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AbCellera Biologics: My Updated Current Valuation Estimate

Jan. 05, 2023 2:57 AM ETAbCellera Biologics Inc. (ABCL)76 Comments
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  • In this article, I will provide my valuation model for AbCellera, building on an article I wrote over a year ago.
  • In the last year, many of my inputs I previously used have changed, given the greater transparency of the company throughout 2022. Some for the better, some for the worse.
  • Terrible market sentiment is unlikely to change anytime soon; however, the sheer amount of good things happening at the company, I believe, will be rewarded in time.

Little Boy Dressed as Acccountant using Abacus

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Roughly a year ago, I published an article on AbCellera Biologics (NASDAQ:ABCL) arguing that the company was potentially worth $41 a share. In the article, I used information released by the company at the time to come

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Clinical development success rates for investigational drugs | Nature Biotechnology


Drug lifecycle

Science Direct

This article was written by

Confoundedinterest profile picture
I work in the financial and property management industry for a well known, publicly traded "mini Berkshire" Insurance company. I focus on portfolio structure, value, reasonably priced growth, tech and biotech spaces. I passed the series 6 and 7 exams at age 18 but do not at this time have active licenses.My passion for investing and personal finance education began at a very early age. I opened my first brokerage account at the age of 12 and have invested through crashes, crises, recessions and bubbles. I have made many mistakes in both my personal and investing lives, however, each mistake I have made has taught me valuable lessons on my journey, both in life and towards financial independence. As of March 2023, my total portfolio has compounded at 10.2% per year since 1993, beating the S&P 500's return of 9.87% over the same time period. I do not currently hold active licenses and I am not a financial advisor and do not give out or publish investment advice. Articles I write are my opinion only and are not solicitations, please seek guidance from a licensed financial advisor before investing in any security. Opinions expressed in my articles are my own and do not reflect or indicate any positions or opinions held of my primary employer.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ABCL either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

"I am not a licensed financial advisor. This is not a solicitation to buy or sell a specific security nor is it to be construed as investment advice, please contact your licensed financial and tax advisor for advice to your specific situation. This article is an opinion piece only and should not be construed as fact or be represented as such, please perform your own due diligence prior to investing in this or any equity.”

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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