Nearing Turning Point in the Presidential Election Cycle

| About: SPDR Dow (DIA)
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I don’t place a great deal of faith in these indicators, but we’re nearing a traditional low point in the Presidential Election Cycle.

On average, the Dow is fairly weak from the September 6 of a pre-election year to May 28 of the election. Over that time, the Dow averages a loss of -5.2%. That may not sound like a lot but it’s an average of the entire Dow from 1896 to 2007.

After May 28, the Dow gains an average of 15.2% by the end of the year.