Alcoa: Stock With A Moat? Actually Yes

Nov. 30, 2022 10:57 AM ETAlcoa Corporation (AA)7 Comments

Summary

  • Q3 results were not pleasant. This had been expected.
  • But that's in the rearview now. The next twelve months are all about China's reopening.
  • Further, when it comes to Alcoa's peers outside the US, approximately 50% of them are operating at a cash loss today.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Deep Value Returns. Learn More »

Overcrowded residential public area in a housing estate in Quarry Bay, Hong Kong. Crowded narrow apartments in a community in HK, an issue of high housing density and housing shortage due to overpopulation

Aaron Chen PS2/iStock via Getty Images

Investment Thesis

Alcoa (NYSE:AA) prospects are likely to change. Both positive and imminent change is on the cards.

But before going further, I'm going to start this analysis with a quote from Alcoa's management

AA Q2 2022

AA Q2 2022

Trading Economics

Trading Economics

AA Q2 2022

AA Q2 2022

AA Q3 2022

AA Q3 2022

AA Q3 2022

AA Q3 2022

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This article was written by

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Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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