Sirius And Selected Peers Report Card

Includes: DISCA, ETM, P, SIRI, TV
by: Steven Bauer

This past week Sirius XM Radio, Inc (NASDAQ:SIRI) came back with a very good first-quarter report. It is expected that earnings growth momentum will continue.

The company is the largest broadcast radio service provider in the U.S.

Selected peers for comparative analytics are graded below on my Report Card along with SIRI. This four companies include: Entercom Communications Corp. (NYSE:ETM), Pandora Media, Inc. (NYSE:P), Grupo Televise SA (NYSE:TV), Discovery Communications, LLC (NASDAQ:DISCA). At this time I suggest there is no immediate prospect to buy or short any of these securities.

Sirius quarterly income topped $100 million. Principle areas of revenue were up over 10% with an increase in subscribers of over 400,000 to give SIRI a base of over 22.2 million.

Sirius has rebounded from a low in October of $1.27 to a recent high of $2.41. That is a near double in price and impressive. This suggests a support for the above earnings but is not currently a timely buy.

Fundamental Valuation

Valuation for SIRI, ETM, P, TV, DISCA:

Symbol Price Projected Price Fundamental Valuation & Technical Chart Opinion
SIRI 2.2

plus 8+% / minus 24+%

A near excellent valuation. Technically it is in a long-term down trend . Leading indicators may be positive for future bullish positions.

ETM 5.7

plus 12+% / minus 16+%

My valuations was good at best. Technically it looks bullish.
P 8.8 plus 10+% / minus 24+% A near excellent valuation. Technically it is in a clear down trend. Leading indicators may be positive for future bullish positions.
TV 21.4 plus 5+% / minus 16+% Not an impressive valuation. Technically it is quite bearish.
DISCA 53.4 plus 6+% / minus 16+% Fundamentals are not strong enough to pay for the current strong Technical condition.

Source of raw data: Yahoo Finance.

Notes for the above table: Projected Price is calculated and produces a probable range of the current price over the coming three to six months. Fundamental Valuation & Technical Opinion is calculated and translated into a Rating. See the below Report Card. I often suggest cash and patience as an alternative.

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Report Card

Company Symbol

Fundamental - weighting (40%)

Technical - weighting (35%)

Consensus - weighting (25%)

Rating: ( 0 - 100 / A - F )




Very Good

85 / B





78 / C




Very Good

87 / B




Very Good

72 / C


Very Good

Very Good

Very Good

81 / B

Notes for the above table: Rankings range from Excellent to Very Poor. Ratings below 90 / A are not current (never are) candidates for buying. Ratings above 60 / F are not current (never are) candidates for short selling. All information and data is in constant flux and can change from a neutral rating (60 to 90 / D to B) to a buy or short sale in just a few weeks.

Industry Status

The Broadcast industry is and has been very strong both fundamentally and on the charts. SIRI is technically in sync and outperforms its industry.

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Market Status

The general market is currently over-valued, over-bought and is showing signs of serious deterioration, especially in the area of breadth. This means that you must consider holding cash or perhaps take bearish positions in the coming weeks.

My analytic focus is investing wisely, e.g. taking advantage of the bull / bear cycles as they occur within the overall marketplace. Integrating modern and conservative fundamental analytics within these technical cycles means maintaining a process of the thorough and ongoing analytics of many companies, sectors and industry groups. Consensus analysis is often overlooked by investors but represents a support or aversion that is also important. I believe this is a vital discipline in the process of investing wisely.

Professors Opinion

None of these companies currently have both the fundamentals and technicals trading in sync with each other. In my analytics that is a mandatory condition for me to take bullish or bearish positions. Despite the large percent rise in price over the past three years I still consider in a down trend. Both and are showing fundamental promise. I am anticipating a bearish cycle so I would not consider buying or shorting these companies. I have noted that a couple have the potential to stimulate my interest at a future date.


I am currently a bearish and have focused my recent postings in Instablog on securities that I believe should not be currently held in your portfolio. It is important to understand that holding cash can be a wise choice during time frames that are questionable or bearish. I have not included SIRI or these peer companies in my Instablog to date, but will do so in the near future. You might want to have a look.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.