Alphabet: Ultra Bullish Heading Into Q2 After OpenAI's Shift To Google Cloud

Deep Value Investing
7.23K Followers

Summary

  • I view OpenAI's addition of Google Cloud Platform as a major catalyst for Alphabet Inc. that could accelerate segment growth and place it in line with Azure over the next few years.
  • I believe Waymo is obliterating Tesla in the robotaxi race, with aggressive U.S. expansion and early steps toward Tokyo deployment while Tesla is still in its pilot phase.
  • Risks include a continuation of the recent slowdown in the search segment and some regulatory issues around AI Overviews in both the EU and the U.S.
  • Overall, I expect Google to deliver strong Q2 2025 results, with double-digit growth in both EPS and revenue. A CapEx upward revision is not completely off the charts.
  • I reiterate my strong buy rating for GOOG stock going into Q2 earnings.

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In my previous coverage, I showed that Alphabet Inc., aka Google (NASDAQ:GOOG, NASDAQ:GOOGL), is undervalued anywhere between 13% and 35% from its fair value. Since then, the stock is up by 3.5%, and with earnings

This article was written by

7.23K Followers
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well, you can land a Jumbo on the spread and still have clearance for take-off. From time to time, I buy shares, mostly to not be categorized as a degen by my fellow investor friends, therefore the 50%-50% allocation. My timeframe tends to be between 3-24 months.I like stocks that have experienced a recent sell-off due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at the new lower price. This is how I often screen through thousands of stocks, mainly in the US, although I may own shares in banana republics. I use fundamental analysis to check the health of companies that pass through my screening process, their leverage, and then compare their financial ratios with the sector, and industry median and average. I also do professional background checks of each insider who purchased shares after the recent sell-off. I use technical analysis to optimize the entry and exit points of my positions. I mainly use multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts. From time to time I draw trend lines, taken for granted, in multicolor patterns. Note: I tried to keep my introduction as real, and authentic as possible. I dislike empty suits, high-level BS, deep-level BS, unnecessary jargon, and self-indulgent, third-person written introductions with an air of superiority.Thanks for reading my introduction!

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GOOG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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