining what works best for them. There are many other ways to determine the appropriate strike prices. Your brokerage provider may provide more information on variables like delta, gamma, theta, etc., and how they can be relevant to options.
We will also calculate the following ratios and factors:
Distance-Ratio = (52-WK-HIGH - 52-WK-LOW)/((52-WK-HIGH + 52-WK-LOW)/2)
Distance-Ratio % = Distance-Ratio x 100
Strike-Price-Safe-Distance % = [(Distance-Ratio %) x STPR-factor (STRIKE-PRICE-factor)] / 10
Whereas STPRC-factor = 1.2 (can vary from 1.0 to 1.5)
This price may need to be rounded to the lowest dollar or half-dollar amount depending upon what strike prices are prevailing for the underlying stock for the specific strike date.
This price may need to be rounded up to the nearest dollar or half-dollar amount depending upon what strike prices are prevailing for the underlying stock for the specific strike date.
Below, we present two lists of 10 stocks each, one for writing PUT options and the other one for writing CALL options. The second list is presented with two different options - the first one with stocks that you may want to own (or already own), whereas the second one is using the same stocks for the purpose of earning a high rate of income but possibly avoiding owning them. Please note that some stocks may appear in multiple lists as they may satisfy the criteria for more than one category.
For PUT options with the primary objective of generating income, we would want to see them expire worthless. So, we will analyze the 1-week, 4-week, and 12-week price performance and try to see if it's a rising trend or a downward trend. For writing (or selling) PUT Options, we want to select stocks that have a rising trend. These are the stocks that generally would have high relative strength or momentum. That will help ensure that, more than likely, the PUT option will expire worthless. In the reverse situation, if the option was assigned and we were put the shares, the rising trend will help that we are able to write the CALL option immediately with a good premium.
In our list, we are careful not to put too many names from the same industry segment. We generally limit to two or three names from the same sector for the sake of avoiding too much concentration in one sector.
One important caveat for selling PUT options: Do not start a PUT option on a stock that you do not see yourself holding for an extended period of time.
Here are the top 10 large-cap stocks for PUT options:
Below, we present the current PUT Options trades and current premiums that we can expect for the above ten stocks. Please note that due to the current market environment, we have selected very conservative strike prices and sacrificed a little bit of premium income. So, the average premium or annualized returns are slightly on the lower side.
In this category (part-A), we're assuming that you already own these stocks (or you will be happy to own them at the right price). So, we're aiming for an average of 2% dividend and roughly 10%-12% income by writing call options.
In this category, we will list ten large-cap stocks that are perceived to have very safe dividends. There's nothing that we can claim to be absolutely safe in the investing world - the same can be said about dividends. But based on various financial metrics, we can shortlist companies that have low payout ratios, low debt, high credit ratings, positive top-line growth, and have been consistently growing their dividends. We present ten such companies below:
Our Top 10 Stocks with Very Safe Dividends for (BUY-WRITE) CALL options:
Note: The "Net Dividend Rating" (the last column above) is based on recent past parameters like 5-year dividend growth, number of years of dividend growth, Payout Ratio based on cash flow, ROC, Sales growth, and Debt/capital.
Below, we present the current CALL Option trades and current premiums that we can expect for the above ten stocks.
In this part, we are assuming that you do not own these stocks to start with, and your goal is NOT to own these stocks but simply to earn a high income (> 20% annualized rate). Even then, there is always a chance that we could end up owning these companies, so we want to make sure that their dividends are safe. Also, this option is good if you think that the market will fall further from the current levels.
To achieve this, we will use the buy-write CALL option (for one contract, buy 100 shares and sell one call-option contract at the same time). Since the goal is simply to earn a high income, we will sell call-option with a strike price that is either ITM (in-the-money) or NTM (near the money), meaning either below the current price or near the current market price. In fact, with the market going through a period of high volatility, we are writing call options deep in-the-money. In normal circumstances, odds will be very high that the shares will get called away, and we will earn a high premium. It's also possible in some cases that the shares are not called away as the price may fall substantially. In such a case, our cost basis will be much lower (roughly 5% lower than the current price due to the premium already earned), and we can write another set of call-option.
However, there's one caveat here, and it's an important one. In case you write such call options on a large number of stocks (10 different stocks in our example below), and if the market was to take a deep dive (> 10% down) during the option period (which is always a possibility but more so in the current environment), the majority of our shares would NOT get called away, and you will end up owning most of these stocks, albeit at much-reduced cost basis. So, it's important to know how much capital you're willing to commit and if you can really afford to allocate it. Secondly, you always want to use this strategy with stocks that you do not mind owning and holding for an extended period of time.
This list of stocks is the same as in Part-A:
We have presented two lists with ten stocks each. The second list is presented with two possible action strategies. Please review the goals of these two distinct strategies carefully. Each stock has been carefully selected based on the strategy. We think these lists could be great selections for writing/selling PUT or CALL options. We have tried to put relatively safe stocks in both groups; however, the stocks listed in the second list (parts A and B) for call options (or buy-write call options) have been specifically filtered based on the safety of the dividend.
We expect 70% to 80% of our options to expire worthless, earning us the upfront premium. But there will be times (just like the current market environment) when we are assigned a stock. Usually, it should not be a problem, as we can turn around and write a covered call option. But there will be times, especially during high volatility periods, the stock price may drop unexpectedly and much below our strike price. In such cases that are hard to predict, we will have to sell CALL options far out of money, earning us very little premium (or sometimes no premium at all) but still earning the dividends. This will reduce the overall premium yields by 2%-3% in the long term, but this can be easily offset by the capital gains we may earn from time to time. So, overall, it may be quite reasonable and realistic for us to expect 10% to 12% income on a consistent basis, as long as we play it wisely and conservatively.
As stated earlier, we usually aim for an average of 10%-12% annualized premium. In the current environment, meeting that target is not a problem, but we need to be extra diligent in what stocks and strike prices we choose. We have used our proprietary formulas to calculate the optimal strike prices. That said, there are many other ways to determine the appropriate strike prices.
In order to have a conservative strategy, we have limited our choices of stocks that are large-cap (cap above $10 billion), offer respectable yields, have at least five years of dividend growth history, and generate enough cash to cover their dividends.
High Income DIY Portfolios: The primary goal of our "High Income DIY Portfolios" Marketplace service is high income with low risk and preservation of capital. It provides DIY investors with vital information and portfolio/asset allocation strategies to help create stable, long-term passive income with sustainable yields. We believe it's appropriate for income-seeking investors including retirees or near-retirees. We provide ten portfolios: 3 buy-and-hold and 7 Rotational portfolios. This includes two High-Income portfolios, a DGI portfolio, a conservative strategy for 401K accounts, and a few High-Growth portfolios. For more details or a two-week free trial, please click here.
This article was written by
I am an individual investor, an SA Author/Contributor, and manage the “High Income DIY (HIDIY)” SA-Marketplace service. However, I am not a Financial Advisor. I have been investing for the last 25 years and consider myself an experienced investor. I share my experiences on SA by way of writing three or four articles a month as well as my portfolio strategies. You could also visit my website “FinanciallyFreeInvestor.com” for additional information.
I focus on investing in dividend-growing stocks with a long-term horizon. In addition to a DGI portfolio, I manage and invest in a few high-income portfolios as well as some Risk-adjusted Rotation Strategies. I believe "Passive Income" is what makes you 'Financially Free.' My personal goal is to generate at least 60-65% of my retirement income from dividends and the rest from other sources like real estate etc.
My current "long-term" long positions (DGI-dividend-paying) include ABT, ABBV, CI, JNJ, PFE, NVS, NVO, AZN, UNH, CL, CLX, UL, NSRGY, PG, KHC, TSN, ADM, MO, PM, BUD, KO, PEP, EXC, D, DEA, DEO, ENB, MCD, BAC, PRU, UPS, WMT, WBA, CVS, LOW, AAPL, IBM, CSCO, MSFT, INTC, T, VZ, VOD, CVX, XOM, VLO, ABB, ITW, MMM, LMT, LYB, RIO, O, NNN, WPC, TLT.
My High-Income CEF/BDC/REIT positions include:
ARCC, ARDC, GBDC, NRZ, AWF, CHI, DNP, EVT, FFC, GOF, HQH, HTA, IIF, IFN, HYB, JPC, JPS, JRI, LGI, KYN, MAIN, NBB, NLY, OHI, PDI, PCM, PTY, RFI, RNP, RQI, STAG, STK, USA, UTF, UTG, BST, CET, VTR.
In addition to my long-term positions, I use several "Rotational" risk-adjusted portfolios, where positions are traded/rotated on a monthly basis. Besides, at times, I use "Options" to generate income. I am also invested in a small growth-oriented Fin/Tech portfolio (NFLX, PYPL, GOOGL, AAPL, JPM, AMGN, BMY, MSFT, TSLA, MA, V, FB, AMZN, BABA, SQ, ARKK). From time to time, I may also own other stocks for trading purposes, which I do not consider long-term (currently own AVB, MAA, BX, BXMT, CPT, MPW, DAL, DWX, FAGIX, SBUX, RWX, ALC). I may use some experimental portfolios or mimic some portfolios (10-Bagger and Deep Value) from my HIDIY Marketplace service, which are not part of my long-term holdings. Thank you for reading.
Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ABT, ABBV, JNJ, PFE, NVS, NVO, UNH, CI, CL, CLX, GIS, UL, NSRGY, PG, KHC, ADM, MO, PM, BUD, KO, PEP, D, DEA, DEO, ENB, MCD, BAC, PRU, UPS, WMT, WBA, CVS, LOW, AAPL, IBM, CSCO, MSFT, INTC, T, VZ, VOD, CVX, XOM, VLO, ABB, ITW, MMM, LMT, LYB, RIO, ARCC, AWF, BST, CET, CHI, DNP, EVT, FFC, GOF, HCP, HQH, HTA, IIF, JPC, JPS, JRI, KYN, MAIN, MCI, NBB, NLY, NNN, TLT either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Additional disclosure: Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational purposes only and in no way should be construed as financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any stock. The author is not a financial advisor. Please always do further research and do your own due diligence before making any investments. Every effort has been made to present the data/information accurately; however, the author does not claim 100% accuracy. The stock portfolios presented here are model portfolios for demonstration purposes. For the complete list of our LONG positions, please see our profile on Seeking Alpha.