e21: Economic Policies for the 21st Century is a Washington-based center of the nonprofit, nonpartisan Manhattan Institute dedicated to economic research and innovative public policies for the 21st century. Drawing on the expertise of practitioners, policymakers, and academics, we aim to advance free enterprise, fiscal discipline, economic growth, and the rule of law.
I enjoy investing and the challenge of using current information, charts and technical indicators to make decisions regarding stock picking. My focus for 2017 is Energy, Telecom, and Consumer Services. I belong to a small investment club named the Financial Literacy Club. The members are people who have decided to manage their own retirement portfolios. I am a person that pays attention to detail and who does not mind doing research. I do not trust Contributors or Analysis that choose not to present a balanced story with all the facts so that their followers can make informed decisions. I love contributors that paint a balanced picture with the data and facts to back up their theories and not just empty recommendations. I believe Seeking Alpha is an EXCELLENT PLATFORM TO AGREE TO NOT AGREE. Regardless we are all sharing and exchanging information that makes are investing experience more rewarding. I appreciate having access and participating on this platform.
Protecting and preserving capital (purchasing power) over the long term is more important than growing capital.
At Hedgephone, we discuss investment risks and how to hedge against them. In most market environments this means buying undervalued stocks of good companies and holding for long periods of time. In today's environment, delta hedging via options and risk management is more of our focus. When the facts change, so will our focus. We don't give "tips" or make recommendations. We provide unbiased analysis on etf's stocks and bonds but do not tell readers whether to buy, sell, or hold. Some articles will list ten well known stocks and describe our general investment theme without "picking" stocks -- this leads to confusion for those trying to "rank" our analysis. By definition, these articles analysis and rants are meant to help readers analyze data sets and make their own decisions. Generally, we are permabulls. However, we focus on risks and hedging them in these articles because many stocks go to zero. We've seen it happen and want to teach not only from successes but also from our many failures.
Particularly devoted to researching cheap stocks of high quality companies, GARP stocks, Magic Formula names, and stocks trading below intrinsic value. Participate long only without hedge when overall bull market is trading for a CAPE under 20 (Tobin's Q under .8X) or when blood is in the streets (not dip buyers), but strive to cut losers early when the facts change and refuse to marry long or short positions unless a "holding period of forever" makes sense. Hunches must be backed up by disciplined systems. In fully valued markets, we prefer hedging via index options and light commodity trading/trend following. Not interested in participating in latest fad or bubble. Prefer to short the bubble, but only after evidence suggests the bubble has popped. Prefer to hedge any long positions in frothy markets utilizing a balanced long short equity approach in fairly valued markets. In undervalued markets, we need confirmation from market conditions and valuations in order to invest 100% long (or more) using in the money call options for leverage. Covered calls, calendar spreads, and other options strategies for capturing theta decay. Cut losers on short side by using ITM put options instead of stock, trend following strategies if trading commodities (for diversification). Fundamental analysis but also technical analysis. Mathematical, disciplined trading strategies. Strive first off to be right about the overall direction of the market (bull or bear). Hold lots of cash when people are being greedy. Nothing we publish here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Please consult your financial advisor before buying or selling any security.
Robert P. Balan has almost 50 years of experience in the financial markets. Education in mining engineering, computer science, finance, and training in economics led to a commodity analysis career during the commodity boom of the early 1970s. Robert made a switch to global macro focus in the early 1980 when the commodity bull market waned, with specialization in foreign exchange. Robert wrote a very high profile daily FX analysis while Geneva-based in the mid-1980s (the first FX commentary with a real global readership, "most accessed" in the Reuters and Telerate networks from 1988 to 1994). He worked for Swiss Bank Corp and Union Bank of Switzerland (precursors of today’s new UBS) as head of technical research and as proprietary trader in various major finance centers (London, New York, and subsequently head of proprietary trading in Toronto, respectively) from late 1980s to mid-1990s. A stint at Bank of America as head of global technical research (in London and New York) followed in late 1990s to early 2000s. Robert did technical analysis for Saxo Bank (Denmark) in the mid-200s based in New York. He returned to Switzerland in 2004 as head of technical research and strategy, and FX and commodity market analyst for Swiss Life Asset Management in Zurich. He joined Diapason Commodities Management in 2008 as senior market strategist, and subsequently as Chief Market Strategist, utilizing fundamental macroeconomic drivers, and structural/technical data in modeling asset price and sector movements. Robert wrote a book on the Elliott Wave Principle in 1988, which was hailed by the London Society of Technical Analysts as “the best book ever written on the subject”. Robert is a member of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), USA.
I am a professional Engineer by education with 35+ years of industrial experience as a practicing engineer including middle and upper corporate high tech management roles frequently requiring extensive financial experience. Presently, I live in the Washington, D.C. area where I regularly attend, as an independent investor, federal agency public hearings, conferences and meetings of importance to my personal investment goals and strategies.