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Fed Rate Hike, Recession Expectations Shift Investor Focus To Q1 2023


  • The final week of July 2022 came with two major news events shaping S&P 500 investor expectations for the future.
  • The Fed hiking rates into an already weakened economy increases the likelihood the Fed's efforts to fight inflation by hiking short-term interest rates will more fully put the U.S. economy into recession.
  • After the Fed boosted the Federal Funds Rate by 0.75% to its new target range between 2.25% and 2.50%, the CME Group's FedWatch Tool projects a half-point rate hike in September (2022-Q3).



The final week of July 2022 came with two major news events shaping S&P 500 (SPX) investor expectations for the future. Wednesday, 27 July 2022, saw the U.S. Federal Reserve follow through with its second 0.75% rate hike of the year, while Thursday, 28 July

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