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MP Materials: Interesting Niche, Intriguing Valuation, Concerning Chart

Jan. 05, 2023 11:41 AM ETMP Materials Corp. (MP) StockXLB, REMX30 Comments


  • The Materials sector has beaten the market over the last year.
  • One rare earths company in the US has endured tough selling pressure since early 2022.
  • With decent valuation metrics considering good growth, there's long-term opportunity here, but the chart is dicey.

Periodic Table Element Neodymium


The Materials sector is a small slice of the S&P 500. The group has outperformed the market, though, over the last year with just an 11% total return loss compared to an 18% drop in the S&P 500 Trust ETF (

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Comments (30)

My thoughts are the same. Sell @ 32. Good article 👍
Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT profile picture
@questof1 Thanks, yeah just saw we're at those low $30s levels.
Great article, Look at that chart. Lower Highs, and Lower Lows. If this is a momentum trade, we be going in the wrong direction. if this be a "scarcity" (low supply) trade, the concern for me is first China (Large owner/developer in the Rare Earth Metals trade), second next big Find in friendly nation.
CincinnatiRick profile picture
A geopolitical crapshoot that the low-cost provider can be kept out of the world market due to the national security concerns its near monopoly presented and, arguably, would continue to present for the foreseeable future. The price slide has been dramatic and there is now a plausible case that a bottom is in.
alex.c profile picture
@CincinnatiRick You sum up the entire MP investment thesis with its pros and cons beautifully in just 4 lines. Very nice!
CincinnatiRick profile picture
@alex.c Even the blind squirrel occasionally finds the acorn :-)
Investor since ‘73 profile picture
The chart proves that this is a broken stock, not a broken company, the exact opportunity that investors are looking for.

The company operates in a vital space that is certainly going to see continued and growing encouragement from the government. It’s phase 2 and 3 projects will both contribute directly to huge increases in the bottom line of an already profitable business.

If you believe, as I do that the first phase of successful investing is to buy low, by definition when it’s unloved, I would love to have others out there provide me with a better opportunity than MP.
@Investor since ‘73 I completely agree. Long MP at avg. price of 31.92. Added to my position at 24.61.
@Investor since ‘73
MU, oligarchy, best products, bottom of cycle, barrier to competition and most of all, a sure necessity going forward.
Many co’s working franticly on better batteries or alternate sources of energy.
But I own MP also. Should have a good future.
@Investor since ‘73 well said! The price of everything revolving around the chips bill is being attacked by China on every front. China has a massive disinformation scheme going on right now to discourage retail investors from buying certain stocks. It has a lot of stocks way below value across the board. Just take advantage of the low prices. It's a great time to buy.
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