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Ollie's Bargain Outlet: Not Exactly Winning In This Environment

Albert Lin, CFA profile picture
Albert Lin, CFA


  • Share's of Ollie's are down 17% on disappointing results and outlook.
  • Contrary to conventional wisdom, the closeout retailer isn't exactly winning in this environment.
  • I'm neutral on the stock and will wait for further valuation reset to get more constructive.

Indianapolis - June 2016: Ollie"s Bargain Outlet II


Underwhelming results and outlook

Shares of closeout retailer Ollie's Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ:OLLI) were down 17% following disappointing 3Q22 results that missed most consensus estimates. Though Ollie's may be understood as a beneficiary in a highly inflationary environment where

This article was written by

Albert Lin, CFA profile picture
Entrepreneur turned investment analyst. I aim to provide readers on Seeking Alpha with differentiated, concise, and actionable investment advice through good old-fashioned fundamental analysis with a strong emphasis on valuation. Focus mainly on tech and consumer. If you find my analysis interesting and helpful, follow me to be the first to read my latest articles.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of COST either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Comments (5)

bruno blontrock profile picture
No growth, no dividends, low eps,... One wonders why Wall Street considers this a buy.
Bob Kleinberg profile picture
Thank you for the excellent, very clear analysis.
OverTheHorizon profile picture
“in Q3, Ollie's saw business slowing in the last 2 weeks of October and noted it will continue to invest in price to compete in a "highly promotional" environment.”

Code for even lower margins on stuff customers don’t want.
@OverTheHorizon they also said it had picked up again post October.
Let's hope that a share of OLLI can be considered "good stuff cheap."
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